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GKDemo Premier LeagueScotland22 years

Adam Haugen

Brackenford · #1 · HAUG

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Estimated market value

€12.1m

Model range
€7.66m – €16.5m
Confidence
66%
Season change
+18.0%

Movement

Last matchweek
−0.4%
Last 4 matchweeks
−4.3%
Season to date
+18.0%

Reported in matchweeks, not days — football data arrives by fixture round.

Model estimate, uncalibrated. Values are model estimates on an uncalibrated scale. They are not predictions of a transfer fee and have not been validated against observed fees. Model 0.3.0-uncalibrated.

Valuation drivers

What moves this away from the €4.00m base value

  • Performance+€8.02m
  • Age+€2.72m
  • League€0
  • Position−€2.40m
  • Availability−€227k

Not in this model

  • ContractNo contract expiry data in the feed
  • Market comparablesNo observed transfer fees in the feed

Availability

Read any valuation against this first

Available minutes played71% · 1530 of 2160

17 appearances, 17 starts, 7 matchweeks missed.

A player who is not on the pitch drifts down the index without his performance level falling with it, and availability is a direct discount on the valuation above. An unavailable player is not the same thing as a cheap one.

Scenarios

What the model would say under a different set of facts

  • As measured€12.1mbenchmark
  • Performance +10%€13.3m+€1.21m · +10.0%
  • Performance +20%€14.5m+€2.42m · +20.0%
  • Performance −10%€10.9m−€1.21m · −10.0%
  • One year older€11.5m−€626k · −5.2%
  • Fully available€12.5m+€382k · +3.2%
  • Moves to a stronger divisionAlready in the strongest division we rate

These are counterfactuals, not forecasts. Each row is the same model run with one input changed — it says nothing about whether that change is likely. The benchmark is this player’s measured estimate of €12.1m.

Player DNA

Percentile against GKs in the Demo Premier League

  • Shot stopping24
  • Defending67
  • Chance creation31
  • Availability56

Above average defending goalkeeper (67th percentile). Shot stopping is the clear gap at the 24th percentile. Played 71% of available minutes.

Generated from the metrics above, not from scouting notes. Ball progression and pressing are absent because the feed carries no progressive passes, carries or pressures.

Valuation history

The performance index the valuation is built on, by matchweek

Adam Haugen index by matchweek

Profile

Per-90 percentiles against GKs

Percentiles as a table
MetricAdam Haugen
Saves90th
Goals conceded10th
Clearances67th
Key passes43rd
Assists43rd
Expected assists31st

Per 90

Rate and percentile among GKs with 270+ minutes

  • Goals0.00
  • Assists0.00
  • Shots0.0
  • Shots on target0.0
  • Key passes0.0
  • Expected goals0.00
  • Expected assists0.00
  • Tackles0.0
  • Interceptions0.0
  • Clearances1.1
  • Saves5.2
  • Goals conceded1.9

Finishing

Goals against the quality of the chances they came from, running total

Adam Haugen cumulative goals minus expected goals
−0.1−0.10.0+0.1+0.1Matchweek

Scoring 0.00 goals more than his chances were worth. Finishing runs like this historically revert.

Comparable players

Closest percentile profiles among the same position

Compare →
PlayerSimilarityValueAgeAlike on
Viktor GrimaldiMarsden Cross96%€3.70m21goals, assists
Goran AbbottPendlebury93%€575k22goals, assists
Felix IvesDeepdale Vale92%€195k35goals, assists
Viktor FarrowBrackenford91%€1.69m26goals, assists
Rafael FontaineGranthorpe89%€6.53m24goals, assists
Pedro WhitlockHollinwell89%€5.53m23goals, assists

Match log

17 appearances this season

Match-by-match statistics, most recent first
MWDateOpponentMinSvGCClrKPAxA
2423 Janv HollinwellW 31903.01.01.00.000.00
2316 Janv FallowfieldL 05906.05.02.00.000.00
229 Janv Deepdale ValeW 21905.01.02.00.000.00
2026 Decat StanmoorW 20905.00.02.00.000.00
1812 Decat OakhurstL 02903.02.00.00.000.00
175 Decat Marsden CrossL 01905.01.00.00.000.00
137 Novat EastmarshD 00904.00.00.00.000.00
1124 Octat ThornesideL 02906.02.02.00.000.00
1017 Octat RookwoodL 01905.01.00.00.000.00
910 Octat PendleburyW 32907.02.01.00.000.00
83 Octat NorthfleetL 02907.02.01.00.000.00
726 Septat LangmereL 04906.04.01.00.000.00
619 Septat JarrowgateW 41902.01.02.00.000.00
512 Septat HollinwellL 25906.05.01.00.000.00
329 Augat Deepdale ValeD 22906.02.02.00.000.00
222 Augat AshcombeL 12907.02.01.00.000.00
115 Augv StanmoorW 21905.01.00.00.000.00

Data

Last fixture
23 Jan
Matchweeks covered
24
Model
0.3.0-uncalibrated

Comparable transfers and contract situation are not shown, because the feed carries no transfer fees and no contract expiry dates. See methodology for what the model can and cannot see.