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DEFDemo Premier LeagueDenmark19 years

Elias Salvatore

Thorneside · #5 · SA10

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Estimated market value

€15.6m

Model range
€9.00m – €22.1m
Confidence
56%
Season change
+22.8%

Movement

Last matchweek
−1.5%
Last 4 matchweeks
+2.5%
Season to date
+22.8%

Reported in matchweeks, not days — football data arrives by fixture round.

Model estimate, uncalibrated. Values are model estimates on an uncalibrated scale. They are not predictions of a transfer fee and have not been validated against observed fees. Model 0.3.0-uncalibrated.

Valuation drivers

What moves this away from the €4.00m base value

  • Performance+€10.9m
  • Age+€3.22m
  • League€0
  • Position−€710k
  • Availability−€1.89m

Not in this model

  • ContractNo contract expiry data in the feed
  • Market comparablesNo observed transfer fees in the feed

Availability

Read any valuation against this first

Available minutes played48% · 1035 of 2160

14 appearances, 12 starts, 10 matchweeks missed.

A player who is not on the pitch drifts down the index without his performance level falling with it, and availability is a direct discount on the valuation above. An unavailable player is not the same thing as a cheap one.

Scenarios

What the model would say under a different set of facts

  • As measured€15.6mbenchmark
  • Performance +10%€17.1m+€1.56m · +10.0%
  • Performance +20%€18.7m+€3.11m · +20.0%
  • Performance −10%€14.0m−€1.56m · −10.0%
  • One year older€16.0m+€427k · +2.7%
  • Fully available€19.4m+€3.86m · +24.8%
  • Moves to a stronger divisionAlready in the strongest division we rate

These are counterfactuals, not forecasts. Each row is the same model run with one input changed — it says nothing about whether that change is likely. The benchmark is this player’s measured estimate of €15.6m.

Player DNA

Percentile against DEFs in the Demo Premier League

  • Goal threat35
  • Chance creation62
  • Finishing97
  • Defending41
  • Availability49

Elite finishing defender (97th percentile), with above average chance creation (62th). Availability is the headline risk: 48% of available minutes played.

Generated from the metrics above, not from scouting notes. Ball progression and pressing are absent because the feed carries no progressive passes, carries or pressures.

Valuation history

The performance index the valuation is built on, by matchweek

Elias Salvatore index by matchweek

Profile

Per-90 percentiles against DEFs

Percentiles as a table
MetricElias Salvatore
Tackles28th
Interceptions58th
Clearances67th
Goals72nd
Expected assists71st
Key passes43rd

Per 90

Rate and percentile among DEFs with 270+ minutes

  • Goals0.09
  • Assists0.09
  • Shots0.1
  • Shots on target0.1
  • Key passes0.1
  • Expected goals0.06
  • Expected assists0.06
  • Tackles1.8
  • Interceptions1.7
  • Clearances2.8

Finishing

Goals against the quality of the chances they came from, running total

Elias Salvatore cumulative goals minus expected goals
0.0+0.1+0.2+0.3Matchweek

Scoring 0.35 goals more than his chances were worth. Finishing runs like this historically revert.

Comparable players

Closest percentile profiles among the same position

Compare →
PlayerSimilarityValueAgeAlike on
Kai GrimaldiFallowfield91%€29.7m29key passes, shots on target
Cillian ArdalNorthfleet82%€8.22m22goals, assists
Idris EriksenOakhurst82%€6.94m21key passes, expected goals
Bertrand DelgadoEastmarsh80%€1.72m35expected goals, clearances
Omar GallagherOakhurst79%€3.59m23key passes, assists
Bruno VasquezPendlebury79%€22.4m19expected goals, interceptions

Match log

14 appearances this season

Match-by-match statistics, most recent first
MWDateOpponentMinGAShSoTxGxAKPTklIntClr
2316 Janat GranthorpeL 1490000.00.00.000.010.04.03.04.0
229 Janat EastmarshD 1190101.01.00.650.010.01.02.03.0
2026 Decat AshcombeW 3090000.00.00.000.000.04.00.02.0
1812 Decv PendleburyL 1213000.00.00.000.000.00.00.01.0
175 Decv NorthfleetW 4263010.00.00.000.621.02.02.03.0
137 Novv FallowfieldW 2090000.00.00.000.000.01.03.03.0
1231 Octv Deepdale ValeW 2090000.00.00.000.000.03.01.04.0
1017 Octv StanmoorW 1072000.00.00.000.010.02.02.03.0
726 Septv Marsden CrossD 1113000.00.00.000.000.00.00.01.0
619 Septv KelsfordW 2090000.00.00.000.010.00.02.02.0
45 Septv GranthorpeW 2183000.00.00.000.000.00.00.01.0
329 Augv EastmarshW 2090000.00.00.000.000.01.02.02.0
222 Augv CalderbrookL 0282000.00.00.000.010.01.01.01.0
115 Augv AshcombeD 2279000.00.00.000.000.02.01.02.0

Data

Last fixture
16 Jan
Matchweeks covered
24
Model
0.3.0-uncalibrated

Comparable transfers and contract situation are not shown, because the feed carries no transfer fees and no contract expiry dates. See methodology for what the model can and cannot see.