Search players

Find a player by name, club or ticker

FWDDemo Premier LeagueBrazil19 years

Pedro Ekstrom

Jarrowgate · #20 · EK10

Report →

Estimated market value

€1.23m

Model range
€621k – €1.83m
Confidence
43%
Season change
−10.0%

Movement

Last matchweek
−1.5%
Last 4 matchweeks
−4.3%
Season to date
−10.0%

Reported in matchweeks, not days — football data arrives by fixture round.

Model estimate, uncalibrated. Values are model estimates on an uncalibrated scale. They are not predictions of a transfer fee and have not been validated against observed fees. Model 0.3.0-uncalibrated.

Valuation drivers

What moves this away from the €4.00m base value

  • Performance−€2.90m
  • Age+€888k
  • League€0
  • Position+€388k
  • Availability−€1.15m

Not in this model

  • ContractNo contract expiry data in the feed
  • Market comparablesNo observed transfer fees in the feed

Availability

Read any valuation against this first

Available minutes played22% · 481 of 2160

9 appearances, 5 starts, 15 matchweeks missed.

A player who is not on the pitch drifts down the index without his performance level falling with it, and availability is a direct discount on the valuation above. An unavailable player is not the same thing as a cheap one.

Scenarios

What the model would say under a different set of facts

  • As measured€1.23mbenchmark
  • Performance +10%€1.35m+€123k · +10.0%
  • Performance +20%€1.47m+€245k · +20.0%
  • Performance −10%€1.10m−€123k · −10.0%
  • One year older€1.26m+€34k · +2.7%
  • Fully available€2.00m+€773k · +63.1%
  • Moves to a stronger divisionAlready in the strongest division we rate

These are counterfactuals, not forecasts. Each row is the same model run with one input changed — it says nothing about whether that change is likely. The benchmark is this player’s measured estimate of €1.23m.

Player DNA

Percentile against FWDs in the Demo Premier League

  • Goal threat68
  • Chance creation56
  • Finishing58
  • Defending39
  • Availability9

Above average goal threat forward (68th percentile), with above average finishing (58th). Availability is the headline risk: 22% of available minutes played.

Generated from the metrics above, not from scouting notes. Ball progression and pressing are absent because the feed carries no progressive passes, carries or pressures.

Valuation history

The performance index the valuation is built on, by matchweek

Pedro Ekstrom index by matchweek

Profile

Per-90 percentiles against FWDs

Percentiles as a table
MetricPedro Ekstrom
Goals37th
Expected goals42nd
Shots on target53rd
Assists7th
Expected assists28th
Key passes96th

Per 90

Rate and percentile among FWDs with 270+ minutes

  • Goals0.19
  • Assists0.00
  • Shots3.7
  • Shots on target0.7
  • Key passes2.1
  • Expected goals0.17
  • Expected assists0.10
  • Tackles0.4
  • Interceptions0.2
  • Clearances0.4

Finishing

Goals against the quality of the chances they came from, running total

Pedro Ekstrom cumulative goals minus expected goals
0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1+0.2Matchweek

Scoring 0.07 goals more than his chances were worth. Finishing runs like this historically revert.

Comparable players

Closest percentile profiles among the same position

Compare →
PlayerSimilarityValueAgeAlike on
Samir SalvatoreFallowfield81%€995k28assists, shots on target
Tomas NakamuraJarrowgate75%€13.6m31shots, shots on target
Finn VasquezAshcombe74%€5.82m29shots on target, key passes
Hugo CastilePendlebury74%€6.86m28expected assists, expected goals
Viktor OkaforCalderbrook73%€514k29goals, expected goals
Pedro JansenStanmoor73%€10.7m32goals, clearances

Match log

9 appearances this season

Match-by-match statistics, most recent first
MWDateOpponentMinGAShSoTxGxAKPTklIntClr
229 Janat OakhurstL 0290003.00.00.060.110.01.00.00.0
2026 Decat KelsfordL 0622001.00.00.000.031.00.00.00.0
1919 Decat Ilkeston ParkL 1290005.01.00.040.122.00.00.01.0
1812 Decat GranthorpeL 1311000.00.00.010.000.00.00.00.0
1628 Novat CalderbrookD 0090003.01.00.010.053.01.01.00.0
137 Novat PendleburyL 1266001.00.00.030.092.00.00.00.0
1231 Octat NorthfleetL 136000.00.00.000.000.00.00.00.0
910 Octv HollinwellW 4016001.00.00.000.010.00.00.00.0
619 Septv BrackenfordL 1490106.02.00.780.113.00.00.01.0

Data

Last fixture
9 Jan
Matchweeks covered
24
Model
0.3.0-uncalibrated

Comparable transfers and contract situation are not shown, because the feed carries no transfer fees and no contract expiry dates. See methodology for what the model can and cannot see.