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MIDDemo Premier LeagueNigeria22 years

Bertrand Farrow

Pendlebury · #13 · FAR5

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Estimated market value

€4.26m

Model range
€2.56m – €5.97m
Confidence
60%
Season change
−3.0%

Movement

Last matchweek
−0.2%
Last 4 matchweeks
−2.1%
Season to date
−3.0%

Reported in matchweeks, not days — football data arrives by fixture round.

Model estimate, uncalibrated. Values are model estimates on an uncalibrated scale. They are not predictions of a transfer fee and have not been validated against observed fees. Model 0.3.0-uncalibrated.

Valuation drivers

What moves this away from the €4.00m base value

  • Performance+€197k
  • Age+€1.53m
  • League€0
  • Position+€162k
  • Availability−€1.63m

Not in this model

  • ContractNo contract expiry data in the feed
  • Market comparablesNo observed transfer fees in the feed

Availability

Read any valuation against this first

Available minutes played31% · 660 of 2160

10 appearances, 7 starts, 14 matchweeks missed.

A player who is not on the pitch drifts down the index without his performance level falling with it, and availability is a direct discount on the valuation above. An unavailable player is not the same thing as a cheap one.

Scenarios

What the model would say under a different set of facts

  • As measured€4.26mbenchmark
  • Performance +10%€4.69m+€426k · +10.0%
  • Performance +20%€5.12m+€853k · +20.0%
  • Performance −10%€3.84m−€426k · −10.0%
  • One year older€4.04m−€221k · −5.2%
  • Fully available€6.33m+€2.06m · +48.4%
  • Moves to a stronger divisionAlready in the strongest division we rate

These are counterfactuals, not forecasts. Each row is the same model run with one input changed — it says nothing about whether that change is likely. The benchmark is this player’s measured estimate of €4.26m.

Player DNA

Percentile against MIDs in the Demo Premier League

  • Goal threat68
  • Chance creation9
  • Finishing26
  • Defending13
  • Availability34

Above average goal threat midfielder (68th percentile). Chance creation is the clear gap at the 9th percentile. Availability is the headline risk: 31% of available minutes played.

Generated from the metrics above, not from scouting notes. Ball progression and pressing are absent because the feed carries no progressive passes, carries or pressures.

Valuation history

The performance index the valuation is built on, by matchweek

Bertrand Farrow index by matchweek

Profile

Per-90 percentiles against MIDs

Percentiles as a table
MetricBertrand Farrow
Key passes12th
Expected assists14th
Expected goals89th
Goals82nd
Tackles20th
Interceptions24th

Per 90

Rate and percentile among MIDs with 270+ minutes

  • Goals0.27
  • Assists0.00
  • Shots1.2
  • Shots on target0.4
  • Key passes0.5
  • Expected goals0.29
  • Expected assists0.03
  • Tackles1.0
  • Interceptions0.8
  • Clearances0.8

Finishing

Goals against the quality of the chances they came from, running total

Bertrand Farrow cumulative goals minus expected goals
−0.1−0.10.0Matchweek

Scoring 0.13 goals fewer than his chances were worth — the chances are being created.

Comparable players

Closest percentile profiles among the same position

Compare →
PlayerSimilarityValueAgeAlike on
Wilson GrimaldiGranthorpe82%€12.9m25assists, tackles
Viktor NakamuraStanmoor80%€31.9m22assists, expected assists
Andre FontaineThorneside79%€297k35shots, tackles
Viktor BrennanKelsford78%€1.23m35assists, shots
Caleb ZielinskiLangmere75%€10.9m34expected goals, shots on target
Goran NakamuraRookwood75%€689k35interceptions, key passes

Match log

10 appearances this season

Match-by-match statistics, most recent first
MWDateOpponentMinGAShSoTxGxAKPTklIntClr
2423 Janat Marsden CrossL 0290001.00.00.020.030.01.01.01.0
2316 Janat KelsfordL 1481002.01.00.010.021.01.01.00.0
229 Janat Ilkeston ParkW 219000.00.00.000.000.00.00.00.0
2026 Decat EastmarshL 1215000.00.00.000.000.00.00.00.0
1812 Decat ThornesideW 2190101.01.01.040.041.00.00.01.0
1521 Novv NorthfleetL 1390001.00.00.020.020.02.01.00.0
137 Novv JarrowgateW 2190102.01.01.040.010.01.01.01.0
1231 Octv HollinwellD 0090001.00.00.000.041.00.01.01.0
1124 Octv FallowfieldL 0290001.00.00.000.021.02.01.02.0
329 Augv Ilkeston ParkL 0115000.00.00.000.010.00.00.00.0

Data

Last fixture
23 Jan
Matchweeks covered
24
Model
0.3.0-uncalibrated

Comparable transfers and contract situation are not shown, because the feed carries no transfer fees and no contract expiry dates. See methodology for what the model can and cannot see.