Elias Abbott

Valuation

Values are model estimates on an uncalibrated scale. They are not predictions of a transfer fee and have not been validated against observed fees. Model 0.3.0-uncalibrated.

Performance profile

Strong chance creation forward (82th percentile), with strong finishing (81th). Goal threat is the clear gap at the 27th percentile. Played 63% of available minutes.

Season

Key strengths

• Chance creation is a clear strength82th percentile among FWDs in this division
• Finishing is a clear strength81th percentile among FWDs in this division
• Elite volume of expected assists0.25 per 90, 92th percentile

Key risks and limitations

• No statistical red flags in the data we holdThis is not the same as no risk: we hold no contract, injury, wage or transfer data, and nobody has watched the player.

Valuation history

Comparable players

Comparable transfers

Not available. The feed carries no observed transfer fees and no contract expiry dates, so there is nothing to build a comparable-fee distribution from.

This section is left in rather than removed, because its absence is itself a finding: any fee inference in this report would be unsupported.

Data confidence

Model confidence

55%of 72% ceiling

Sample

1361 min · 18 apps

Last fixture

23 Jan

Percentiles are taken against FWDs in the Demo Premier League with 270 or more minutes. The model holds no contract, injury, wage or transfer data, and no progressive passing, carrying or pressing metrics.

Methodology

Weekly output is weighted by position, discounted by minutes as a credibility multiplier, and compared against an exponentially weighted average of the player’s own previous weeks — so the model moves on surprise rather than output. That becomes a percentile within the position group, then adjusted for age, league strength, position and availability.

An estimated value is not a transfer fee. Full methodology.