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DEFDemo Premier LeagueNigeria32 years

Mateo Gallagher

Oakhurst · #7 · GA10

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Estimated market value

€707k

Model range
€385k – €1.03m
Confidence
50%
Season change
−6.1%

Movement

Last matchweek
−1.5%
Last 4 matchweeks
+0.6%
Season to date
−6.1%

Reported in matchweeks, not days — football data arrives by fixture round.

Model estimate, uncalibrated. Values are model estimates on an uncalibrated scale. They are not predictions of a transfer fee and have not been validated against observed fees. Model 0.3.0-uncalibrated.

Valuation drivers

What moves this away from the €4.00m base value

  • Performance−€724k
  • Age−€1.43m
  • League€0
  • Position−€158k
  • Availability−€977k

Not in this model

  • ContractNo contract expiry data in the feed
  • Market comparablesNo observed transfer fees in the feed

Availability

Read any valuation against this first

Available minutes played20% · 436 of 2160

8 appearances, 4 starts, 16 matchweeks missed.

A player who is not on the pitch drifts down the index without his performance level falling with it, and availability is a direct discount on the valuation above. An unavailable player is not the same thing as a cheap one.

Scenarios

What the model would say under a different set of facts

  • As measured€707kbenchmark
  • Performance +10%€777k+€71k · +10.0%
  • Performance +20%€848k+€141k · +20.0%
  • Performance −10%€636k−€71k · −10.0%
  • One year older€541k−€165k · −23.4%
  • Fully available€1.18m+€475k · +67.2%
  • Moves to a stronger divisionAlready in the strongest division we rate

These are counterfactuals, not forecasts. Each row is the same model run with one input changed — it says nothing about whether that change is likely. The benchmark is this player’s measured estimate of €707k.

Player DNA

Percentile against DEFs in the Demo Premier League

  • Goal threat38
  • Chance creation91
  • Finishing46
  • Defending16
  • Availability12

Elite chance creation defender (91th percentile). Defending is the clear gap at the 16th percentile. Availability is the headline risk: 20% of available minutes played.

Generated from the metrics above, not from scouting notes. Ball progression and pressing are absent because the feed carries no progressive passes, carries or pressures.

Valuation history

The performance index the valuation is built on, by matchweek

Mateo Gallagher index by matchweek

Profile

Per-90 percentiles against DEFs

Percentiles as a table
MetricMateo Gallagher
Tackles80th
Interceptions2nd
Clearances4th
Goals26th
Expected assists92nd
Key passes77th

Per 90

Rate and percentile among DEFs with 270+ minutes

  • Goals0.00
  • Assists0.21
  • Shots0.6
  • Shots on target0.0
  • Key passes0.4
  • Expected goals0.00
  • Expected assists0.14
  • Tackles2.5
  • Interceptions0.8
  • Clearances1.7

Finishing

Goals against the quality of the chances they came from, running total

Mateo Gallagher cumulative goals minus expected goals
−0.0−0.0−0.0−0.00.0Matchweek

Scoring 0.02 goals fewer than his chances were worth — the chances are being created.

Comparable players

Closest percentile profiles among the same position

Compare →
PlayerSimilarityValueAgeAlike on
Tomas ArdalHollinwell83%€4.03m23goals, shots on target
Viktor JansenJarrowgate83%€6.37m18goals, shots on target
Gabriel PereiraStanmoor76%€562k24goals, shots on target
Gabriel UgarteOakhurst74%€2.03m18goals, shots on target
Diogo ArdalEastmarsh72%€1.34m28goals, shots on target
Felix OkaforLangmere72%€7.02m31goals, shots on target

Match log

8 appearances this season

Match-by-match statistics, most recent first
MWDateOpponentMinGAShSoTxGxAKPTklIntClr
2316 Janv LangmereL 1322000.00.00.000.010.01.00.01.0
212 Janv HollinwellW 2090001.00.00.000.011.03.02.01.0
1521 Novv AshcombeW 2090011.00.00.010.651.02.00.02.0
137 Novat KelsfordD 1181001.00.00.000.010.02.02.00.0
726 Septat RookwoodD 2220000.00.00.000.000.01.00.00.0
619 Septat PendleburyW 4190000.00.00.000.010.03.00.03.0
329 Augat JarrowgateW 1029000.00.00.010.000.00.00.01.0
115 Augat FallowfieldL 0114000.00.00.000.000.00.00.00.0

Data

Last fixture
16 Jan
Matchweeks covered
24
Model
0.3.0-uncalibrated

Comparable transfers and contract situation are not shown, because the feed carries no transfer fees and no contract expiry dates. See methodology for what the model can and cannot see.