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Player report

Bertrand Ardal

MID · Quarrydale · Demo Premier League · 22 years · Morocco

Valuation

Estimated value
€887k
Model range
€430k–€1.34m
Confidence
39%
Season change
−11.9%

Values are model estimates on an uncalibrated scale. They are not predictions of a transfer fee and have not been validated against observed fees. Model 0.3.0-uncalibrated.

Performance profile

Player DNA

  • Goal threat20
  • Chance creation20
  • Finishing46
  • Defending95
  • Availability15

Per 90, percentile ranked

  • Goals0.00
  • Assists0.00
  • Shots1.8
  • Shots on target0.2
  • Key passes0.7
  • Expected goals0.01
  • Expected assists0.03
  • Tackles1.1
  • Interceptions2.0
  • Clearances2.5

Elite defending midfielder (95th percentile). Chance creation is the clear gap at the 20th percentile. Availability is the headline risk: 18% of available minutes played.

Season

Appearances
8
Minutes
397
Goals / assists
0 / 0
Availability
18%

Key strengths

  • Defending is a clear strength95th percentile among MIDs in this division
  • Elite volume of interceptions2.04 per 90, 100th percentile

Key risks and limitations

  • Goal threat is a clear weakness20th percentile among MIDs in this division
  • Chance creation is a clear weakness20th percentile among MIDs in this division
  • Availability is the headline risk18% of available minutes; 16 matchweeks missed
  • Small sample397 minutes across 8 appearances. Percentiles are published but thinly evidenced.
  • Low model confidence39% against a ceiling of 72%. The valuation range is correspondingly wide.

Valuation history

Bertrand Ardal index by matchweek

Comparable players

PlayerSimilarityValueAge
Viktor ArdalQuarrydale84%€1.18m35
Andre EriksenAshcombe79%€5.17m28
Diogo DelgadoEastmarsh78%€2.68m21
Cillian BarrosBrackenford77%€1.51m30
Felix LindqvistJarrowgate75%€12.1m19

Comparable transfers

Not available. The feed carries no observed transfer fees and no contract expiry dates, so there is nothing to build a comparable-fee distribution from.

This section is left in rather than removed, because its absence is itself a finding: any fee inference in this report would be unsupported.

Data confidence

Model confidence
39%of 72% ceiling
Sample
397 min · 8 apps
Last fixture
2 Jan

Percentiles are taken against MIDs in the Demo Premier League with 270 or more minutes. The model holds no contract, injury, wage or transfer data, and no progressive passing, carrying or pressing metrics.

Methodology

Weekly output is weighted by position, discounted by minutes as a credibility multiplier, and compared against an exponentially weighted average of the player’s own previous weeks — so the model moves on surprise rather than output. That becomes a percentile within the position group, then adjusted for age, league strength, position and availability.

An estimated value is not a transfer fee. Full methodology.

Generated from data covering 24 matchweeks. Model 0.3.0-uncalibrated. Values are model estimates on an uncalibrated scale and are not transfer fees.