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FWDDemo Premier LeagueIreland34 years

Diogo Jokinen

Thorneside · #19 · JO11

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Estimated market value

€3.63m

Model range
€2.28m – €4.98m
Confidence
65%
Season change
+5.4%

Movement

Last matchweek
−1.5%
Last 4 matchweeks
−0.1%
Season to date
+5.4%

Reported in matchweeks, not days — football data arrives by fixture round.

Model estimate, uncalibrated. Values are model estimates on an uncalibrated scale. They are not predictions of a transfer fee and have not been validated against observed fees. Model 0.3.0-uncalibrated.

Valuation drivers

What moves this away from the €4.00m base value

  • Performance+€4.36m
  • Age−€4.85m
  • League€0
  • Position+€631k
  • Availability−€503k

Not in this model

  • ContractNo contract expiry data in the feed
  • Market comparablesNo observed transfer fees in the feed

Availability

Read any valuation against this first

Available minutes played58% · 1256 of 2160

17 appearances, 13 starts, 7 matchweeks missed.

A player who is not on the pitch drifts down the index without his performance level falling with it, and availability is a direct discount on the valuation above. An unavailable player is not the same thing as a cheap one.

Scenarios

What the model would say under a different set of facts

  • As measured€3.63mbenchmark
  • Performance +10%€4.00m+€363k · +10.0%
  • Performance +20%€4.36m+€726k · +20.0%
  • Performance −10%€3.27m−€363k · −10.0%
  • One year older€2.59m−€1.04m · −28.6%
  • Fully available€4.14m+€512k · +14.1%
  • Moves to a stronger divisionAlready in the strongest division we rate

These are counterfactuals, not forecasts. Each row is the same model run with one input changed — it says nothing about whether that change is likely. The benchmark is this player’s measured estimate of €3.63m.

Player DNA

Percentile against FWDs in the Demo Premier League

  • Goal threat72
  • Chance creation26
  • Finishing98
  • Defending66
  • Availability64

Elite finishing forward (98th percentile), with above average goal threat (72th). Chance creation is the clear gap at the 26th percentile. Played 58% of available minutes.

Generated from the metrics above, not from scouting notes. Ball progression and pressing are absent because the feed carries no progressive passes, carries or pressures.

Valuation history

The performance index the valuation is built on, by matchweek

Diogo Jokinen index by matchweek

Profile

Per-90 percentiles against FWDs

Percentiles as a table
MetricDiogo Jokinen
Goals86th
Expected goals71st
Shots on target79th
Assists21st
Expected assists26th
Key passes32nd

Per 90

Rate and percentile among FWDs with 270+ minutes

  • Goals0.43
  • Assists0.07
  • Shots2.7
  • Shots on target0.9
  • Key passes1.3
  • Expected goals0.29
  • Expected assists0.10
  • Tackles0.6
  • Interceptions0.4
  • Clearances0.6

Finishing

Goals against the quality of the chances they came from, running total

Diogo Jokinen cumulative goals minus expected goals
0.0+0.5+1.0+1.5+2.0Matchweek

Scoring 1.90 goals more than his chances were worth. Finishing runs like this historically revert.

Comparable players

Closest percentile profiles among the same position

Compare →
PlayerSimilarityValueAgeAlike on
Tomas LindqvistHollinwell84%€1.81m18key passes, expected goals
Wilson AbbottLangmere84%€4.25m32clearances, goals
Adam IvesNorthfleet84%€3.56m20shots on target, goals
Lucas FarrowThorneside83%€2.84m32shots, expected goals
Zeki GrimaldiCalderbrook80%€2.62m24expected goals, shots
Felix GallagherFallowfield79%€21.6m25expected assists, tackles

Match log

17 appearances this season

Match-by-match statistics, most recent first
MWDateOpponentMinGAShSoTxGxAKPTklIntClr
2316 Janat GranthorpeL 1482104.01.00.640.020.01.01.01.0
229 Janat EastmarshD 1133001.00.00.010.040.00.00.00.0
212 Janat CalderbrookD 0081003.00.00.040.012.00.01.00.0
2026 Decat AshcombeW 3090002.01.00.000.082.01.00.00.0
1919 Decv RookwoodL 1390103.02.00.670.071.00.00.01.0
1812 Decv PendleburyL 1257001.00.00.030.061.00.00.01.0
175 Decv NorthfleetW 4290001.00.00.040.012.01.00.01.0
1414 Novv HollinwellW 3090001.00.00.000.060.00.01.00.0
137 Novv FallowfieldW 2069102.02.00.630.002.01.00.00.0
1231 Octv Deepdale ValeW 2090215.04.01.260.682.00.00.01.0
1124 Octv BrackenfordW 2090003.01.00.020.081.01.01.01.0
726 Septv Marsden CrossD 1190002.00.00.040.041.01.00.01.0
619 Septv KelsfordW 2025000.00.00.010.010.00.00.00.0
512 Septv Ilkeston ParkW 219000.00.00.000.010.00.00.00.0
45 Septv GranthorpeW 2190004.00.00.040.022.00.00.00.0
329 Augv EastmarshW 2090105.02.00.640.040.01.01.01.0
222 Augv CalderbrookL 0290001.00.00.030.102.01.01.01.0

Data

Last fixture
16 Jan
Matchweeks covered
24
Model
0.3.0-uncalibrated

Comparable transfers and contract situation are not shown, because the feed carries no transfer fees and no contract expiry dates. See methodology for what the model can and cannot see.