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FWDDemo Premier LeagueFrance28 years

Samir Salvatore

Fallowfield · #19 · SAL2

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Estimated market value

€995k

Model range
€537k – €1.45m
Confidence
49%
Season change
−8.0%

Movement

Last matchweek
−1.5%
Last 4 matchweeks
−5.9%
Season to date
−8.0%

Reported in matchweeks, not days — football data arrives by fixture round.

Model estimate, uncalibrated. Values are model estimates on an uncalibrated scale. They are not predictions of a transfer fee and have not been validated against observed fees. Model 0.3.0-uncalibrated.

Valuation drivers

What moves this away from the €4.00m base value

  • Performance−€2.26m
  • Age−€204k
  • League€0
  • Position+€358k
  • Availability−€896k

Not in this model

  • ContractNo contract expiry data in the feed
  • Market comparablesNo observed transfer fees in the feed

Availability

Read any valuation against this first

Available minutes played29% · 620 of 2160

11 appearances, 6 starts, 13 matchweeks missed.

A player who is not on the pitch drifts down the index without his performance level falling with it, and availability is a direct discount on the valuation above. An unavailable player is not the same thing as a cheap one.

Scenarios

What the model would say under a different set of facts

  • As measured€995kbenchmark
  • Performance +10%€1.09m+€100k · +10.0%
  • Performance +20%€1.19m+€199k · +20.0%
  • Performance −10%€896k−€100k · −10.0%
  • One year older€897k−€98k · −9.9%
  • Fully available€1.51m+€512k · +51.4%
  • Moves to a stronger divisionAlready in the strongest division we rate

These are counterfactuals, not forecasts. Each row is the same model run with one input changed — it says nothing about whether that change is likely. The benchmark is this player’s measured estimate of €995k.

Player DNA

Percentile against FWDs in the Demo Premier League

  • Goal threat42
  • Chance creation27
  • Finishing67
  • Defending55
  • Availability22

Above average finishing forward (67th percentile), with above average defending (55th). Chance creation is the clear gap at the 27th percentile. Availability is the headline risk: 29% of available minutes played.

Generated from the metrics above, not from scouting notes. Ball progression and pressing are absent because the feed carries no progressive passes, carries or pressures.

Valuation history

The performance index the valuation is built on, by matchweek

Samir Salvatore index by matchweek

Profile

Per-90 percentiles against FWDs

Percentiles as a table
MetricSamir Salvatore
Goals22nd
Expected goals20th
Shots on target49th
Assists7th
Expected assists8th
Key passes76th

Per 90

Rate and percentile among FWDs with 270+ minutes

  • Goals0.15
  • Assists0.00
  • Shots3.0
  • Shots on target0.7
  • Key passes1.6
  • Expected goals0.12
  • Expected assists0.06
  • Tackles0.6
  • Interceptions0.3
  • Clearances0.6

Finishing

Goals against the quality of the chances they came from, running total

Samir Salvatore cumulative goals minus expected goals
−0.10.0+0.1Matchweek

Scoring 0.15 goals more than his chances were worth. Finishing runs like this historically revert.

Comparable players

Closest percentile profiles among the same position

Compare →
PlayerSimilarityValueAgeAlike on
Pedro EkstromJarrowgate81%€1.23m19assists, shots on target
Viktor ZielinskiIlkeston Park78%€4.00m20tackles, shots
Mateo VasquezAshcombe77%€4.95m27assists, goals
Pedro JansenStanmoor77%€10.7m32interceptions, expected goals
Diogo KovacBrackenford76%€11.3m22tackles, expected assists
Andre IbarraJarrowgate76%€1.24m26assists, key passes

Match log

11 appearances this season

Match-by-match statistics, most recent first
MWDateOpponentMinGAShSoTxGxAKPTklIntClr
1919 Decat Marsden CrossW 4024000.00.00.010.020.00.00.00.0
1812 Decat KelsfordW 2190104.02.00.700.022.01.00.01.0
1521 Novat EastmarshW 3034001.00.00.010.021.00.00.00.0
1414 Novat CalderbrookL 0180004.00.00.000.082.01.00.01.0
137 Novat ThornesideL 0290001.00.00.030.082.00.01.00.0
1017 Octat NorthfleetL 0230001.00.00.000.011.00.00.01.0
910 Octat LangmereD 2221001.00.00.010.010.00.00.00.0
83 Octat JarrowgateW 2024000.00.00.000.010.00.00.00.0
45 Septv BrackenfordD 1190003.01.00.050.032.01.00.01.0
329 Augv StanmoorW 3168003.01.00.000.051.00.00.00.0
222 Augv QuarrydaleL 0169003.01.00.040.050.01.01.00.0

Data

Last fixture
19 Dec
Matchweeks covered
24
Model
0.3.0-uncalibrated

Comparable transfers and contract situation are not shown, because the feed carries no transfer fees and no contract expiry dates. See methodology for what the model can and cannot see.