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FWDDemo Premier LeagueScotland18 years

Gabriel Halvorsen

Eastmarsh · #20 · HAL1

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Estimated market value

€812k

Model range
€389k – €1.23m
Confidence
38%
Season change
−13.5%

Movement

Last matchweek
−1.5%
Last 4 matchweeks
−3.6%
Season to date
−13.5%

Reported in matchweeks, not days — football data arrives by fixture round.

Model estimate, uncalibrated. Values are model estimates on an uncalibrated scale. They are not predictions of a transfer fee and have not been validated against observed fees. Model 0.3.0-uncalibrated.

Valuation drivers

What moves this away from the €4.00m base value

  • Performance−€3.24m
  • Age+€701k
  • League€0
  • Position+€331k
  • Availability−€984k

Not in this model

  • ContractNo contract expiry data in the feed
  • Market comparablesNo observed transfer fees in the feed

Availability

Read any valuation against this first

Available minutes played22% · 475 of 2160

8 appearances, 4 starts, 16 matchweeks missed.

A player who is not on the pitch drifts down the index without his performance level falling with it, and availability is a direct discount on the valuation above. An unavailable player is not the same thing as a cheap one.

Scenarios

What the model would say under a different set of facts

  • As measured€812kbenchmark
  • Performance +10%€893k+€81k · +10.0%
  • Performance +20%€974k+€162k · +20.0%
  • Performance −10%€730k−€81k · −10.0%
  • One year older€834k+€23k · +2.8%
  • Fully available€1.33m+€516k · +63.6%
  • Moves to a stronger divisionAlready in the strongest division we rate

These are counterfactuals, not forecasts. Each row is the same model run with one input changed — it says nothing about whether that change is likely. The benchmark is this player’s measured estimate of €812k.

Player DNA

Percentile against FWDs in the Demo Premier League

  • Goal threat78
  • Chance creation1
  • Finishing73
  • Defending64
  • Availability6

Strong goal threat forward (78th percentile), with above average finishing (73th). Chance creation is the clear gap at the 1th percentile. Availability is the headline risk: 22% of available minutes played.

Generated from the metrics above, not from scouting notes. Ball progression and pressing are absent because the feed carries no progressive passes, carries or pressures.

Valuation history

The performance index the valuation is built on, by matchweek

Gabriel Halvorsen index by matchweek

Profile

Per-90 percentiles against FWDs

Percentiles as a table
MetricGabriel Halvorsen
Goals39th
Expected goals33rd
Shots on target82nd
Assists7th
Expected assists2nd
Key passes1st

Per 90

Rate and percentile among FWDs with 270+ minutes

  • Goals0.19
  • Assists0.00
  • Shots3.8
  • Shots on target0.9
  • Key passes0.4
  • Expected goals0.16
  • Expected assists0.04
  • Tackles0.4
  • Interceptions0.6
  • Clearances0.8

Finishing

Goals against the quality of the chances they came from, running total

Gabriel Halvorsen cumulative goals minus expected goals
0.0+0.1+0.2Matchweek

Scoring 0.18 goals more than his chances were worth. Finishing runs like this historically revert.

Comparable players

Closest percentile profiles among the same position

Compare →
PlayerSimilarityValueAgeAlike on
Tomas LindqvistHollinwell78%€1.81m18assists, clearances
Pedro JansenStanmoor75%€10.7m32goals, expected goals
Zeki GrimaldiCalderbrook74%€2.62m24assists, tackles
Viktor ZielinskiIlkeston Park72%€4.00m20shots on target, goals
Diogo KovacBrackenford70%€11.3m22interceptions, goals
Wilson ArdalDeepdale Vale70%€4.98m32key passes, expected goals

Match log

8 appearances this season

Match-by-match statistics, most recent first
MWDateOpponentMinGAShSoTxGxAKPTklIntClr
212 Janv RookwoodD 1190004.01.00.040.010.01.01.01.0
1919 Decv NorthfleetL 0132001.00.00.010.030.00.00.00.0
137 Novv BrackenfordD 0090004.01.00.020.020.00.01.00.0
910 Octv Marsden CrossW 3090105.02.00.700.061.01.01.01.0
726 Septv Ilkeston ParkL 0130001.00.00.010.031.00.00.00.0
512 Septv AshcombeD 0090003.01.00.040.030.00.00.01.0
45 Septat CalderbrookD 0026001.00.00.000.020.00.00.01.0
115 Augat PendleburyL 0127001.00.00.000.010.00.00.00.0

Data

Last fixture
2 Jan
Matchweeks covered
24
Model
0.3.0-uncalibrated

Comparable transfers and contract situation are not shown, because the feed carries no transfer fees and no contract expiry dates. See methodology for what the model can and cannot see.