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DEFDemo Premier LeagueCroatia23 years

Lucas Salvatore

Granthorpe · #4 · SAL3

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Estimated market value

€4.04m

Model range
€2.69m – €5.39m
Confidence
72%
Season change
+15.9%

Movement

Last matchweek
−1.5%
Last 4 matchweeks
−3.0%
Season to date
+15.9%

Reported in matchweeks, not days — football data arrives by fixture round.

Model estimate, uncalibrated. Values are model estimates on an uncalibrated scale. They are not predictions of a transfer fee and have not been validated against observed fees. Model 0.3.0-uncalibrated.

Valuation drivers

What moves this away from the €4.00m base value

  • Performance−€574k
  • Age+€1.28m
  • League€0
  • Position−€335k
  • Availability−€331k

Not in this model

  • ContractNo contract expiry data in the feed
  • Market comparablesNo observed transfer fees in the feed

Availability

Read any valuation against this first

Available minutes played64% · 1387 of 2160

16 appearances, 16 starts, 8 matchweeks missed.

A player who is not on the pitch drifts down the index without his performance level falling with it, and availability is a direct discount on the valuation above. An unavailable player is not the same thing as a cheap one.

Scenarios

What the model would say under a different set of facts

  • As measured€4.04mbenchmark
  • Performance +10%€4.44m+€404k · +10.0%
  • Performance +20%€4.85m+€808k · +20.0%
  • Performance −10%€3.64m−€404k · −10.0%
  • One year older€3.82m−€220k · −5.5%
  • Fully available€4.39m+€347k · +8.6%
  • Moves to a stronger divisionAlready in the strongest division we rate

These are counterfactuals, not forecasts. Each row is the same model run with one input changed — it says nothing about whether that change is likely. The benchmark is this player’s measured estimate of €4.04m.

Player DNA

Percentile against DEFs in the Demo Premier League

  • Goal threat45
  • Chance creation67
  • Finishing46
  • Defending59
  • Availability70

Above average chance creation defender (67th percentile), with above average defending (59th). Played 64% of available minutes.

Generated from the metrics above, not from scouting notes. Ball progression and pressing are absent because the feed carries no progressive passes, carries or pressures.

Valuation history

The performance index the valuation is built on, by matchweek

Lucas Salvatore index by matchweek

Profile

Per-90 percentiles against DEFs

Percentiles as a table
MetricLucas Salvatore
Tackles57th
Interceptions48th
Clearances86th
Goals26th
Expected assists67th
Key passes58th

Per 90

Rate and percentile among DEFs with 270+ minutes

  • Goals0.00
  • Assists0.06
  • Shots0.8
  • Shots on target0.0
  • Key passes0.3
  • Expected goals0.00
  • Expected assists0.05
  • Tackles2.2
  • Interceptions1.6
  • Clearances3.0

Finishing

Goals against the quality of the chances they came from, running total

Lucas Salvatore cumulative goals minus expected goals
−0.1−0.0−0.00.0Matchweek

Scoring 0.07 goals fewer than his chances were worth — the chances are being created.

Comparable players

Closest percentile profiles among the same position

Compare →
PlayerSimilarityValueAgeAlike on
Zeki JansenOakhurst84%€10.4m23goals, shots on target
Idris GallagherPendlebury83%€4.41m20goals, shots on target
Bruno VasquezPendlebury82%€22.4m19shots, expected assists
Felix FarrowQuarrydale82%€2.67m33goals, assists
Rafael ArdalHollinwell81%€3.32m21goals, shots on target
Tomas ArdalHollinwell81%€4.03m23goals, shots on target

Match log

16 appearances this season

Match-by-match statistics, most recent first
MWDateOpponentMinGAShSoTxGxAKPTklIntClr
2316 Janv ThornesideW 4190001.00.00.010.020.02.01.04.0
229 Janv RookwoodL 0390000.00.00.000.021.00.03.03.0
1812 Decv JarrowgateW 3190001.00.00.000.010.04.00.03.0
175 Decv HollinwellW 1090001.00.00.000.011.02.03.01.0
1628 Novv FallowfieldD 0090000.00.00.000.010.01.01.03.0
1521 Novv Deepdale ValeW 3067001.00.00.010.010.00.00.03.0
1414 Novv BrackenfordL 0190000.00.00.010.000.03.01.01.0
1231 Octv QuarrydaleL 0190001.00.00.010.020.04.02.04.0
1124 Octv OakhurstW 1090001.00.00.000.000.03.01.01.0
1017 Octv Marsden CrossD 0090000.00.00.000.010.03.01.05.0
910 Octv KelsfordD 1190011.00.00.010.632.02.01.04.0
619 Septat EastmarshL 0174001.00.00.010.010.01.02.04.0
45 Septat ThornesideL 1290001.00.00.000.020.04.03.03.0
329 Augat RookwoodW 1090001.00.00.000.020.01.02.03.0
222 Augat PendleburyL 0290001.00.00.010.010.02.02.01.0
115 Augat NorthfleetL 0676001.00.00.000.020.02.01.04.0

Data

Last fixture
16 Jan
Matchweeks covered
24
Model
0.3.0-uncalibrated

Comparable transfers and contract situation are not shown, because the feed carries no transfer fees and no contract expiry dates. See methodology for what the model can and cannot see.