Player report
Rafael Okafor
FWD · Oakhurst · Demo Premier League · 22 years · England
Valuation
Values are model estimates on an uncalibrated scale. They are not predictions of a transfer fee and have not been validated against observed fees. Model 0.3.0-uncalibrated.
Performance profile
Player DNA
- Goal threat30
- Chance creation99
- Finishing70
- Defending15
- Availability7
Per 90, percentile ranked
- Goals0.19
- Assists0.38
- Shots2.3
- Shots on target0.8
- Key passes2.5
- Expected goals0.16
- Expected assists0.30
- Tackles0.0
- Interceptions0.0
- Clearances0.4
Elite chance creation forward (99th percentile), with above average finishing (70th). Defending is the clear gap at the 15th percentile. Availability is the headline risk: 22% of available minutes played.
Season
Key strengths
- Chance creation is a clear strength99th percentile among FWDs in this division
- Elite volume of key passes2.45 per 90, 99th percentile
Key risks and limitations
- Defending is a clear weakness15th percentile among FWDs in this division
- Availability is the headline risk22% of available minutes; 16 matchweeks missed
- Small sample477 minutes across 8 appearances. Percentiles are published but thinly evidenced.
- Low model confidence44% against a ceiling of 72%. The valuation range is correspondingly wide.
Valuation history
Comparable players
| Player | Similarity | Value | Age |
|---|---|---|---|
| Emil OkaforIlkeston Park | 77% | €1.65m | 32 |
| Lucas RasmussenQuarrydale | 76% | €1.42m | 25 |
| Bruno ToureenCalderbrook | 75% | €992k | 22 |
| Bertrand CastileKelsford | 75% | €56.0m | 19 |
| Dmitri JokinenRookwood | 74% | €2.33m | 32 |
Comparable transfers
Not available. The feed carries no observed transfer fees and no contract expiry dates, so there is nothing to build a comparable-fee distribution from.
This section is left in rather than removed, because its absence is itself a finding: any fee inference in this report would be unsupported.
Data confidence
- Model confidence
- 44%of 72% ceiling
- Sample
- 477 min · 8 apps
- Last fixture
- 23 Jan
Percentiles are taken against FWDs in the Demo Premier League with 270 or more minutes. The model holds no contract, injury, wage or transfer data, and no progressive passing, carrying or pressing metrics.
Methodology
Weekly output is weighted by position, discounted by minutes as a credibility multiplier, and compared against an exponentially weighted average of the player’s own previous weeks — so the model moves on surprise rather than output. That becomes a percentile within the position group, then adjusted for age, league strength, position and availability.
An estimated value is not a transfer fee. Full methodology.