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DEFDemo Premier LeagueNigeria26 years

Caleb Jokinen

Kelsford · #3 · JOK3

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Estimated market value

€6.64m

Model range
€4.42m – €8.85m
Confidence
72%
Season change
+11.1%

Movement

Last matchweek
−1.7%
Last 4 matchweeks
−6.5%
Season to date
+11.1%

Reported in matchweeks, not days — football data arrives by fixture round.

Model estimate, uncalibrated. Values are model estimates on an uncalibrated scale. They are not predictions of a transfer fee and have not been validated against observed fees. Model 0.3.0-uncalibrated.

Valuation drivers

What moves this away from the €4.00m base value

  • Performance+€2.48m
  • Age+€590k
  • League€0
  • Position−€434k
  • Availability€0

Not in this model

  • ContractNo contract expiry data in the feed
  • Market comparablesNo observed transfer fees in the feed

Availability

Read any valuation against this first

Available minutes played76% · 1634 of 2160

20 appearances, 19 starts, 4 matchweeks missed.

A player who is not on the pitch drifts down the index without his performance level falling with it, and availability is a direct discount on the valuation above. An unavailable player is not the same thing as a cheap one.

Scenarios

What the model would say under a different set of facts

  • As measured€6.64mbenchmark
  • Performance +10%€7.30m+€664k · +10.0%
  • Performance +20%€7.96m+€1.33m · +20.0%
  • Performance −10%€5.97m−€664k · −10.0%
  • One year older€5.92m−€711k · −10.7%
  • Fully availableNo availability discount left to recover
  • Moves to a stronger divisionAlready in the strongest division we rate

These are counterfactuals, not forecasts. Each row is the same model run with one input changed — it says nothing about whether that change is likely. The benchmark is this player’s measured estimate of €6.64m.

Player DNA

Percentile against DEFs in the Demo Premier League

  • Goal threat43
  • Chance creation25
  • Finishing100
  • Defending40
  • Availability86

Elite finishing defender (100th percentile). Chance creation is the clear gap at the 25th percentile. Played 76% of available minutes.

Generated from the metrics above, not from scouting notes. Ball progression and pressing are absent because the feed carries no progressive passes, carries or pressures.

Valuation history

The performance index the valuation is built on, by matchweek

Caleb Jokinen index by matchweek

Profile

Per-90 percentiles against DEFs

Percentiles as a table
MetricCaleb Jokinen
Tackles26th
Interceptions66th
Clearances48th
Goals80th
Expected assists25th
Key passes19th

Per 90

Rate and percentile among DEFs with 270+ minutes

  • Goals0.11
  • Assists0.00
  • Shots0.1
  • Shots on target0.1
  • Key passes0.0
  • Expected goals0.07
  • Expected assists0.01
  • Tackles1.8
  • Interceptions1.8
  • Clearances2.5

Finishing

Goals against the quality of the chances they came from, running total

Caleb Jokinen cumulative goals minus expected goals
0.0+0.2+0.4+0.6+0.8Matchweek

Scoring 0.74 goals more than his chances were worth. Finishing runs like this historically revert.

Comparable players

Closest percentile profiles among the same position

Compare →
PlayerSimilarityValueAgeAlike on
Bertrand ZielinskiEastmarsh93%€1.74m34assists, key passes
Wilson XimenesAshcombe88%€4.51m30assists, key passes
Diogo DahlbergCalderbrook87%€42.1m21assists, key passes
Idris KovacQuarrydale82%€10.2m24assists, key passes
Kai GrimaldiFallowfield81%€29.7m29goals, interceptions
Cillian GrimaldiMarsden Cross81%€3.35m27assists, key passes

Match log

20 appearances this season

Match-by-match statistics, most recent first
MWDateOpponentMinGAShSoTxGxAKPTklIntClr
2423 Janv RookwoodW 2180000.00.00.000.010.00.02.01.0
2316 Janv PendleburyW 4190000.00.00.000.010.02.02.04.0
229 Janv NorthfleetD 1190000.00.00.000.010.00.00.02.0
212 Janv LangmereW 2059000.00.00.000.000.01.02.01.0
1919 Decv HollinwellW 2176101.01.00.630.000.01.01.02.0
1812 Decv FallowfieldL 1290000.00.00.000.000.03.03.02.0
175 Decv Deepdale ValeW 1090000.00.00.000.010.02.01.01.0
1521 Novv StanmoorL 1282000.00.00.000.010.03.02.01.0
1414 Novv QuarrydaleL 0190000.00.00.000.000.03.02.04.0
137 Novv OakhurstD 1175000.00.00.000.000.00.02.03.0
1231 Octv Marsden CrossD 1190000.00.00.000.000.02.03.04.0
1124 Octv AshcombeD 2268000.00.00.000.000.03.00.02.0
1017 Octat Ilkeston ParkL 0190000.00.00.000.010.03.01.04.0
910 Octat GranthorpeD 1190000.00.00.000.010.01.02.00.0
726 Septat CalderbrookD 0083000.00.00.000.010.02.02.02.0
619 Septat ThornesideL 0266000.00.00.000.010.01.02.02.0
512 Septat RookwoodL 1290101.01.00.630.000.00.02.03.0
45 Septat PendleburyL 0472000.00.00.000.010.03.01.03.0
329 Augat NorthfleetL 1473000.00.00.000.000.02.00.01.0
222 Augat LangmereL 1290000.00.00.000.010.01.02.03.0

Data

Last fixture
23 Jan
Matchweeks covered
24
Model
0.3.0-uncalibrated

Comparable transfers and contract situation are not shown, because the feed carries no transfer fees and no contract expiry dates. See methodology for what the model can and cannot see.