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MIDDemo Premier LeagueItaly34 years

Pedro Fontaine

Marsden Cross · #14 · FON5

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Estimated market value

€2.94m

Model range
€1.51m – €4.38m
Confidence
44%
Season change
−9.4%

Movement

Last matchweek
−5.3%
Last 4 matchweeks
+7.9%
Season to date
−9.4%

Reported in matchweeks, not days — football data arrives by fixture round.

Model estimate, uncalibrated. Values are model estimates on an uncalibrated scale. They are not predictions of a transfer fee and have not been validated against observed fees. Model 0.3.0-uncalibrated.

Valuation drivers

What moves this away from the €4.00m base value

  • Performance+€4.76m
  • Age−€4.38m
  • League€0
  • Position+€135k
  • Availability−€1.56m

Not in this model

  • ContractNo contract expiry data in the feed
  • Market comparablesNo observed transfer fees in the feed

Availability

Read any valuation against this first

Available minutes played25% · 545 of 2160

11 appearances, 5 starts, 13 matchweeks missed.

A player who is not on the pitch drifts down the index without his performance level falling with it, and availability is a direct discount on the valuation above. An unavailable player is not the same thing as a cheap one.

Scenarios

What the model would say under a different set of facts

  • As measured€2.94mbenchmark
  • Performance +10%€3.24m+€294k · +10.0%
  • Performance +20%€3.53m+€589k · +20.0%
  • Performance −10%€2.65m−€294k · −10.0%
  • One year older€2.10m−€841k · −28.6%
  • Fully available€4.63m+€1.69m · +57.5%
  • Moves to a stronger divisionAlready in the strongest division we rate

These are counterfactuals, not forecasts. Each row is the same model run with one input changed — it says nothing about whether that change is likely. The benchmark is this player’s measured estimate of €2.94m.

Player DNA

Percentile against MIDs in the Demo Premier League

  • Goal threat61
  • Chance creation73
  • Finishing77
  • Defending4
  • Availability26

Strong finishing midfielder (77th percentile), with above average chance creation (73th). Defending is the clear gap at the 4th percentile. Availability is the headline risk: 25% of available minutes played.

Generated from the metrics above, not from scouting notes. Ball progression and pressing are absent because the feed carries no progressive passes, carries or pressures.

Valuation history

The performance index the valuation is built on, by matchweek

Pedro Fontaine index by matchweek

Profile

Per-90 percentiles against MIDs

Percentiles as a table
MetricPedro Fontaine
Key passes73rd
Expected assists68th
Expected goals49th
Goals59th
Tackles9th
Interceptions2nd

Per 90

Rate and percentile among MIDs with 270+ minutes

  • Goals0.17
  • Assists0.17
  • Shots1.8
  • Shots on target0.5
  • Key passes1.0
  • Expected goals0.14
  • Expected assists0.13
  • Tackles0.8
  • Interceptions0.3
  • Clearances1.5

Finishing

Goals against the quality of the chances they came from, running total

Pedro Fontaine cumulative goals minus expected goals
0.0+0.1+0.2Matchweek

Scoring 0.17 goals more than his chances were worth. Finishing runs like this historically revert.

Comparable players

Closest percentile profiles among the same position

Compare →
PlayerSimilarityValueAgeAlike on
Hugo EkstromBrackenford86%€15.3m24key passes, goals
Gabriel ArdalEastmarsh84%€5.16m22shots on target, tackles
Idris SalvatoreEastmarsh82%€3.42m35goals, expected goals
Emil PereiraKelsford81%€48.0m26clearances, expected goals
Samir GrimaldiPendlebury81%€4.65m27clearances, shots
Bruno ToureenCalderbrook80%€989k24shots on target, interceptions

Match log

11 appearances this season

Match-by-match statistics, most recent first
MWDateOpponentMinGAShSoTxGxAKPTklIntClr
2423 Janv PendleburyW 209000.00.00.000.000.00.00.00.0
2316 Janv NorthfleetW 4190012.00.00.020.642.00.00.02.0
229 Janv LangmereL 0178001.00.00.010.011.00.00.02.0
212 Janv JarrowgateD 1190102.01.00.740.022.02.01.02.0
2026 Decv HollinwellL 0290003.01.00.020.041.00.00.01.0
1919 Decv FallowfieldL 0419000.00.00.000.010.01.00.00.0
175 Decv BrackenfordW 1028000.00.00.010.010.00.00.00.0
1414 Novv OakhurstD 1114000.00.00.000.010.00.00.00.0
137 Novv AshcombeW 1090002.01.00.020.050.02.01.02.0
910 Octat EastmarshL 0310000.00.00.000.000.00.00.00.0
512 Septat PendleburyW 1027001.00.00.010.010.00.00.00.0

Data

Last fixture
23 Jan
Matchweeks covered
24
Model
0.3.0-uncalibrated

Comparable transfers and contract situation are not shown, because the feed carries no transfer fees and no contract expiry dates. See methodology for what the model can and cannot see.