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DEFDemo Premier LeagueNorway29 years

Viktor Ibarra

Ilkeston Park · #9 · IBA5

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Estimated market value

€421k

Model range
€206k – €636k
Confidence
40%
Season change
−11.7%

Movement

Last matchweek
−1.5%
Last 4 matchweeks
−5.9%
Season to date
−11.7%

Reported in matchweeks, not days — football data arrives by fixture round.

Model estimate, uncalibrated. Values are model estimates on an uncalibrated scale. They are not predictions of a transfer fee and have not been validated against observed fees. Model 0.3.0-uncalibrated.

Valuation drivers

What moves this away from the €4.00m base value

  • Performance−€2.42m
  • Age−€315k
  • League€0
  • Position−€133k
  • Availability−€708k

Not in this model

  • ContractNo contract expiry data in the feed
  • Market comparablesNo observed transfer fees in the feed

Availability

Read any valuation against this first

Available minutes played26% · 561 of 2160

8 appearances, 6 starts, 16 matchweeks missed.

A player who is not on the pitch drifts down the index without his performance level falling with it, and availability is a direct discount on the valuation above. An unavailable player is not the same thing as a cheap one.

Scenarios

What the model would say under a different set of facts

  • As measured€421kbenchmark
  • Performance +10%€463k+€42k · +10.0%
  • Performance +20%€505k+€84k · +20.0%
  • Performance −10%€379k−€42k · −10.0%
  • One year older€359k−€62k · −14.6%
  • Fully available€657k+€236k · +56.1%
  • Moves to a stronger divisionAlready in the strongest division we rate

These are counterfactuals, not forecasts. Each row is the same model run with one input changed — it says nothing about whether that change is likely. The benchmark is this player’s measured estimate of €421k.

Player DNA

Percentile against DEFs in the Demo Premier League

  • Goal threat8
  • Chance creation80
  • Finishing46
  • Defending39
  • Availability20

Strong chance creation defender (80th percentile). Goal threat is the clear gap at the 8th percentile. Availability is the headline risk: 26% of available minutes played.

Generated from the metrics above, not from scouting notes. Ball progression and pressing are absent because the feed carries no progressive passes, carries or pressures.

Valuation history

The performance index the valuation is built on, by matchweek

Viktor Ibarra index by matchweek

Profile

Per-90 percentiles against DEFs

Percentiles as a table
MetricViktor Ibarra
Tackles18th
Interceptions92nd
Clearances12th
Goals26th
Expected assists87th
Key passes50th

Per 90

Rate and percentile among DEFs with 270+ minutes

  • Goals0.00
  • Assists0.16
  • Shots0.0
  • Shots on target0.0
  • Key passes0.2
  • Expected goals0.00
  • Expected assists0.10
  • Tackles1.8
  • Interceptions2.1
  • Clearances1.8

Finishing

Goals against the quality of the chances they came from, running total

Viktor Ibarra cumulative goals minus expected goals
−0.1−0.10.0+0.1+0.1Matchweek

Scoring 0.00 goals more than his chances were worth. Finishing runs like this historically revert.

Comparable players

Closest percentile profiles among the same position

Compare →
PlayerSimilarityValueAgeAlike on
Pedro EkstromGranthorpe76%€13.6m23goals, shots on target
Gabriel PereiraStanmoor75%€562k24goals, shots on target
Felix FarrowQuarrydale73%€2.67m33goals, shots on target
Felix OkaforLangmere71%€7.02m31goals, shots on target
Elias OkaforFallowfield70%€98k35goals, shots on target
Tomas OkaforDeepdale Vale69%€485k29goals, shots

Match log

8 appearances this season

Match-by-match statistics, most recent first
MWDateOpponentMinGAShSoTxGxAKPTklIntClr
2026 Decv LangmereL 1362000.00.00.000.000.01.03.01.0
1919 Decv JarrowgateW 2190000.00.00.000.000.02.03.00.0
1521 Novv BrackenfordD 1160000.00.00.000.000.01.01.00.0
1414 Novv StanmoorW 4190010.00.00.000.631.02.00.04.0
910 Octv AshcombeD 1190000.00.00.000.000.03.01.03.0
83 Octat GranthorpeW 2034000.00.00.000.000.01.01.00.0
726 Septat EastmarshW 1079000.00.00.000.000.01.02.03.0
329 Augat PendleburyW 1056000.00.00.000.000.00.02.00.0

Data

Last fixture
26 Dec
Matchweeks covered
24
Model
0.3.0-uncalibrated

Comparable transfers and contract situation are not shown, because the feed carries no transfer fees and no contract expiry dates. See methodology for what the model can and cannot see.