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DEFDemo Premier LeagueNigeria24 years

Goran Ives

Brackenford · #8 · IVE1

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Estimated market value

€1.32m

Model range
€732k – €1.90m
Confidence
52%
Season change
−4.5%

Movement

Last matchweek
+0.2%
Last 4 matchweeks
−0.2%
Season to date
−4.5%

Reported in matchweeks, not days — football data arrives by fixture round.

Model estimate, uncalibrated. Values are model estimates on an uncalibrated scale. They are not predictions of a transfer fee and have not been validated against observed fees. Model 0.3.0-uncalibrated.

Valuation drivers

What moves this away from the €4.00m base value

  • Performance−€2.19m
  • Age+€634k
  • League€0
  • Position−€201k
  • Availability−€930k

Not in this model

  • ContractNo contract expiry data in the feed
  • Market comparablesNo observed transfer fees in the feed

Availability

Read any valuation against this first

Available minutes played31% · 679 of 2160

11 appearances, 7 starts, 13 matchweeks missed.

A player who is not on the pitch drifts down the index without his performance level falling with it, and availability is a direct discount on the valuation above. An unavailable player is not the same thing as a cheap one.

Scenarios

What the model would say under a different set of facts

  • As measured€1.32mbenchmark
  • Performance +10%€1.45m+€132k · +10.0%
  • Performance +20%€1.58m+€263k · +20.0%
  • Performance −10%€1.19m−€132k · −10.0%
  • One year older€1.23m−€91k · −6.9%
  • Fully available€1.94m+€618k · +46.9%
  • Moves to a stronger divisionAlready in the strongest division we rate

These are counterfactuals, not forecasts. Each row is the same model run with one input changed — it says nothing about whether that change is likely. The benchmark is this player’s measured estimate of €1.32m.

Player DNA

Percentile against DEFs in the Demo Premier League

  • Goal threat92
  • Chance creation36
  • Finishing89
  • Defending30
  • Availability31

Elite goal threat defender (92th percentile), with strong finishing (89th). Availability is the headline risk: 31% of available minutes played.

Generated from the metrics above, not from scouting notes. Ball progression and pressing are absent because the feed carries no progressive passes, carries or pressures.

Valuation history

The performance index the valuation is built on, by matchweek

Goran Ives index by matchweek

Profile

Per-90 percentiles against DEFs

Percentiles as a table
MetricGoran Ives
Tackles62nd
Interceptions13th
Clearances26th
Goals94th
Expected assists39th
Key passes19th

Per 90

Rate and percentile among DEFs with 270+ minutes

  • Goals0.27
  • Assists0.00
  • Shots0.7
  • Shots on target0.3
  • Key passes0.0
  • Expected goals0.21
  • Expected assists0.01
  • Tackles2.3
  • Interceptions1.2
  • Clearances2.1

Finishing

Goals against the quality of the chances they came from, running total

Goran Ives cumulative goals minus expected goals
0.0+0.2+0.4Matchweek

Scoring 0.45 goals more than his chances were worth. Finishing runs like this historically revert.

Comparable players

Closest percentile profiles among the same position

Compare →
PlayerSimilarityValueAgeAlike on
Zeki GrimaldiIlkeston Park84%€962k32assists, key passes
Dmitri DelgadoAshcombe83%€241k34assists, key passes
Gabriel HalvorsenHollinwell80%€1.28m20assists, key passes
Dmitri NakamuraHollinwell78%€268k30assists, expected assists
Goran IvesJarrowgate78%€3.09m23assists, shots on target
Lucas ToureenMarsden Cross78%€510k30assists, shots

Match log

11 appearances this season

Match-by-match statistics, most recent first
MWDateOpponentMinGAShSoTxGxAKPTklIntClr
2423 Janv HollinwellW 3165000.00.00.000.010.02.00.01.0
212 Janv AshcombeW 2190001.00.00.000.000.02.02.04.0
1919 Decat QuarrydaleW 2030000.00.00.000.000.00.00.01.0
1521 Novat Ilkeston ParkD 1122000.00.00.000.010.00.00.00.0
1414 Novat GranthorpeW 1025000.00.00.000.000.01.00.00.0
1231 Octat CalderbrookL 2490101.01.00.760.020.01.01.04.0
1124 Octat ThornesideL 0222000.00.00.000.000.01.00.01.0
910 Octat PendleburyW 3265000.00.00.010.000.02.02.01.0
83 Octat NorthfleetL 0290000.00.00.010.010.02.00.00.0
619 Septat JarrowgateW 4190102.01.00.760.020.03.02.03.0
45 Septat FallowfieldD 1190001.00.00.010.010.03.02.01.0

Data

Last fixture
23 Jan
Matchweeks covered
24
Model
0.3.0-uncalibrated

Comparable transfers and contract situation are not shown, because the feed carries no transfer fees and no contract expiry dates. See methodology for what the model can and cannot see.