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DEFDemo Premier LeagueSenegal30 years

Bertrand Kovac

Marsden Cross · #7 · KOV7

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Estimated market value

€134k

Model range
€55k – €214k
Confidence
25%
Season change
−24.7%

Movement

Last matchweek
−1.5%
Last 4 matchweeks
−5.4%
Season to date
−24.7%

Reported in matchweeks, not days — football data arrives by fixture round.

Model estimate, uncalibrated. Values are model estimates on an uncalibrated scale. They are not predictions of a transfer fee and have not been validated against observed fees. Model 0.3.0-uncalibrated.

Valuation drivers

What moves this away from the €4.00m base value

  • Performance−€2.60m
  • Age−€406k
  • League€0
  • Position−€95k
  • Availability−€760k

Not in this model

  • ContractNo contract expiry data in the feed
  • Market comparablesNo observed transfer fees in the feed

Availability

Read any valuation against this first

Available minutes played9% · 186 of 2160

5 appearances, 1 starts, 19 matchweeks missed.

A player who is not on the pitch drifts down the index without his performance level falling with it, and availability is a direct discount on the valuation above. An unavailable player is not the same thing as a cheap one.

Scenarios

What the model would say under a different set of facts

  • As measured€134kbenchmark
  • Performance +10%€148k+€13k · +10.0%
  • Performance +20%€161k+€27k · +20.0%
  • Performance −10%€122k−€12k · −9.1%
  • One year older€111k−€23k · −17.1%
  • Fully available€262k+€128k · +94.9%
  • Moves to a stronger divisionAlready in the strongest division we rate

These are counterfactuals, not forecasts. Each row is the same model run with one input changed — it says nothing about whether that change is likely. The benchmark is this player’s measured estimate of €134k.

Player DNA

Percentile against DEFs in the Demo Premier League

  • Goal threat17
  • Chance creation66
  • Finishing46
  • Defending89
  • Availability0

Strong defending defender (89th percentile), with above average chance creation (66th). Goal threat is the clear gap at the 17th percentile. Availability is the headline risk: 9% of available minutes played.

Generated from the metrics above, not from scouting notes. Ball progression and pressing are absent because the feed carries no progressive passes, carries or pressures.

Valuation history

The performance index the valuation is built on, by matchweek

Bertrand Kovac index by matchweek

Profile

Per-90 percentiles against DEFs

Percentiles as a table
MetricBertrand Kovac
Tackles
Interceptions
Clearances
Goals
Expected assists
Key passes

Per 90

Rate and percentile among DEFs with 270+ minutes

Not enough minutes to rank against positional peers yet.

Finishing

Goals against the quality of the chances they came from, running total

Bertrand Kovac cumulative goals minus expected goals
−0.0−0.0−0.0−0.0−0.00.0Matchweek

Scoring 0.01 goals fewer than his chances were worth — the chances are being created.

Comparable players

Closest percentile profiles among the same position

Compare →
PlayerSimilarityValueAgeAlike on
Idris ChevalierAshcombe0%€16.3m25
Wilson XimenesAshcombe0%€4.51m30
Dmitri DelgadoAshcombe0%€241k34
Adam GrimaldiAshcombe0%€495k31
Dmitri CastileAshcombe0%€763k33
Finn HalvorsenAshcombe0%€4.74m29

Match log

5 appearances this season

Match-by-match statistics, most recent first
MWDateOpponentMinGAShSoTxGxAKPTklIntClr
2316 Janv NorthfleetW 4123000.00.00.000.000.00.00.01.0
1628 Novv StanmoorL 0334000.00.00.000.010.00.00.00.0
1521 Novv QuarrydaleL 0190000.00.00.010.031.03.03.03.0
910 Octat EastmarshL 0323000.00.00.000.000.01.01.01.0
726 Septat ThornesideD 1116000.00.00.000.000.01.00.01.0

Data

Last fixture
16 Jan
Matchweeks covered
24
Model
0.3.0-uncalibrated

Comparable transfers and contract situation are not shown, because the feed carries no transfer fees and no contract expiry dates. See methodology for what the model can and cannot see.