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FWDDemo Premier LeagueSpain21 years

Felix Ekstrom

Granthorpe · #18 · EKS7

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Estimated market value

€17.2m

Model range
€11.5m – €23.0m
Confidence
72%
Season change
+11.5%

Movement

Last matchweek
−0.8%
Last 4 matchweeks
+4.0%
Season to date
+11.5%

Reported in matchweeks, not days — football data arrives by fixture round.

Model estimate, uncalibrated. Values are model estimates on an uncalibrated scale. They are not predictions of a transfer fee and have not been validated against observed fees. Model 0.3.0-uncalibrated.

Valuation drivers

What moves this away from the €4.00m base value

  • Performance+€8.19m
  • Age+€3.52m
  • League€0
  • Position+€1.50m
  • Availability€0

Not in this model

  • ContractNo contract expiry data in the feed
  • Market comparablesNo observed transfer fees in the feed

Availability

Read any valuation against this first

Available minutes played78% · 1674 of 2160

20 appearances, 19 starts, 4 matchweeks missed.

A player who is not on the pitch drifts down the index without his performance level falling with it, and availability is a direct discount on the valuation above. An unavailable player is not the same thing as a cheap one.

Scenarios

What the model would say under a different set of facts

  • As measured€17.2mbenchmark
  • Performance +10%€18.9m+€1.72m · +10.0%
  • Performance +20%€20.6m+€3.44m · +20.0%
  • Performance −10%€15.5m−€1.72m · −10.0%
  • One year older€16.9m−€292k · −1.7%
  • Fully availableNo availability discount left to recover
  • Moves to a stronger divisionAlready in the strongest division we rate

These are counterfactuals, not forecasts. Each row is the same model run with one input changed — it says nothing about whether that change is likely. The benchmark is this player’s measured estimate of €17.2m.

Player DNA

Percentile against FWDs in the Demo Premier League

  • Goal threat20
  • Chance creation69
  • Finishing2
  • Defending97
  • Availability84

Elite defending forward (97th percentile), with above average chance creation (69th). Finishing is the clear gap at the 2th percentile. Played 78% of available minutes.

Generated from the metrics above, not from scouting notes. Ball progression and pressing are absent because the feed carries no progressive passes, carries or pressures.

Valuation history

The performance index the valuation is built on, by matchweek

Felix Ekstrom index by matchweek

Profile

Per-90 percentiles against FWDs

Percentiles as a table
MetricFelix Ekstrom
Goals12th
Expected goals14th
Shots on target23rd
Assists69th
Expected assists74th
Key passes58th

Per 90

Rate and percentile among FWDs with 270+ minutes

  • Goals0.05
  • Assists0.22
  • Shots2.7
  • Shots on target0.6
  • Key passes1.5
  • Expected goals0.09
  • Expected assists0.20
  • Tackles1.0
  • Interceptions0.5
  • Clearances1.1

Finishing

Goals against the quality of the chances they came from, running total

Felix Ekstrom cumulative goals minus expected goals
−0.6−0.4−0.20.0Matchweek

Scoring 0.68 goals fewer than his chances were worth — the chances are being created.

Comparable players

Closest percentile profiles among the same position

Compare →
PlayerSimilarityValueAgeAlike on
Adam IbarraNorthfleet79%€9.99m25assists, clearances
Finn ArdalPendlebury79%€2.22m32tackles, expected goals
Yusuf ZielinskiDeepdale Vale77%€1.27m22shots on target, goals
Adam IbarraHollinwell76%€5.08m30assists, clearances
Adam ToureenThorneside76%€3.40m20clearances, tackles
Lucas OkaforAshcombe75%€527k32expected goals, interceptions

Match log

20 appearances this season

Match-by-match statistics, most recent first
MWDateOpponentMinGAShSoTxGxAKPTklIntClr
2423 Janv CalderbrookD 1190003.01.00.020.081.02.01.01.0
2316 Janv ThornesideW 4162012.00.00.020.691.00.00.01.0
229 Janv RookwoodL 0390004.01.00.010.070.01.01.01.0
212 Janv PendleburyW 1070001.00.00.040.041.01.00.00.0
1812 Decv JarrowgateW 3190002.00.00.040.100.00.00.01.0
175 Decv HollinwellW 1090003.00.00.010.052.02.00.01.0
1521 Novv Deepdale ValeW 3090105.02.01.150.063.02.01.02.0
1414 Novv BrackenfordL 0190001.00.00.060.042.01.01.01.0
137 Novv StanmoorL 0190003.00.00.040.051.02.01.01.0
1231 Octv QuarrydaleL 0173001.00.00.040.041.01.00.01.0
1124 Octv OakhurstW 1057011.00.00.030.632.01.01.01.0
1017 Octv Marsden CrossD 0090004.02.00.000.112.01.01.01.0
910 Octv KelsfordD 1190003.01.00.010.052.00.00.00.0
83 Octv Ilkeston ParkL 0290002.01.00.030.111.00.01.01.0
726 Septv AshcombeW 2190003.01.00.060.000.01.00.01.0
512 Septat CalderbrookL 0390004.01.00.050.101.01.00.01.0
45 Septat ThornesideL 1262012.00.00.010.693.00.00.01.0
329 Augat RookwoodW 1090011.00.00.010.732.00.00.01.0
222 Augat PendleburyL 0290003.01.00.010.022.01.01.01.0
115 Augat NorthfleetL 0690002.00.00.040.070.01.00.02.0

Data

Last fixture
23 Jan
Matchweeks covered
24
Model
0.3.0-uncalibrated

Comparable transfers and contract situation are not shown, because the feed carries no transfer fees and no contract expiry dates. See methodology for what the model can and cannot see.