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MIDDemo Premier LeagueNetherlands26 years

Elias Eriksen

Eastmarsh · #10 · ERI2

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Estimated market value

€27.3m

Model range
€16.4m – €38.2m
Confidence
60%
Season change
+15.8%

Movement

Last matchweek
+7.9%
Last 4 matchweeks
+6.0%
Season to date
+15.8%

Reported in matchweeks, not days — football data arrives by fixture round.

Model estimate, uncalibrated. Values are model estimates on an uncalibrated scale. They are not predictions of a transfer fee and have not been validated against observed fees. Model 0.3.0-uncalibrated.

Valuation drivers

What moves this away from the €4.00m base value

  • Performance+€21.9m
  • Age+€1.37m
  • League€0
  • Position+€476k
  • Availability−€509k

Not in this model

  • ContractNo contract expiry data in the feed
  • Market comparablesNo observed transfer fees in the feed

Availability

Read any valuation against this first

Available minutes played69% · 1499 of 2160

18 appearances, 18 starts, 6 matchweeks missed.

A player who is not on the pitch drifts down the index without his performance level falling with it, and availability is a direct discount on the valuation above. An unavailable player is not the same thing as a cheap one.

Scenarios

What the model would say under a different set of facts

  • As measured€27.3mbenchmark
  • Performance +10%€30.0m+€2.73m · +10.0%
  • Performance +20%€32.7m+€5.46m · +20.0%
  • Performance −10%€24.6m−€2.73m · −10.0%
  • One year older€24.4m−€2.92m · −10.7%
  • Fully available€28.5m+€1.17m · +4.3%
  • Moves to a stronger divisionAlready in the strongest division we rate

These are counterfactuals, not forecasts. Each row is the same model run with one input changed — it says nothing about whether that change is likely. The benchmark is this player’s measured estimate of €27.3m.

Player DNA

Percentile against MIDs in the Demo Premier League

  • Goal threat16
  • Chance creation64
  • Finishing31
  • Defending50
  • Availability84

Above average chance creation midfielder (64th percentile). Goal threat is the clear gap at the 16th percentile. Played 69% of available minutes.

Generated from the metrics above, not from scouting notes. Ball progression and pressing are absent because the feed carries no progressive passes, carries or pressures.

Valuation history

The performance index the valuation is built on, by matchweek

Elias Eriksen index by matchweek

Profile

Per-90 percentiles against MIDs

Percentiles as a table
MetricElias Eriksen
Key passes41st
Expected assists69th
Expected goals27th
Goals27th
Tackles31st
Interceptions77th

Per 90

Rate and percentile among MIDs with 270+ minutes

  • Goals0.06
  • Assists0.18
  • Shots1.5
  • Shots on target0.1
  • Key passes0.7
  • Expected goals0.06
  • Expected assists0.14
  • Tackles1.0
  • Interceptions1.3
  • Clearances1.6

Finishing

Goals against the quality of the chances they came from, running total

Elias Eriksen cumulative goals minus expected goals
−0.2−0.1−0.1−0.10.0Matchweek

Scoring 0.01 goals fewer than his chances were worth — the chances are being created.

Comparable players

Closest percentile profiles among the same position

Compare →
PlayerSimilarityValueAgeAlike on
Emil CastileThorneside85%€3.96m19shots on target, shots
Adam FontaineJarrowgate83%€3.33m22assists, expected assists
Lucas XimenesRookwood82%€3.65m34interceptions, assists
Adam PereiraAshcombe81%€5.28m31goals, shots
Kai YilmazJarrowgate81%€635k23shots on target, assists
Goran SalvatoreRookwood81%€10.2m28clearances, tackles

Match log

18 appearances this season

Match-by-match statistics, most recent first
MWDateOpponentMinGAShSoTxGxAKPTklIntClr
2423 Janat AshcombeD 1190011.00.00.000.652.00.01.03.0
2316 Janv CalderbrookL 1290002.01.00.020.020.01.01.02.0
229 Janv ThornesideD 1190001.00.00.000.030.01.02.03.0
1812 Decv LangmereL 0263001.00.00.000.001.01.00.01.0
175 Decv JarrowgateW 4190102.01.00.810.011.01.02.03.0
1628 Novv HollinwellW 4072001.00.00.020.010.02.01.00.0
1521 Novv FallowfieldL 0390002.00.00.010.041.01.02.00.0
1414 Novv Deepdale ValeW 2090012.00.00.020.642.02.01.01.0
137 Novv BrackenfordD 0082001.00.00.020.040.01.01.02.0
1231 Octv StanmoorW 3090012.00.00.020.651.01.01.01.0
1124 Octv QuarrydaleD 0080001.00.00.010.041.00.02.00.0
910 Octv Marsden CrossW 3090001.00.00.010.041.01.01.01.0
83 Octv KelsfordW 2184001.00.00.010.000.01.01.01.0
726 Septv Ilkeston ParkL 0190001.00.00.020.021.00.01.03.0
619 Septv GranthorpeW 1068001.00.00.010.020.02.01.01.0
512 Septv AshcombeD 0060001.00.00.000.010.00.01.02.0
45 Septat CalderbrookD 0090002.00.00.010.041.01.02.01.0
115 Augat PendleburyL 0190002.00.00.020.030.01.00.02.0

Data

Last fixture
23 Jan
Matchweeks covered
24
Model
0.3.0-uncalibrated

Comparable transfers and contract situation are not shown, because the feed carries no transfer fees and no contract expiry dates. See methodology for what the model can and cannot see.