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DEFDemo Premier LeagueBrazil21 years

Diogo Dahlberg

Calderbrook · #3 · DAH1

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Estimated market value

€42.1m

Model range
€26.2m – €58.0m
Confidence
64%
Season change
+13.3%

Movement

Last matchweek
+9.5%
Last 4 matchweeks
+3.9%
Season to date
+13.3%

Reported in matchweeks, not days — football data arrives by fixture round.

Model estimate, uncalibrated. Values are model estimates on an uncalibrated scale. They are not predictions of a transfer fee and have not been validated against observed fees. Model 0.3.0-uncalibrated.

Valuation drivers

What moves this away from the €4.00m base value

  • Performance+€33.1m
  • Age+€6.29m
  • League€0
  • Position−€1.35m
  • Availability€0

Not in this model

  • ContractNo contract expiry data in the feed
  • Market comparablesNo observed transfer fees in the feed

Availability

Read any valuation against this first

Available minutes played86% · 1865 of 2160

24 appearances, 22 starts, 0 matchweeks missed.

A player who is not on the pitch drifts down the index without his performance level falling with it, and availability is a direct discount on the valuation above. An unavailable player is not the same thing as a cheap one.

Scenarios

What the model would say under a different set of facts

  • As measured€42.1mbenchmark
  • Performance +10%€46.3m+€4.21m · +10.0%
  • Performance +20%€50.5m+€8.41m · +20.0%
  • Performance −10%€37.9m−€4.21m · −10.0%
  • One year older€41.4m−€713k · −1.7%
  • Fully availableNo availability discount left to recover
  • Moves to a stronger divisionAlready in the strongest division we rate

These are counterfactuals, not forecasts. Each row is the same model run with one input changed — it says nothing about whether that change is likely. The benchmark is this player’s measured estimate of €42.1m.

Player DNA

Percentile against DEFs in the Demo Premier League

  • Goal threat28
  • Chance creation9
  • Finishing92
  • Defending42
  • Availability97

Elite finishing defender (92th percentile). Chance creation is the clear gap at the 9th percentile.

Generated from the metrics above, not from scouting notes. Ball progression and pressing are absent because the feed carries no progressive passes, carries or pressures.

Valuation history

The performance index the valuation is built on, by matchweek

Diogo Dahlberg index by matchweek

Profile

Per-90 percentiles against DEFs

Percentiles as a table
MetricDiogo Dahlberg
Tackles34th
Interceptions69th
Clearances36th
Goals55th
Expected assists9th
Key passes19th

Per 90

Rate and percentile among DEFs with 270+ minutes

  • Goals0.05
  • Assists0.00
  • Shots0.0
  • Shots on target0.0
  • Key passes0.0
  • Expected goals0.04
  • Expected assists0.00
  • Tackles1.9
  • Interceptions1.8
  • Clearances2.3

Finishing

Goals against the quality of the chances they came from, running total

Diogo Dahlberg cumulative goals minus expected goals
0.0+0.1+0.2Matchweek

Scoring 0.25 goals more than his chances were worth. Finishing runs like this historically revert.

Comparable players

Closest percentile profiles among the same position

Compare →
PlayerSimilarityValueAgeAlike on
Bertrand ZielinskiEastmarsh88%€1.74m34assists, key passes
Caleb JokinenKelsford87%€6.64m26assists, key passes
Wilson XimenesAshcombe84%€4.51m30assists, key passes
Cillian GrimaldiMarsden Cross84%€3.35m27assists, key passes
Dmitri YilmazStanmoor83%€26.9m20assists, key passes
Elias OkaforFallowfield81%€98k35assists, key passes

Match log

24 appearances this season

Match-by-match statistics, most recent first
MWDateOpponentMinGAShSoTxGxAKPTklIntClr
2423 Janat GranthorpeD 1190101.01.00.750.010.00.03.02.0
2316 Janat EastmarshW 2190000.00.00.000.000.00.03.04.0
229 Janat AshcombeD 2266000.00.00.000.000.01.02.01.0
212 Janv ThornesideD 0055000.00.00.000.000.02.01.01.0
2026 Decv RookwoodD 1190000.00.00.000.000.03.01.01.0
1919 Decv PendleburyW 2090000.00.00.000.000.01.01.02.0
1812 Decv NorthfleetW 1078000.00.00.000.000.01.02.01.0
175 Decv LangmereD 1171000.00.00.000.010.00.01.03.0
1628 Novv JarrowgateD 0071000.00.00.000.000.01.00.01.0
1521 Novv HollinwellL 0164000.00.00.000.000.02.02.03.0
1414 Novv FallowfieldW 1090000.00.00.000.000.04.02.05.0
137 Novv Deepdale ValeW 2074000.00.00.000.000.03.01.01.0
1231 Octv BrackenfordW 4290000.00.00.000.000.01.01.04.0
1124 Octv StanmoorL 0190000.00.00.000.000.02.00.00.0
1017 Octv QuarrydaleL 0180000.00.00.000.000.03.00.01.0
910 Octv OakhurstW 2161000.00.00.000.000.01.02.01.0
83 Octv Marsden CrossW 1059000.00.00.000.000.01.02.02.0
726 Septv KelsfordD 0064000.00.00.000.000.01.02.01.0
619 Septv Ilkeston ParkW 2167000.00.00.000.000.03.01.01.0
512 Septv GranthorpeW 3090000.00.00.000.000.03.01.02.0
45 Septv EastmarshD 0082000.00.00.000.000.00.03.04.0
329 Augv AshcombeW 3073000.00.00.000.000.03.01.04.0
222 Augat ThornesideW 2090000.00.00.000.000.00.03.02.0
115 Augat RookwoodL 0190000.00.00.000.010.03.02.01.0

Data

Last fixture
23 Jan
Matchweeks covered
24
Model
0.3.0-uncalibrated

Comparable transfers and contract situation are not shown, because the feed carries no transfer fees and no contract expiry dates. See methodology for what the model can and cannot see.