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FWDDemo Premier LeaguePortugal26 years

Pedro Halvorsen

Rookwood · #20 · HAL5

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Estimated market value

€3.28m

Model range
€2.10m – €4.47m
Confidence
67%
Season change
−2.9%

Movement

Last matchweek
+0.6%
Last 4 matchweeks
−3.0%
Season to date
−2.9%

Reported in matchweeks, not days — football data arrives by fixture round.

Model estimate, uncalibrated. Values are model estimates on an uncalibrated scale. They are not predictions of a transfer fee and have not been validated against observed fees. Model 0.3.0-uncalibrated.

Valuation drivers

What moves this away from the €4.00m base value

  • Performance−€864k
  • Age+€411k
  • League€0
  • Position+€601k
  • Availability−€864k

Not in this model

  • ContractNo contract expiry data in the feed
  • Market comparablesNo observed transfer fees in the feed

Availability

Read any valuation against this first

Available minutes played46% · 996 of 2160

12 appearances, 12 starts, 12 matchweeks missed.

A player who is not on the pitch drifts down the index without his performance level falling with it, and availability is a direct discount on the valuation above. An unavailable player is not the same thing as a cheap one.

Scenarios

What the model would say under a different set of facts

  • As measured€3.28mbenchmark
  • Performance +10%€3.61m+€328k · +10.0%
  • Performance +20%€3.94m+€657k · +20.0%
  • Performance −10%€2.96m−€328k · −10.0%
  • One year older€2.93m−€352k · −10.7%
  • Fully available€4.17m+€883k · +26.9%
  • Moves to a stronger divisionAlready in the strongest division we rate

These are counterfactuals, not forecasts. Each row is the same model run with one input changed — it says nothing about whether that change is likely. The benchmark is this player’s measured estimate of €3.28m.

Player DNA

Percentile against FWDs in the Demo Premier League

  • Goal threat52
  • Chance creation42
  • Finishing97
  • Defending5
  • Availability44

Elite finishing forward (97th percentile). Defending is the clear gap at the 5th percentile. Availability is the headline risk: 46% of available minutes played.

Generated from the metrics above, not from scouting notes. Ball progression and pressing are absent because the feed carries no progressive passes, carries or pressures.

Valuation history

The performance index the valuation is built on, by matchweek

Pedro Halvorsen index by matchweek

Profile

Per-90 percentiles against FWDs

Percentiles as a table
MetricPedro Halvorsen
Goals80th
Expected goals65th
Shots on target29th
Assists30th
Expected assists31st
Key passes70th

Per 90

Rate and percentile among FWDs with 270+ minutes

  • Goals0.36
  • Assists0.09
  • Shots2.7
  • Shots on target0.6
  • Key passes1.5
  • Expected goals0.25
  • Expected assists0.10
  • Tackles0.0
  • Interceptions0.0
  • Clearances0.0

Finishing

Goals against the quality of the chances they came from, running total

Pedro Halvorsen cumulative goals minus expected goals
0.0+0.5+1.0Matchweek

Scoring 1.24 goals more than his chances were worth. Finishing runs like this historically revert.

Comparable players

Closest percentile profiles among the same position

Compare →
PlayerSimilarityValueAgeAlike on
Hugo CastilePendlebury86%€6.86m28interceptions, expected assists
Goran ArdalBrackenford83%€59.4m20interceptions, shots
Finn VasquezAshcombe82%€5.82m29tackles, interceptions
Hugo YilmazCalderbrook79%€9.42m24assists, expected goals
Tomas NakamuraJarrowgate79%€13.6m31tackles, interceptions
Tomas RasmussenEastmarsh77%€32.4m21interceptions, goals

Match log

12 appearances this season

Match-by-match statistics, most recent first
MWDateOpponentMinGAShSoTxGxAKPTklIntClr
2423 Janat KelsfordL 1290001.00.00.020.092.00.00.00.0
212 Janat EastmarshD 1190002.00.00.020.062.00.00.00.0
1919 Decat ThornesideW 3190014.00.00.020.673.00.00.00.0
1521 Novv LangmereD 0062001.00.00.020.030.00.00.00.0
1231 Octv FallowfieldL 1290103.02.00.660.032.00.00.00.0
1124 Octv Deepdale ValeW 1090003.01.00.020.072.00.00.00.0
1017 Octv BrackenfordW 1090002.01.00.030.062.00.00.00.0
83 Octv QuarrydaleL 0271003.00.00.030.021.00.00.00.0
45 Septv Ilkeston ParkW 2076001.00.00.020.021.00.00.00.0
329 Augv GranthorpeL 0167001.00.00.010.040.00.00.00.0
222 Augv EastmarshW 4090305.03.01.900.052.00.00.00.0
115 Augv CalderbrookW 1090004.00.00.010.020.00.00.00.0

Data

Last fixture
23 Jan
Matchweeks covered
24
Model
0.3.0-uncalibrated

Comparable transfers and contract situation are not shown, because the feed carries no transfer fees and no contract expiry dates. See methodology for what the model can and cannot see.