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DEFDemo Premier LeagueNetherlands35 years

Zeki Ekstrom

Quarrydale · #6 · EK13

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Estimated market value

€1.08m

Model range
€599k – €1.56m
Confidence
52%
Season change
+0.4%

Movement

Last matchweek
−1.5%
Last 4 matchweeks
+4.0%
Season to date
+0.4%

Reported in matchweeks, not days — football data arrives by fixture round.

Model estimate, uncalibrated. Values are model estimates on an uncalibrated scale. They are not predictions of a transfer fee and have not been validated against observed fees. Model 0.3.0-uncalibrated.

Valuation drivers

What moves this away from the €4.00m base value

  • Performance+€1.80m
  • Age−€3.59m
  • League€0
  • Position−€186k
  • Availability−€955k

Not in this model

  • ContractNo contract expiry data in the feed
  • Market comparablesNo observed transfer fees in the feed

Availability

Read any valuation against this first

Available minutes played27% · 593 of 2160

12 appearances, 5 starts, 12 matchweeks missed.

A player who is not on the pitch drifts down the index without his performance level falling with it, and availability is a direct discount on the valuation above. An unavailable player is not the same thing as a cheap one.

Scenarios

What the model would say under a different set of facts

  • As measured€1.08mbenchmark
  • Performance +10%€1.18m+€108k · +10.0%
  • Performance +20%€1.29m+€215k · +20.0%
  • Performance −10%€969k−€108k · −10.0%
  • One year older€862k−€215k · −20.0%
  • Fully available€1.65m+€577k · +53.5%
  • Moves to a stronger divisionAlready in the strongest division we rate

These are counterfactuals, not forecasts. Each row is the same model run with one input changed — it says nothing about whether that change is likely. The benchmark is this player’s measured estimate of €1.08m.

Player DNA

Percentile against DEFs in the Demo Premier League

  • Goal threat86
  • Chance creation51
  • Finishing91
  • Defending1
  • Availability23

Elite finishing defender (91th percentile), with strong goal threat (86th). Defending is the clear gap at the 1th percentile. Availability is the headline risk: 27% of available minutes played.

Generated from the metrics above, not from scouting notes. Ball progression and pressing are absent because the feed carries no progressive passes, carries or pressures.

Valuation history

The performance index the valuation is built on, by matchweek

Zeki Ekstrom index by matchweek

Profile

Per-90 percentiles against DEFs

Percentiles as a table
MetricZeki Ekstrom
Tackles27th
Interceptions7th
Clearances0th
Goals87th
Expected assists47th
Key passes64th

Per 90

Rate and percentile among DEFs with 270+ minutes

  • Goals0.15
  • Assists0.00
  • Shots0.9
  • Shots on target0.2
  • Key passes0.3
  • Expected goals0.12
  • Expected assists0.01
  • Tackles1.8
  • Interceptions0.9
  • Clearances0.9

Finishing

Goals against the quality of the chances they came from, running total

Zeki Ekstrom cumulative goals minus expected goals
0.0+0.1+0.2Matchweek

Scoring 0.24 goals more than his chances were worth. Finishing runs like this historically revert.

Comparable players

Closest percentile profiles among the same position

Compare →
PlayerSimilarityValueAgeAlike on
Lucas ToureenMarsden Cross86%€510k30assists, expected goals
Bertrand DelgadoKelsford83%€4.03m20assists, clearances
Goran IvesBrackenford78%€1.32m24assists, interceptions
Cillian XimenesIlkeston Park78%€7.54m29shots on target, clearances
Finn HalvorsenAshcombe77%€4.74m29assists, tackles
Pedro UgarteRookwood77%€11.3m31expected goals, goals

Match log

12 appearances this season

Match-by-match statistics, most recent first
MWDateOpponentMinGAShSoTxGxAKPTklIntClr
2316 Janv JarrowgateD 2290101.01.00.710.020.00.00.02.0
2026 Decv Deepdale ValeD 225000.00.00.000.000.00.00.00.0
175 Decv AshcombeW 1065001.00.00.010.020.00.01.01.0
1521 Novat Marsden CrossW 1010000.00.00.000.000.00.00.00.0
1414 Novat KelsfordW 1090001.00.00.010.011.02.00.01.0
137 Novat Ilkeston ParkW 1055001.00.00.010.000.01.02.02.0
1124 Octat EastmarshD 006000.00.00.000.000.00.00.00.0
910 Octat ThornesideL 0190001.00.00.010.030.03.01.00.0
726 Septat PendleburyW 3110000.00.00.000.000.00.00.00.0
512 Septat LangmereL 0190001.00.00.000.001.04.01.00.0
222 Augat FallowfieldW 1026000.00.00.000.000.01.00.00.0
115 Augat Deepdale ValeW 2056000.00.00.010.010.01.01.00.0

Data

Last fixture
16 Jan
Matchweeks covered
24
Model
0.3.0-uncalibrated

Comparable transfers and contract situation are not shown, because the feed carries no transfer fees and no contract expiry dates. See methodology for what the model can and cannot see.