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FWDDemo Premier LeagueBrazil35 years

Zeki Castile

Quarrydale · #18 · CA11

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Estimated market value

€8.85m

Model range
€5.36m – €12.3m
Confidence
61%
Season change
−1.2%

Movement

Last matchweek
+4.5%
Last 4 matchweeks
−20.8%
Season to date
−1.2%

Reported in matchweeks, not days — football data arrives by fixture round.

Model estimate, uncalibrated. Values are model estimates on an uncalibrated scale. They are not predictions of a transfer fee and have not been validated against observed fees. Model 0.3.0-uncalibrated.

Valuation drivers

What moves this away from the €4.00m base value

  • Performance+€13.7m
  • Age−€9.83m
  • League€0
  • Position+€1.01m
  • Availability€0

Not in this model

  • ContractNo contract expiry data in the feed
  • Market comparablesNo observed transfer fees in the feed

Availability

Read any valuation against this first

Available minutes played88% · 1901 of 2160

24 appearances, 19 starts, 0 matchweeks missed.

A player who is not on the pitch drifts down the index without his performance level falling with it, and availability is a direct discount on the valuation above. An unavailable player is not the same thing as a cheap one.

Scenarios

What the model would say under a different set of facts

  • As measured€8.85mbenchmark
  • Performance +10%€9.74m+€885k · +10.0%
  • Performance +20%€10.2m+€1.36m · +15.4%
  • Performance −10%€7.97m−€885k · −10.0%
  • One year older€7.08m−€1.77m · −20.0%
  • Fully availableNo availability discount left to recover
  • Moves to a stronger divisionAlready in the strongest division we rate

These are counterfactuals, not forecasts. Each row is the same model run with one input changed — it says nothing about whether that change is likely. The benchmark is this player’s measured estimate of €8.85m.

Player DNA

Percentile against FWDs in the Demo Premier League

  • Goal threat92
  • Chance creation66
  • Finishing17
  • Defending34
  • Availability97

Elite goal threat forward (92th percentile), with above average chance creation (66th). Finishing is the clear gap at the 17th percentile.

Generated from the metrics above, not from scouting notes. Ball progression and pressing are absent because the feed carries no progressive passes, carries or pressures.

Valuation history

The performance index the valuation is built on, by matchweek

Zeki Castile index by matchweek

Profile

Per-90 percentiles against FWDs

Percentiles as a table
MetricZeki Castile
Goals85th
Expected goals90th
Shots on target89th
Assists43rd
Expected assists47th
Key passes88th

Per 90

Rate and percentile among FWDs with 270+ minutes

  • Goals0.43
  • Assists0.14
  • Shots3.1
  • Shots on target1.1
  • Key passes1.8
  • Expected goals0.49
  • Expected assists0.14
  • Tackles0.3
  • Interceptions0.1
  • Clearances0.5

Finishing

Goals against the quality of the chances they came from, running total

Zeki Castile cumulative goals minus expected goals
−1.0−0.50.0Matchweek

Scoring 1.28 goals fewer than his chances were worth — the chances are being created.

Comparable players

Closest percentile profiles among the same position

Compare →
PlayerSimilarityValueAgeAlike on
Adam DelgadoQuarrydale89%€53.0m22shots, key passes
Wilson AbbottLangmere82%€4.25m32assists, goals
Finn VasquezAshcombe80%€5.82m29expected assists, key passes
Cillian VasquezOakhurst79%€1.47m26shots on target, expected goals
Goran ArdalBrackenford78%€59.4m20assists, expected assists
Tomas RasmussenEastmarsh78%€32.4m21expected goals, tackles

Match log

24 appearances this season

Match-by-match statistics, most recent first
MWDateOpponentMinGAShSoTxGxAKPTklIntClr
2423 Janv LangmereW 2156102.01.01.110.042.00.00.00.0
2316 Janv JarrowgateD 2273002.00.00.050.091.00.00.01.0
229 Janv HollinwellD 1190003.00.00.010.061.01.00.01.0
212 Janv FallowfieldL 1290003.00.00.030.022.00.00.00.0
2026 Decv Deepdale ValeD 2290216.03.02.170.653.01.00.01.0
1919 Decv BrackenfordL 0290004.02.00.020.032.00.00.00.0
1812 Decv StanmoorW 2190203.02.02.170.023.00.00.00.0
175 Decv AshcombeW 1090011.00.00.010.644.00.00.00.0
1628 Novat OakhurstW 2190002.01.00.050.091.01.00.01.0
1521 Novat Marsden CrossW 1090105.03.01.090.053.00.01.01.0
1414 Novat KelsfordW 1090003.00.00.060.041.00.00.00.0
137 Novat Ilkeston ParkW 1090002.01.00.020.031.00.00.00.0
1231 Octat GranthorpeW 1059102.02.01.110.020.00.00.00.0
1124 Octat EastmarshD 0090001.00.00.000.111.00.00.01.0
1017 Octat CalderbrookW 1090012.01.00.020.732.01.00.01.0
910 Octat ThornesideL 0115001.00.00.010.020.00.00.00.0
83 Octat RookwoodW 2090004.01.00.050.033.01.00.01.0
726 Septat PendleburyW 3121000.00.00.000.011.00.00.00.0
619 Septat NorthfleetL 0390004.02.00.030.082.00.00.00.0
512 Septat LangmereL 0190003.01.00.020.041.00.01.01.0
45 Septat JarrowgateW 1057103.01.01.090.021.00.00.00.0
329 Augat HollinwellL 0290003.01.00.020.100.00.00.00.0
222 Augat FallowfieldW 1090003.01.00.030.082.01.00.01.0
115 Augat Deepdale ValeW 2090103.01.01.110.051.00.00.00.0

Data

Last fixture
23 Jan
Matchweeks covered
24
Model
0.3.0-uncalibrated

Comparable transfers and contract situation are not shown, because the feed carries no transfer fees and no contract expiry dates. See methodology for what the model can and cannot see.