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FWDDemo Premier LeaguePortugal20 years

Gabriel Barros

Ashcombe · #17 · BARR

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Estimated market value

€49.9m

Model range
€31.0m – €68.7m
Confidence
64%
Season change
+10.0%

Movement

Last matchweek
+3.4%
Last 4 matchweeks
+11.4%
Season to date
+10.0%

Reported in matchweeks, not days — football data arrives by fixture round.

Model estimate, uncalibrated. Values are model estimates on an uncalibrated scale. They are not predictions of a transfer fee and have not been validated against observed fees. Model 0.3.0-uncalibrated.

Valuation drivers

What moves this away from the €4.00m base value

  • Performance+€35.5m
  • Age+€7.37m
  • League€0
  • Position+€3.01m
  • Availability€0

Not in this model

  • ContractNo contract expiry data in the feed
  • Market comparablesNo observed transfer fees in the feed

Availability

Read any valuation against this first

Available minutes played82% · 1771 of 2160

21 appearances, 19 starts, 3 matchweeks missed.

A player who is not on the pitch drifts down the index without his performance level falling with it, and availability is a direct discount on the valuation above. An unavailable player is not the same thing as a cheap one.

Scenarios

What the model would say under a different set of facts

  • As measured€49.9mbenchmark
  • Performance +10%€54.9m+€4.99m · +10.0%
  • Performance +20%€59.9m+€9.98m · +20.0%
  • Performance −10%€44.9m−€4.99m · −10.0%
  • One year older€49.1m−€831k · −1.7%
  • Fully availableNo availability discount left to recover
  • Moves to a stronger divisionAlready in the strongest division we rate

These are counterfactuals, not forecasts. Each row is the same model run with one input changed — it says nothing about whether that change is likely. The benchmark is this player’s measured estimate of €49.9m.

Player DNA

Percentile against FWDs in the Demo Premier League

  • Goal threat19
  • Chance creation12
  • Finishing66
  • Defending31
  • Availability90

Above average finishing forward (66th percentile). Chance creation is the clear gap at the 12th percentile.

Generated from the metrics above, not from scouting notes. Ball progression and pressing are absent because the feed carries no progressive passes, carries or pressures.

Valuation history

The performance index the valuation is built on, by matchweek

Gabriel Barros index by matchweek

Profile

Per-90 percentiles against FWDs

Percentiles as a table
MetricGabriel Barros
Goals17th
Expected goals12th
Shots on target17th
Assists35th
Expected assists32nd
Key passes4th

Per 90

Rate and percentile among FWDs with 270+ minutes

  • Goals0.10
  • Assists0.10
  • Shots2.7
  • Shots on target0.6
  • Key passes0.9
  • Expected goals0.09
  • Expected assists0.11
  • Tackles0.3
  • Interceptions0.1
  • Clearances0.4

Finishing

Goals against the quality of the chances they came from, running total

Gabriel Barros cumulative goals minus expected goals
−0.20.0+0.2Matchweek

Scoring 0.29 goals more than his chances were worth. Finishing runs like this historically revert.

Comparable players

Closest percentile profiles among the same position

Compare →
PlayerSimilarityValueAgeAlike on
Omar ToureenDeepdale Vale89%€2.53m18interceptions, shots on target
Diogo VasquezLangmere82%€754k33assists, key passes
Jonas LindqvistMarsden Cross82%€2.43m23assists, expected assists
Idris IbarraFallowfield81%€15.5m24expected assists, assists
Omar UgarteKelsford79%€9.46m30shots on target, interceptions
Finn LindqvistPendlebury79%€2.68m21expected goals, goals

Match log

21 appearances this season

Match-by-match statistics, most recent first
MWDateOpponentMinGAShSoTxGxAKPTklIntClr
2423 Janv EastmarshD 1190012.00.00.010.711.00.01.01.0
2316 Janat Deepdale ValeW 1090004.01.00.020.040.00.00.01.0
229 Janv CalderbrookD 2290115.02.00.650.682.00.00.00.0
212 Janat BrackenfordL 1259002.01.00.020.020.00.00.00.0
2026 Decv ThornesideL 0377002.00.00.030.020.01.00.01.0
1812 Decv RookwoodL 0390002.01.00.030.000.00.00.01.0
1628 Novv PendleburyW 1090003.01.00.030.010.01.00.00.0
1521 Novat OakhurstL 0290002.00.00.010.091.01.00.00.0
1414 Novv NorthfleetL 0190003.00.00.040.040.00.00.01.0
1231 Octv LangmereL 0390001.00.00.000.051.00.00.00.0
1124 Octat KelsfordD 2290003.00.00.040.041.00.00.01.0
1017 Octv JarrowgateD 1190105.02.00.660.022.00.00.00.0
910 Octat Ilkeston ParkD 1190001.00.00.010.052.00.00.00.0
83 Octv HollinwellL 0257001.00.00.020.031.00.00.00.0
726 Septat GranthorpeL 1290002.01.00.000.081.00.00.00.0
619 Septv FallowfieldL 0190003.00.00.040.022.01.00.00.0
512 Septat EastmarshD 0090003.00.00.040.090.00.00.00.0
45 Septv Deepdale ValeD 1183002.00.00.000.021.00.00.00.0
329 Augat CalderbrookL 0384003.01.00.010.011.01.00.01.0
222 Augv BrackenfordW 2190002.00.00.040.031.00.01.01.0
115 Augat ThornesideD 2261002.01.00.010.051.00.00.00.0

Data

Last fixture
23 Jan
Matchweeks covered
24
Model
0.3.0-uncalibrated

Comparable transfers and contract situation are not shown, because the feed carries no transfer fees and no contract expiry dates. See methodology for what the model can and cannot see.