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MIDDemo Premier LeagueItaly18 years

Samir Gallagher

Northfleet · #10 · GAL8

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Estimated market value

€15.3m

Model range
€10.2m – €20.4m
Confidence
72%
Season change
−10.6%

Movement

Last matchweek
−3.3%
Last 4 matchweeks
−15.2%
Season to date
−10.6%

Reported in matchweeks, not days — football data arrives by fixture round.

Model estimate, uncalibrated. Values are model estimates on an uncalibrated scale. They are not predictions of a transfer fee and have not been validated against observed fees. Model 0.3.0-uncalibrated.

Valuation drivers

What moves this away from the €4.00m base value

  • Performance+€8.03m
  • Age+€2.95m
  • League€0
  • Position+€330k
  • Availability€0

Not in this model

  • ContractNo contract expiry data in the feed
  • Market comparablesNo observed transfer fees in the feed

Availability

Read any valuation against this first

Available minutes played85% · 1846 of 2160

23 appearances, 21 starts, 1 matchweeks missed.

A player who is not on the pitch drifts down the index without his performance level falling with it, and availability is a direct discount on the valuation above. An unavailable player is not the same thing as a cheap one.

Scenarios

What the model would say under a different set of facts

  • As measured€15.3mbenchmark
  • Performance +10%€16.8m+€1.53m · +10.0%
  • Performance +20%€18.4m+€3.06m · +20.0%
  • Performance −10%€13.8m−€1.53m · −10.0%
  • One year older€15.7m+€431k · +2.8%
  • Fully availableNo availability discount left to recover
  • Moves to a stronger divisionAlready in the strongest division we rate

These are counterfactuals, not forecasts. Each row is the same model run with one input changed — it says nothing about whether that change is likely. The benchmark is this player’s measured estimate of €15.3m.

Player DNA

Percentile against MIDs in the Demo Premier League

  • Goal threat32
  • Chance creation64
  • Finishing11
  • Defending80
  • Availability96

Strong defending midfielder (80th percentile), with above average chance creation (64th). Finishing is the clear gap at the 11th percentile.

Generated from the metrics above, not from scouting notes. Ball progression and pressing are absent because the feed carries no progressive passes, carries or pressures.

Valuation history

The performance index the valuation is built on, by matchweek

Samir Gallagher index by matchweek

Profile

Per-90 percentiles against MIDs

Percentiles as a table
MetricSamir Gallagher
Key passes72nd
Expected assists56th
Expected goals65th
Goals53rd
Tackles71st
Interceptions85th

Per 90

Rate and percentile among MIDs with 270+ minutes

  • Goals0.15
  • Assists0.15
  • Shots1.3
  • Shots on target0.1
  • Key passes0.9
  • Expected goals0.19
  • Expected assists0.11
  • Tackles1.5
  • Interceptions1.4
  • Clearances2.0

Finishing

Goals against the quality of the chances they came from, running total

Samir Gallagher cumulative goals minus expected goals
−0.8−0.6−0.4−0.20.0Matchweek

Scoring 0.84 goals fewer than his chances were worth — the chances are being created.

Comparable players

Closest percentile profiles among the same position

Compare →
PlayerSimilarityValueAgeAlike on
Rafael YilmazKelsford82%€47.1m23tackles, interceptions
Adam PereiraAshcombe81%€5.28m31tackles, shots on target
Jonas HalvorsenFallowfield81%€28.3m26shots, interceptions
Pedro YilmazIlkeston Park81%€36.2m22interceptions, key passes
Rafael PereiraPendlebury80%€2.41m31shots on target, interceptions
Andre CastileBrackenford79%€1.66m19assists, expected assists

Match log

23 appearances this season

Match-by-match statistics, most recent first
MWDateOpponentMinGAShSoTxGxAKPTklIntClr
2423 Janat OakhurstD 2259001.00.00.000.021.00.01.00.0
2316 Janat Marsden CrossL 1490001.00.00.020.010.01.01.01.0
229 Janat KelsfordD 1190001.00.00.010.030.01.00.03.0
212 Janat Ilkeston ParkL 0190002.00.00.010.021.02.02.02.0
2026 Decat GranthorpeW 2190001.00.00.020.031.02.02.03.0
1919 Decat EastmarshW 1090111.01.01.230.651.01.01.02.0
1812 Decat CalderbrookL 0190001.00.00.010.011.03.01.01.0
175 Decat ThornesideL 2490002.00.00.000.010.02.02.03.0
1628 Novat RookwoodD 0090000.00.00.020.031.00.01.03.0
1521 Novat PendleburyW 3162011.00.00.010.642.01.00.01.0
1414 Novat AshcombeW 1090000.00.00.010.020.02.00.03.0
137 Novv LangmereL 1290102.01.01.240.031.03.01.01.0
1231 Octv JarrowgateW 3158001.00.00.000.021.01.01.02.0
1124 Octv HollinwellL 1390002.00.00.010.031.01.02.00.0
1017 Octv FallowfieldW 2090001.00.00.000.001.01.01.01.0
910 Octv Deepdale ValeW 3064001.00.00.010.011.02.01.03.0
83 Octv BrackenfordW 2090001.00.00.020.031.01.00.02.0
726 Septv StanmoorW 2190012.00.00.000.652.01.02.03.0
619 Septv QuarrydaleW 3070001.00.00.000.020.01.02.01.0
512 Septv OakhurstL 0167001.00.00.000.021.02.02.02.0
45 Septv Marsden CrossW 1080001.00.00.000.001.01.02.01.0
222 Augv Ilkeston ParkL 1260001.00.00.000.031.01.02.00.0
115 Augv GranthorpeW 6066102.01.01.220.000.00.01.03.0

Data

Last fixture
23 Jan
Matchweeks covered
24
Model
0.3.0-uncalibrated

Comparable transfers and contract situation are not shown, because the feed carries no transfer fees and no contract expiry dates. See methodology for what the model can and cannot see.