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MIDDemo Premier LeagueItaly32 years

Diogo Brennan

Granthorpe · #15 · BRE3

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Estimated market value

€12.2m

Model range
€5.58m – €18.8m
Confidence
34%
Season change
+2.0%

Movement

Last matchweek
−1.5%
Last 4 matchweeks
+11.8%
Season to date
+2.0%

Reported in matchweeks, not days — football data arrives by fixture round.

Model estimate, uncalibrated. Values are model estimates on an uncalibrated scale. They are not predictions of a transfer fee and have not been validated against observed fees. Model 0.3.0-uncalibrated.

Valuation drivers

What moves this away from the €4.00m base value

  • Performance+€16.8m
  • Age−€5.55m
  • League€0
  • Position+€288k
  • Availability−€3.34m

Not in this model

  • ContractNo contract expiry data in the feed
  • Market comparablesNo observed transfer fees in the feed

Availability

Read any valuation against this first

Available minutes played25% · 544 of 2160

10 appearances, 5 starts, 14 matchweeks missed.

A player who is not on the pitch drifts down the index without his performance level falling with it, and availability is a direct discount on the valuation above. An unavailable player is not the same thing as a cheap one.

Scenarios

What the model would say under a different set of facts

  • As measured€12.2mbenchmark
  • Performance +10%€13.4m+€1.22m · +10.0%
  • Performance +20%€13.4m+€1.22m · +10.0%
  • Performance −10%€11.0m−€1.22m · −10.0%
  • One year older€9.35m−€2.86m · −23.4%
  • Fully available€19.2m+€7.02m · +57.6%
  • Moves to a stronger divisionAlready in the strongest division we rate

These are counterfactuals, not forecasts. Each row is the same model run with one input changed — it says nothing about whether that change is likely. The benchmark is this player’s measured estimate of €12.2m.

Player DNA

Percentile against MIDs in the Demo Premier League

  • Goal threat57
  • Chance creation99
  • Finishing29
  • Defending8
  • Availability25

Elite chance creation midfielder (99th percentile), with above average goal threat (57th). Defending is the clear gap at the 8th percentile. Availability is the headline risk: 25% of available minutes played.

Generated from the metrics above, not from scouting notes. Ball progression and pressing are absent because the feed carries no progressive passes, carries or pressures.

Valuation history

The performance index the valuation is built on, by matchweek

Diogo Brennan index by matchweek

Profile

Per-90 percentiles against MIDs

Percentiles as a table
MetricDiogo Brennan
Key passes100th
Expected assists98th
Expected goals62nd
Goals60th
Tackles10th
Interceptions13th

Per 90

Rate and percentile among MIDs with 270+ minutes

  • Goals0.17
  • Assists0.50
  • Shots1.7
  • Shots on target0.3
  • Key passes1.5
  • Expected goals0.17
  • Expected assists0.34
  • Tackles0.8
  • Interceptions0.7
  • Clearances1.0

Finishing

Goals against the quality of the chances they came from, running total

Diogo Brennan cumulative goals minus expected goals
−0.1−0.1−0.0−0.00.0Matchweek

Scoring 0.04 goals fewer than his chances were worth — the chances are being created.

Comparable players

Closest percentile profiles among the same position

Compare →
PlayerSimilarityValueAgeAlike on
Idris SalvatoreEastmarsh82%€3.42m35shots, goals
Noah QuintanaThorneside81%€1.06m20key passes, clearances
Andre EkstromFallowfield79%€13.1m29expected goals, expected assists
Pedro FontaineMarsden Cross79%€2.94m34goals, tackles
Emil HaugenNorthfleet79%€11.5m25assists, expected assists
Emil BrennanOakhurst78%€5.24m24shots, assists

Match log

10 appearances this season

Match-by-match statistics, most recent first
MWDateOpponentMinGAShSoTxGxAKPTklIntClr
2316 Janv ThornesideW 4190124.02.00.961.273.01.00.00.0
212 Janv PendleburyW 1090001.00.00.020.041.00.01.02.0
2026 Decv NorthfleetL 1284011.00.00.010.632.00.02.02.0
1812 Decv JarrowgateW 3118000.00.00.010.010.00.00.00.0
1124 Octv OakhurstW 1022001.00.00.000.010.00.00.00.0
910 Octv KelsfordD 1190001.00.00.030.052.02.00.02.0
83 Octv Ilkeston ParkL 0211000.00.00.000.000.00.00.00.0
619 Septat EastmarshL 0190001.00.00.010.001.01.01.00.0
329 Augat RookwoodW 1021000.00.00.000.010.00.00.00.0
115 Augat NorthfleetL 0628001.00.00.000.010.01.00.00.0

Data

Last fixture
16 Jan
Matchweeks covered
24
Model
0.3.0-uncalibrated

Comparable transfers and contract situation are not shown, because the feed carries no transfer fees and no contract expiry dates. See methodology for what the model can and cannot see.