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FWDDemo Premier LeagueSpain33 years

Elias Abbott

Quarrydale · #21 · ABB9

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Estimated market value

€12.0m

Model range
€6.88m – €17.1m
Confidence
55%
Season change
+18.3%

Movement

Last matchweek
+7.1%
Last 4 matchweeks
+10.4%
Season to date
+18.3%

Reported in matchweeks, not days — football data arrives by fixture round.

Model estimate, uncalibrated. Values are model estimates on an uncalibrated scale. They are not predictions of a transfer fee and have not been validated against observed fees. Model 0.3.0-uncalibrated.

Valuation drivers

What moves this away from the €4.00m base value

  • Performance+€14.9m
  • Age−€7.44m
  • League€0
  • Position+€1.21m
  • Availability−€671k

Not in this model

  • ContractNo contract expiry data in the feed
  • Market comparablesNo observed transfer fees in the feed

Availability

Read any valuation against this first

Available minutes played63% · 1361 of 2160

18 appearances, 15 starts, 6 matchweeks missed.

A player who is not on the pitch drifts down the index without his performance level falling with it, and availability is a direct discount on the valuation above. An unavailable player is not the same thing as a cheap one.

Scenarios

What the model would say under a different set of facts

  • As measured€12.0mbenchmark
  • Performance +10%€13.2m+€1.20m · +10.0%
  • Performance +20%€14.4m+€2.40m · +20.0%
  • Performance −10%€10.8m−€1.20m · −10.0%
  • One year older€9.34m−€2.67m · −22.2%
  • Fully available€13.2m+€1.16m · +9.6%
  • Moves to a stronger divisionAlready in the strongest division we rate

These are counterfactuals, not forecasts. Each row is the same model run with one input changed — it says nothing about whether that change is likely. The benchmark is this player’s measured estimate of €12.0m.

Player DNA

Percentile against FWDs in the Demo Premier League

  • Goal threat27
  • Chance creation82
  • Finishing81
  • Defending56
  • Availability70

Strong chance creation forward (82th percentile), with strong finishing (81th). Goal threat is the clear gap at the 27th percentile. Played 63% of available minutes.

Generated from the metrics above, not from scouting notes. Ball progression and pressing are absent because the feed carries no progressive passes, carries or pressures.

Valuation history

The performance index the valuation is built on, by matchweek

Elias Abbott index by matchweek

Profile

Per-90 percentiles against FWDs

Percentiles as a table
MetricElias Abbott
Goals41st
Expected goals34th
Shots on target26th
Assists91st
Expected assists92nd
Key passes46th

Per 90

Rate and percentile among FWDs with 270+ minutes

  • Goals0.20
  • Assists0.33
  • Shots2.4
  • Shots on target0.6
  • Key passes1.4
  • Expected goals0.16
  • Expected assists0.25
  • Tackles0.5
  • Interceptions0.4
  • Clearances0.5

Finishing

Goals against the quality of the chances they came from, running total

Elias Abbott cumulative goals minus expected goals
0.0+0.2+0.4+0.6Matchweek

Scoring 0.65 goals more than his chances were worth. Finishing runs like this historically revert.

Comparable players

Closest percentile profiles among the same position

Compare →
PlayerSimilarityValueAgeAlike on
Omar AbbottMarsden Cross84%€17.5m25assists, tackles
Bertrand CastileKelsford81%€56.0m19shots, key passes
Yusuf ZielinskiDeepdale Vale80%€1.27m22shots on target, tackles
Emil OkaforIlkeston Park78%€1.65m32key passes, expected assists
Lucas OkaforAshcombe77%€527k32expected assists, clearances
Viktor IvesIlkeston Park76%€544k30key passes, tackles

Match log

18 appearances this season

Match-by-match statistics, most recent first
MWDateOpponentMinGAShSoTxGxAKPTklIntClr
2423 Janv LangmereW 2190104.02.00.690.072.01.01.01.0
2316 Janv JarrowgateD 2290013.00.00.030.652.01.00.01.0
229 Janv HollinwellD 1190002.00.00.030.010.00.00.00.0
212 Janv FallowfieldL 1290004.00.00.020.081.01.00.01.0
1919 Decv BrackenfordL 0259002.00.00.000.041.00.01.00.0
1812 Decv StanmoorW 2190002.01.00.000.042.01.00.00.0
175 Decv AshcombeW 1072104.02.00.700.021.00.01.01.0
1628 Novat OakhurstW 2190012.01.00.040.692.01.00.01.0
1521 Novat Marsden CrossW 1077001.00.00.000.071.00.01.00.0
137 Novat Ilkeston ParkW 1090002.00.00.040.001.00.00.00.0
1231 Octat GranthorpeW 1083012.01.00.020.692.00.00.01.0
1124 Octat EastmarshD 005000.00.00.000.000.00.00.00.0
1017 Octat CalderbrookW 1029000.00.00.000.010.00.00.00.0
910 Octat ThornesideL 0176001.00.00.020.031.01.00.00.0
83 Octat RookwoodW 2090103.01.00.710.010.00.00.00.0
726 Septat PendleburyW 3190012.01.00.010.672.01.01.00.0
45 Septat JarrowgateW 1090011.00.00.040.672.00.01.01.0
329 Augat HollinwellL 0260001.00.00.000.041.01.00.00.0

Data

Last fixture
23 Jan
Matchweeks covered
24
Model
0.3.0-uncalibrated

Comparable transfers and contract situation are not shown, because the feed carries no transfer fees and no contract expiry dates. See methodology for what the model can and cannot see.