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DEFDemo Premier LeagueScotland28 years

Samir Ekstrom

Stanmoor · #3 · EK15

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Estimated market value

€27.2m

Model range
€16.6m – €37.8m
Confidence
62%
Season change
+17.9%

Movement

Last matchweek
+1.9%
Last 4 matchweeks
+12.6%
Season to date
+17.9%

Reported in matchweeks, not days — football data arrives by fixture round.

Model estimate, uncalibrated. Values are model estimates on an uncalibrated scale. They are not predictions of a transfer fee and have not been validated against observed fees. Model 0.3.0-uncalibrated.

Valuation drivers

What moves this away from the €4.00m base value

  • Performance+€25.4m
  • Age−€1.14m
  • League€0
  • Position−€1.01m
  • Availability€0

Not in this model

  • ContractNo contract expiry data in the feed
  • Market comparablesNo observed transfer fees in the feed

Availability

Read any valuation against this first

Available minutes played84% · 1806 of 2160

21 appearances, 21 starts, 3 matchweeks missed.

A player who is not on the pitch drifts down the index without his performance level falling with it, and availability is a direct discount on the valuation above. An unavailable player is not the same thing as a cheap one.

Scenarios

What the model would say under a different set of facts

  • As measured€27.2mbenchmark
  • Performance +10%€29.9m+€2.72m · +10.0%
  • Performance +20%€32.7m+€5.44m · +20.0%
  • Performance −10%€24.5m−€2.72m · −10.0%
  • One year older€24.5m−€2.69m · −9.9%
  • Fully availableNo availability discount left to recover
  • Moves to a stronger divisionAlready in the strongest division we rate

These are counterfactuals, not forecasts. Each row is the same model run with one input changed — it says nothing about whether that change is likely. The benchmark is this player’s measured estimate of €27.2m.

Player DNA

Percentile against DEFs in the Demo Premier League

  • Goal threat81
  • Chance creation81
  • Finishing0
  • Defending70
  • Availability94

Strong goal threat defender (81th percentile), with strong chance creation (81th). Finishing is the clear gap at the 0th percentile.

Generated from the metrics above, not from scouting notes. Ball progression and pressing are absent because the feed carries no progressive passes, carries or pressures.

Valuation history

The performance index the valuation is built on, by matchweek

Samir Ekstrom index by matchweek

Profile

Per-90 percentiles against DEFs

Percentiles as a table
MetricSamir Ekstrom
Tackles52nd
Interceptions75th
Clearances68th
Goals76th
Expected assists78th
Key passes75th

Per 90

Rate and percentile among DEFs with 270+ minutes

  • Goals0.10
  • Assists0.10
  • Shots0.7
  • Shots on target0.1
  • Key passes0.4
  • Expected goals0.13
  • Expected assists0.08
  • Tackles2.1
  • Interceptions1.8
  • Clearances2.8

Finishing

Goals against the quality of the chances they came from, running total

Samir Ekstrom cumulative goals minus expected goals
−0.6−0.4−0.20.0Matchweek

Scoring 0.68 goals fewer than his chances were worth — the chances are being created.

Comparable players

Closest percentile profiles among the same position

Compare →
PlayerSimilarityValueAgeAlike on
Yusuf ToureenIlkeston Park84%€1.02m18expected goals, goals
Cillian ArdalNorthfleet84%€8.22m22assists, shots on target
Bruno VasquezPendlebury84%€22.4m19tackles, shots
Kai GrimaldiFallowfield82%€29.7m29goals, shots on target
Finn ArdalGranthorpe82%€1.05m34expected assists, assists
Omar GallagherOakhurst82%€3.59m23expected goals, tackles

Match log

21 appearances this season

Match-by-match statistics, most recent first
MWDateOpponentMinGAShSoTxGxAKPTklIntClr
2423 Janv JarrowgateW 1064001.00.00.010.010.02.02.00.0
2316 Janv HollinwellW 1090000.00.00.010.010.04.03.03.0
212 Janv Deepdale ValeD 0090000.00.00.010.021.02.00.01.0
2026 Decv BrackenfordL 0290000.00.00.010.030.00.01.04.0
1919 Decv AshcombeW 2090000.00.00.010.020.01.03.05.0
1812 Decat QuarrydaleL 1290001.00.00.000.030.01.01.02.0
175 Decat OakhurstL 0590001.00.00.010.021.01.00.01.0
1628 Novat Marsden CrossW 3078001.00.00.010.010.02.03.01.0
1521 Novat KelsfordW 2190001.00.00.010.000.03.01.03.0
1414 Novat Ilkeston ParkL 1463001.00.00.000.010.02.02.03.0
137 Novat GranthorpeW 1090011.00.00.010.632.04.03.02.0
1124 Octat CalderbrookW 1090101.01.01.270.011.01.01.04.0
1017 Octat ThornesideL 0190001.00.00.010.031.02.02.05.0
910 Octat RookwoodD 0071001.00.00.000.011.01.03.02.0
83 Octat PendleburyD 0090001.00.00.010.030.02.00.04.0
726 Septat NorthfleetL 1290000.00.00.010.010.03.01.02.0
619 Septat LangmereW 3190102.01.01.280.000.04.03.04.0
512 Septat JarrowgateD 0090000.00.00.000.020.01.00.02.0
329 Augat FallowfieldL 1390001.00.00.000.020.04.03.04.0
222 Augat Deepdale ValeL 2390000.00.00.010.030.02.02.04.0
115 Augat BrackenfordL 1290011.00.00.000.621.01.03.00.0

Data

Last fixture
23 Jan
Matchweeks covered
24
Model
0.3.0-uncalibrated

Comparable transfers and contract situation are not shown, because the feed carries no transfer fees and no contract expiry dates. See methodology for what the model can and cannot see.