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Player report

Diogo Brennan

MID · Granthorpe · Demo Premier League · 32 years · Italy

Valuation

Estimated value
€12.2m
Model range
€5.58m–€18.8m
Confidence
34%
Season change
+2.0%

Values are model estimates on an uncalibrated scale. They are not predictions of a transfer fee and have not been validated against observed fees. Model 0.3.0-uncalibrated.

Performance profile

Player DNA

  • Goal threat57
  • Chance creation99
  • Finishing29
  • Defending8
  • Availability25

Per 90, percentile ranked

  • Goals0.17
  • Assists0.50
  • Shots1.7
  • Shots on target0.3
  • Key passes1.5
  • Expected goals0.17
  • Expected assists0.34
  • Tackles0.8
  • Interceptions0.7
  • Clearances1.0

Elite chance creation midfielder (99th percentile), with above average goal threat (57th). Defending is the clear gap at the 8th percentile. Availability is the headline risk: 25% of available minutes played.

Season

Appearances
10
Minutes
544
Goals / assists
1 / 3
Availability
25%

Key strengths

  • Chance creation is a clear strength99th percentile among MIDs in this division
  • Elite volume of key passes1.49 per 90, 100th percentile

Key risks and limitations

  • Defending is a clear weakness8th percentile among MIDs in this division
  • Availability is the headline risk25% of available minutes; 14 matchweeks missed
  • Small sample544 minutes across 10 appearances. Percentiles are published but thinly evidenced.
  • Low model confidence34% against a ceiling of 72%. The valuation range is correspondingly wide.

Valuation history

Diogo Brennan index by matchweek

Comparable players

PlayerSimilarityValueAge
Idris SalvatoreEastmarsh82%€3.42m35
Noah QuintanaThorneside81%€1.06m20
Andre EkstromFallowfield79%€13.1m29
Pedro FontaineMarsden Cross79%€2.94m34
Emil HaugenNorthfleet79%€11.5m25

Comparable transfers

Not available. The feed carries no observed transfer fees and no contract expiry dates, so there is nothing to build a comparable-fee distribution from.

This section is left in rather than removed, because its absence is itself a finding: any fee inference in this report would be unsupported.

Data confidence

Model confidence
34%of 72% ceiling
Sample
544 min · 10 apps
Last fixture
16 Jan

Percentiles are taken against MIDs in the Demo Premier League with 270 or more minutes. The model holds no contract, injury, wage or transfer data, and no progressive passing, carrying or pressing metrics.

Methodology

Weekly output is weighted by position, discounted by minutes as a credibility multiplier, and compared against an exponentially weighted average of the player’s own previous weeks — so the model moves on surprise rather than output. That becomes a percentile within the position group, then adjusted for age, league strength, position and availability.

An estimated value is not a transfer fee. Full methodology.

Generated from data covering 24 matchweeks. Model 0.3.0-uncalibrated. Values are model estimates on an uncalibrated scale and are not transfer fees.