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Writing
Notes on how the model works, where it is weak, and how to read a valuation that comes with a range attached. Every piece argues from the same numbers the rest of the site ships.
Cover image — A number without a range is a guess
Method
A number without a range is a guess
Every valuation on this site ships with a band and a confidence figure, because the single figure is the least honest part of the answer.
4 min read
Cover image — Why the same season is worth different money at 21 and 33
Method
Why the same season is worth different money at 21 and 33
Two players produce identical output. The model prices them differently, on purpose, and the curve that does it is on the methodology page rather than buried in a coefficient.
5 min read
Cover image — The gap between performance and price is the whole product
Market
The gap between performance and price is the whole product
Performance explains most of where a player is indexed. The interesting players are the ones sitting a long way off the fitted line.
4 min read