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FWDDemo Premier LeagueSpain24 years

Noah Toureen

Marsden Cross · #18 · TO12

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Estimated market value

€50.1m

Model range
€27.6m – €72.7m
Confidence
51%
Season change
+12.1%

Movement

Last matchweek
+2.4%
Last 4 matchweeks
+13.4%
Season to date
+12.1%

Reported in matchweeks, not days — football data arrives by fixture round.

Model estimate, uncalibrated. Values are model estimates on an uncalibrated scale. They are not predictions of a transfer fee and have not been validated against observed fees. Model 0.3.0-uncalibrated.

Valuation drivers

What moves this away from the €4.00m base value

  • Performance+€40.0m
  • Age+€4.79m
  • League€0
  • Position+€3.02m
  • Availability−€1.65m

Not in this model

  • ContractNo contract expiry data in the feed
  • Market comparablesNo observed transfer fees in the feed

Availability

Read any valuation against this first

Available minutes played63% · 1366 of 2160

16 appearances, 14 starts, 8 matchweeks missed.

A player who is not on the pitch drifts down the index without his performance level falling with it, and availability is a direct discount on the valuation above. An unavailable player is not the same thing as a cheap one.

Scenarios

What the model would say under a different set of facts

  • As measured€50.1mbenchmark
  • Performance +10%€55.1m+€5.01m · +10.0%
  • Performance +20%€60.1m+€10.0m · +20.0%
  • Performance −10%€45.1m−€5.01m · −10.0%
  • One year older€46.7m−€3.47m · −6.9%
  • Fully available€54.9m+€4.73m · +9.4%
  • Moves to a stronger divisionAlready in the strongest division we rate

These are counterfactuals, not forecasts. Each row is the same model run with one input changed — it says nothing about whether that change is likely. The benchmark is this player’s measured estimate of €50.1m.

Player DNA

Percentile against FWDs in the Demo Premier League

  • Goal threat13
  • Chance creation10
  • Finishing95
  • Defending84
  • Availability71

Elite finishing forward (95th percentile), with strong defending (84th). Chance creation is the clear gap at the 10th percentile. Played 63% of available minutes.

Generated from the metrics above, not from scouting notes. Ball progression and pressing are absent because the feed carries no progressive passes, carries or pressures.

Valuation history

The performance index the valuation is built on, by matchweek

Noah Toureen index by matchweek

Profile

Per-90 percentiles against FWDs

Percentiles as a table
MetricNoah Toureen
Goals40th
Expected goals26th
Shots on target13th
Assists19th
Expected assists18th
Key passes11th

Per 90

Rate and percentile among FWDs with 270+ minutes

  • Goals0.20
  • Assists0.07
  • Shots2.4
  • Shots on target0.5
  • Key passes1.1
  • Expected goals0.14
  • Expected assists0.08
  • Tackles0.7
  • Interceptions0.6
  • Clearances0.6

Finishing

Goals against the quality of the chances they came from, running total

Noah Toureen cumulative goals minus expected goals
0.0+0.5+1.0Matchweek

Scoring 0.91 goals more than his chances were worth. Finishing runs like this historically revert.

Comparable players

Closest percentile profiles among the same position

Compare →
PlayerSimilarityValueAgeAlike on
Diogo KovacGranthorpe90%€23.8m27goals, assists
Diogo KovacBrackenford85%€11.3m22assists, interceptions
Elias HaugenIlkeston Park83%€152k34key passes, tackles
Wilson ArdalDeepdale Vale82%€4.98m32assists, shots
Finn LindqvistPendlebury81%€2.68m21shots on target, key passes
Mateo VasquezAshcombe78%€4.95m27expected goals, interceptions

Match log

16 appearances this season

Match-by-match statistics, most recent first
MWDateOpponentMinGAShSoTxGxAKPTklIntClr
2423 Janv PendleburyW 2090103.02.00.650.060.01.01.01.0
2316 Janv NorthfleetW 4190112.02.00.640.682.01.01.01.0
212 Janv JarrowgateD 1190002.00.00.030.052.01.01.00.0
2026 Decv HollinwellL 0290002.00.00.010.062.00.01.01.0
1919 Decv FallowfieldL 0490003.01.00.010.012.01.01.00.0
1812 Decv Deepdale ValeW 2090004.00.00.000.010.00.01.01.0
175 Decv BrackenfordW 1081102.01.00.630.020.01.01.01.0
1521 Novv QuarrydaleL 0190002.00.00.030.061.01.00.01.0
137 Novv AshcombeW 1058001.00.00.000.041.00.00.00.0
1231 Octat KelsfordD 1190003.00.00.020.032.01.00.01.0
1124 Octat Ilkeston ParkW 1090003.00.00.040.031.01.00.00.0
1017 Octat GranthorpeD 0057001.00.00.010.040.00.00.00.0
83 Octat CalderbrookL 0190003.01.00.000.071.01.01.00.0
726 Septat ThornesideD 1190002.00.00.000.071.01.00.00.0
329 Augat LangmereL 0290001.00.00.010.010.00.01.01.0
222 Augat JarrowgateD 1190003.00.00.010.051.01.00.01.0

Data

Last fixture
23 Jan
Matchweeks covered
24
Model
0.3.0-uncalibrated

Comparable transfers and contract situation are not shown, because the feed carries no transfer fees and no contract expiry dates. See methodology for what the model can and cannot see.