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MIDDemo Premier LeagueDenmark24 years

Adam Ximenes

Northfleet · #15 · XI12

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Estimated market value

€20.2m

Model range
€10.3m – €30.0m
Confidence
44%
Season change
+1.0%

Movement

Last matchweek
+10.3%
Last 4 matchweeks
+6.8%
Season to date
+1.0%

Reported in matchweeks, not days — football data arrives by fixture round.

Model estimate, uncalibrated. Values are model estimates on an uncalibrated scale. They are not predictions of a transfer fee and have not been validated against observed fees. Model 0.3.0-uncalibrated.

Valuation drivers

What moves this away from the €4.00m base value

  • Performance+€16.7m
  • Age+€2.62m
  • League€0
  • Position+€392k
  • Availability−€3.49m

Not in this model

  • ContractNo contract expiry data in the feed
  • Market comparablesNo observed transfer fees in the feed

Availability

Read any valuation against this first

Available minutes played35% · 752 of 2160

11 appearances, 8 starts, 13 matchweeks missed.

A player who is not on the pitch drifts down the index without his performance level falling with it, and availability is a direct discount on the valuation above. An unavailable player is not the same thing as a cheap one.

Scenarios

What the model would say under a different set of facts

  • As measured€20.2mbenchmark
  • Performance +10%€22.2m+€2.02m · +10.0%
  • Performance +20%€24.2m+€4.04m · +20.0%
  • Performance −10%€18.2m−€2.02m · −10.0%
  • One year older€18.8m−€1.40m · −6.9%
  • Fully available€28.6m+€8.44m · +41.8%
  • Moves to a stronger divisionAlready in the strongest division we rate

These are counterfactuals, not forecasts. Each row is the same model run with one input changed — it says nothing about whether that change is likely. The benchmark is this player’s measured estimate of €20.2m.

Player DNA

Percentile against MIDs in the Demo Premier League

  • Goal threat93
  • Chance creation49
  • Finishing64
  • Defending64
  • Availability41

Elite goal threat midfielder (93th percentile), with above average finishing (64th). Availability is the headline risk: 35% of available minutes played.

Generated from the metrics above, not from scouting notes. Ball progression and pressing are absent because the feed carries no progressive passes, carries or pressures.

Valuation history

The performance index the valuation is built on, by matchweek

Adam Ximenes index by matchweek

Profile

Per-90 percentiles against MIDs

Percentiles as a table
MetricAdam Ximenes
Key passes40th
Expected assists52nd
Expected goals96th
Goals95th
Tackles68th
Interceptions40th

Per 90

Rate and percentile among MIDs with 270+ minutes

  • Goals0.36
  • Assists0.12
  • Shots1.4
  • Shots on target0.8
  • Key passes0.7
  • Expected goals0.35
  • Expected assists0.09
  • Tackles1.4
  • Interceptions1.0
  • Clearances1.9

Finishing

Goals against the quality of the chances they came from, running total

Adam Ximenes cumulative goals minus expected goals
0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1Matchweek

Scoring 0.08 goals more than his chances were worth. Finishing runs like this historically revert.

Comparable players

Closest percentile profiles among the same position

Compare →
PlayerSimilarityValueAgeAlike on
Zeki LindqvistIlkeston Park82%€2.36m30expected goals, clearances
Wilson ChevalierRookwood80%€941k23goals, clearances
Cillian DahlbergThorneside80%€1.53m30expected assists, assists
Wilson ChevalierLangmere77%€13.7m23interceptions, clearances
Samir JokinenNorthfleet77%€30.8m28goals, key passes
Caleb ZielinskiLangmere75%€10.9m34shots, key passes

Match log

11 appearances this season

Match-by-match statistics, most recent first
MWDateOpponentMinGAShSoTxGxAKPTklIntClr
2423 Janat OakhurstD 2290102.02.00.950.020.02.01.02.0
2316 Janat Marsden CrossL 1428000.00.00.000.010.01.00.00.0
2026 Decat GranthorpeW 2190000.00.00.010.011.02.02.03.0
1919 Decat EastmarshW 1018000.00.00.000.000.01.00.00.0
1414 Novat AshcombeW 1090001.00.00.000.021.03.02.01.0
83 Octv BrackenfordW 2013000.00.00.000.000.00.00.00.0
619 Septv QuarrydaleW 3090002.01.00.010.000.00.01.01.0
512 Septv OakhurstL 0190002.01.00.010.011.00.00.02.0
329 Augv KelsfordW 4190102.02.00.970.021.02.01.02.0
222 Augv Ilkeston ParkL 1290011.00.00.020.651.01.00.03.0
115 Augv GranthorpeW 6063102.01.00.950.021.00.01.02.0

Data

Last fixture
23 Jan
Matchweeks covered
24
Model
0.3.0-uncalibrated

Comparable transfers and contract situation are not shown, because the feed carries no transfer fees and no contract expiry dates. See methodology for what the model can and cannot see.