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DEFDemo Premier LeagueWales30 years

Adam Chevalier

Rookwood · #6 · CH10

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Estimated market value

€3.38m

Model range
€2.25m – €4.50m
Confidence
72%
Season change
+13.0%

Movement

Last matchweek
−3.3%
Last 4 matchweeks
−3.5%
Season to date
+13.0%

Reported in matchweeks, not days — football data arrives by fixture round.

Model estimate, uncalibrated. Values are model estimates on an uncalibrated scale. They are not predictions of a transfer fee and have not been validated against observed fees. Model 0.3.0-uncalibrated.

Valuation drivers

What moves this away from the €4.00m base value

  • Performance+€1.58m
  • Age−€1.31m
  • League€0
  • Position−€307k
  • Availability−€581k

Not in this model

  • ContractNo contract expiry data in the feed
  • Market comparablesNo observed transfer fees in the feed

Availability

Read any valuation against this first

Available minutes played55% · 1190 of 2160

17 appearances, 12 starts, 7 matchweeks missed.

A player who is not on the pitch drifts down the index without his performance level falling with it, and availability is a direct discount on the valuation above. An unavailable player is not the same thing as a cheap one.

Scenarios

What the model would say under a different set of facts

  • As measured€3.38mbenchmark
  • Performance +10%€3.71m+€338k · +10.0%
  • Performance +20%€4.05m+€675k · +20.0%
  • Performance −10%€3.04m−€338k · −10.0%
  • One year older€2.80m−€579k · −17.1%
  • Fully available€3.95m+€577k · +17.1%
  • Moves to a stronger divisionAlready in the strongest division we rate

These are counterfactuals, not forecasts. Each row is the same model run with one input changed — it says nothing about whether that change is likely. The benchmark is this player’s measured estimate of €3.38m.

Player DNA

Percentile against DEFs in the Demo Premier League

  • Goal threat8
  • Chance creation14
  • Finishing46
  • Defending18
  • Availability60

Well-rounded defender without a standout axis in this data — no category clears the 46th percentile among positional peers. Played 55% of available minutes.

Generated from the metrics above, not from scouting notes. Ball progression and pressing are absent because the feed carries no progressive passes, carries or pressures.

Valuation history

The performance index the valuation is built on, by matchweek

Adam Chevalier index by matchweek

Profile

Per-90 percentiles against DEFs

Percentiles as a table
MetricAdam Chevalier
Tackles25th
Interceptions14th
Clearances43rd
Goals26th
Expected assists14th
Key passes19th

Per 90

Rate and percentile among DEFs with 270+ minutes

  • Goals0.00
  • Assists0.00
  • Shots0.0
  • Shots on target0.0
  • Key passes0.0
  • Expected goals0.00
  • Expected assists0.00
  • Tackles1.8
  • Interceptions1.2
  • Clearances2.4

Finishing

Goals against the quality of the chances they came from, running total

Adam Chevalier cumulative goals minus expected goals
−0.1−0.10.0+0.1+0.1Matchweek

Scoring 0.00 goals more than his chances were worth. Finishing runs like this historically revert.

Comparable players

Closest percentile profiles among the same position

Compare →
PlayerSimilarityValueAgeAlike on
Noah ChevalierCalderbrook91%€1.95m29goals, assists
Emil DelgadoThorneside91%€1.18m35goals, assists
Jonas HaugenLangmere89%€12.8m21goals, assists
Caleb PereiraKelsford87%€85k33goals, assists
Omar ToureenMarsden Cross86%€2.13m35goals, assists
Viktor XimenesCalderbrook84%€4.05m28goals, assists

Match log

17 appearances this season

Match-by-match statistics, most recent first
MWDateOpponentMinGAShSoTxGxAKPTklIntClr
2423 Janat KelsfordL 1256000.00.00.000.000.01.00.02.0
2316 Janat Ilkeston ParkW 3156000.00.00.000.000.02.02.01.0
229 Janat GranthorpeW 3061000.00.00.000.000.02.01.02.0
212 Janat EastmarshD 1134000.00.00.000.000.01.00.01.0
1812 Decat AshcombeW 3090000.00.00.000.000.02.01.01.0
175 Decv PendleburyW 5090000.00.00.000.010.01.00.00.0
1628 Novv NorthfleetD 0071000.00.00.000.000.03.00.02.0
1521 Novv LangmereD 0070000.00.00.000.000.02.01.01.0
1414 Novv JarrowgateW 1090000.00.00.000.000.01.02.03.0
137 Novv HollinwellD 1160000.00.00.000.000.02.00.02.0
1017 Octv BrackenfordW 1090000.00.00.000.010.03.01.04.0
910 Octv StanmoorD 0060000.00.00.000.000.01.01.01.0
726 Septv OakhurstD 2290000.00.00.000.000.00.03.03.0
619 Septv Marsden CrossW 4069000.00.00.000.000.01.00.02.0
512 Septv KelsfordW 2190000.00.00.000.010.01.01.04.0
329 Augv GranthorpeL 0157000.00.00.000.000.00.02.01.0
115 Augv CalderbrookW 1056000.00.00.000.000.01.01.02.0

Data

Last fixture
23 Jan
Matchweeks covered
24
Model
0.3.0-uncalibrated

Comparable transfers and contract situation are not shown, because the feed carries no transfer fees and no contract expiry dates. See methodology for what the model can and cannot see.