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DEFDemo Premier LeagueItaly23 years

Idris Jansen

Fallowfield · #6 · JAN2

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Estimated market value

€2.61m

Model range
€1.53m – €3.70m
Confidence
57%
Season change
−0.9%

Movement

Last matchweek
−1.5%
Last 4 matchweeks
−2.9%
Season to date
−0.9%

Reported in matchweeks, not days — football data arrives by fixture round.

Model estimate, uncalibrated. Values are model estimates on an uncalibrated scale. They are not predictions of a transfer fee and have not been validated against observed fees. Model 0.3.0-uncalibrated.

Valuation drivers

What moves this away from the €4.00m base value

  • Performance−€776k
  • Age+€1.04m
  • League€0
  • Position−€272k
  • Availability−€1.38m

Not in this model

  • ContractNo contract expiry data in the feed
  • Market comparablesNo observed transfer fees in the feed

Availability

Read any valuation against this first

Available minutes played28% · 605 of 2160

10 appearances, 5 starts, 14 matchweeks missed.

A player who is not on the pitch drifts down the index without his performance level falling with it, and availability is a direct discount on the valuation above. An unavailable player is not the same thing as a cheap one.

Scenarios

What the model would say under a different set of facts

  • As measured€2.61mbenchmark
  • Performance +10%€2.88m+€261k · +10.0%
  • Performance +20%€3.14m+€523k · +20.0%
  • Performance −10%€2.35m−€261k · −10.0%
  • One year older€2.47m−€143k · −5.5%
  • Fully available€3.99m+€1.37m · +52.6%
  • Moves to a stronger divisionAlready in the strongest division we rate

These are counterfactuals, not forecasts. Each row is the same model run with one input changed — it says nothing about whether that change is likely. The benchmark is this player’s measured estimate of €2.61m.

Player DNA

Percentile against DEFs in the Demo Premier League

  • Goal threat23
  • Chance creation24
  • Finishing46
  • Defending76
  • Availability24

Strong defending defender (76th percentile). Goal threat is the clear gap at the 23th percentile. Availability is the headline risk: 28% of available minutes played.

Generated from the metrics above, not from scouting notes. Ball progression and pressing are absent because the feed carries no progressive passes, carries or pressures.

Valuation history

The performance index the valuation is built on, by matchweek

Idris Jansen index by matchweek

Profile

Per-90 percentiles against DEFs

Percentiles as a table
MetricIdris Jansen
Tackles91st
Interceptions25th
Clearances71st
Goals26th
Expected assists24th
Key passes19th

Per 90

Rate and percentile among DEFs with 270+ minutes

  • Goals0.00
  • Assists0.00
  • Shots0.3
  • Shots on target0.0
  • Key passes0.0
  • Expected goals0.00
  • Expected assists0.01
  • Tackles2.7
  • Interceptions1.3
  • Clearances2.8

Finishing

Goals against the quality of the chances they came from, running total

Idris Jansen cumulative goals minus expected goals
−0.1−0.10.0+0.1+0.1Matchweek

Scoring 0.00 goals more than his chances were worth. Finishing runs like this historically revert.

Comparable players

Closest percentile profiles among the same position

Compare →
PlayerSimilarityValueAgeAlike on
Tomas XimenesCalderbrook91%€301k31goals, assists
Bruno IvesEastmarsh86%€3.99m26goals, assists
Samir UgartePendlebury86%€1.02m18goals, assists
Dmitri KovacStanmoor85%€4.61m20goals, assists
Elias PereiraGranthorpe84%€13.6m20goals, assists
Kai QuintanaNorthfleet84%€283k21goals, assists

Match log

10 appearances this season

Match-by-match statistics, most recent first
MWDateOpponentMinGAShSoTxGxAKPTklIntClr
229 Janat StanmoorW 3190001.00.00.000.010.02.00.02.0
212 Janat QuarrydaleW 2190001.00.00.000.010.04.02.02.0
1919 Decat Marsden CrossW 4090000.00.00.000.000.04.01.03.0
1521 Novat EastmarshW 3016000.00.00.000.000.00.00.01.0
1231 Octat RookwoodW 2133000.00.00.000.010.01.00.01.0
1124 Octat PendleburyW 2090000.00.00.000.000.02.03.03.0
83 Octat JarrowgateW 2028000.00.00.000.000.00.01.01.0
619 Septat AshcombeW 1090000.00.00.000.010.02.01.03.0
512 Septv Deepdale ValeW 1057000.00.00.000.000.02.00.02.0
45 Septv BrackenfordD 1121000.00.00.000.000.01.01.01.0

Data

Last fixture
9 Jan
Matchweeks covered
24
Model
0.3.0-uncalibrated

Comparable transfers and contract situation are not shown, because the feed carries no transfer fees and no contract expiry dates. See methodology for what the model can and cannot see.