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MIDDemo Premier LeagueNetherlands24 years

Pedro Fontaine

Thorneside · #11 · FON8

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Estimated market value

€20.9m

Model range
€13.3m – €28.6m
Confidence
66%
Season change
+12.8%

Movement

Last matchweek
−4.9%
Last 4 matchweeks
−2.4%
Season to date
+12.8%

Reported in matchweeks, not days — football data arrives by fixture round.

Model estimate, uncalibrated. Values are model estimates on an uncalibrated scale. They are not predictions of a transfer fee and have not been validated against observed fees. Model 0.3.0-uncalibrated.

Valuation drivers

What moves this away from the €4.00m base value

  • Performance+€14.6m
  • Age+€2.69m
  • League€0
  • Position+€401k
  • Availability−€761k

Not in this model

  • ContractNo contract expiry data in the feed
  • Market comparablesNo observed transfer fees in the feed

Availability

Read any valuation against this first

Available minutes played65% · 1409 of 2160

20 appearances, 16 starts, 4 matchweeks missed.

A player who is not on the pitch drifts down the index without his performance level falling with it, and availability is a direct discount on the valuation above. An unavailable player is not the same thing as a cheap one.

Scenarios

What the model would say under a different set of facts

  • As measured€20.9mbenchmark
  • Performance +10%€23.0m+€2.09m · +10.0%
  • Performance +20%€25.1m+€4.19m · +20.0%
  • Performance −10%€18.9m−€2.09m · −10.0%
  • One year older€19.5m−€1.45m · −6.9%
  • Fully available€22.6m+€1.62m · +7.7%
  • Moves to a stronger divisionAlready in the strongest division we rate

These are counterfactuals, not forecasts. Each row is the same model run with one input changed — it says nothing about whether that change is likely. The benchmark is this player’s measured estimate of €20.9m.

Player DNA

Percentile against MIDs in the Demo Premier League

  • Goal threat92
  • Chance creation56
  • Finishing63
  • Defending52
  • Availability78

Elite goal threat midfielder (92th percentile), with above average finishing (63th). Played 65% of available minutes.

Generated from the metrics above, not from scouting notes. Ball progression and pressing are absent because the feed carries no progressive passes, carries or pressures.

Valuation history

The performance index the valuation is built on, by matchweek

Pedro Fontaine index by matchweek

Profile

Per-90 percentiles against MIDs

Percentiles as a table
MetricPedro Fontaine
Key passes47th
Expected assists65th
Expected goals93rd
Goals91st
Tackles53rd
Interceptions70th

Per 90

Rate and percentile among MIDs with 270+ minutes

  • Goals0.32
  • Assists0.13
  • Shots2.0
  • Shots on target0.6
  • Key passes0.8
  • Expected goals0.31
  • Expected assists0.12
  • Tackles1.3
  • Interceptions1.2
  • Clearances1.1

Finishing

Goals against the quality of the chances they came from, running total

Pedro Fontaine cumulative goals minus expected goals
−0.10.0+0.1+0.1+0.1Matchweek

Scoring 0.12 goals more than his chances were worth. Finishing runs like this historically revert.

Comparable players

Closest percentile profiles among the same position

Compare →
PlayerSimilarityValueAgeAlike on
Bertrand VasquezFallowfield80%€505k25interceptions, goals
Caleb PereiraFallowfield78%€30.7m29interceptions, shots on target
Samir JokinenNorthfleet78%€30.8m28goals, key passes
Bruno IbarraBrackenford77%€878k19expected goals, clearances
Goran NakamuraRookwood77%€689k35goals, clearances
Finn OkaforThorneside77%€16.6m27expected goals, expected assists

Match log

20 appearances this season

Match-by-match statistics, most recent first
MWDateOpponentMinGAShSoTxGxAKPTklIntClr
2423 Janat Ilkeston ParkL 1222001.00.00.000.000.00.00.00.0
2316 Janat GranthorpeL 1490011.00.00.020.651.03.00.03.0
229 Janat EastmarshD 119000.00.00.000.000.00.00.00.0
212 Janat CalderbrookD 0090001.00.00.020.071.01.01.02.0
2026 Decat AshcombeW 3090002.00.00.010.071.02.02.01.0
1919 Decv RookwoodL 1362002.01.00.000.050.01.00.01.0
1812 Decv PendleburyL 1290002.00.00.000.071.01.02.00.0
175 Decv NorthfleetW 4267102.02.00.950.050.01.01.01.0
1628 Novv LangmereW 5190103.01.00.940.060.01.01.02.0
1521 Novv JarrowgateW 3178001.00.00.030.011.00.01.02.0
137 Novv FallowfieldW 2090003.00.00.030.041.02.01.01.0
1231 Octv Deepdale ValeW 2010000.00.00.000.000.00.00.00.0
1124 Octv BrackenfordW 2090104.02.00.950.031.00.02.01.0
1017 Octv StanmoorW 1090103.02.00.940.021.02.01.00.0
910 Octv QuarrydaleW 107000.00.00.000.000.00.00.00.0
726 Septv Marsden CrossD 1190001.00.00.020.060.02.01.00.0
619 Septv KelsfordW 2074102.02.00.940.041.01.02.00.0
45 Septv GranthorpeW 2190011.00.00.020.652.01.02.02.0
222 Augv CalderbrookL 0290002.00.00.010.061.01.02.01.0
115 Augv AshcombeD 2290001.00.00.000.020.01.00.01.0

Data

Last fixture
23 Jan
Matchweeks covered
24
Model
0.3.0-uncalibrated

Comparable transfers and contract situation are not shown, because the feed carries no transfer fees and no contract expiry dates. See methodology for what the model can and cannot see.