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FWDDemo Premier LeagueWales20 years

Adam Toureen

Thorneside · #20 · TO14

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Estimated market value

€3.40m

Model range
€2.21m – €4.59m
Confidence
69%
Season change
+7.5%

Movement

Last matchweek
−1.5%
Last 4 matchweeks
−2.2%
Season to date
+7.5%

Reported in matchweeks, not days — football data arrives by fixture round.

Model estimate, uncalibrated. Values are model estimates on an uncalibrated scale. They are not predictions of a transfer fee and have not been validated against observed fees. Model 0.3.0-uncalibrated.

Valuation drivers

What moves this away from the €4.00m base value

  • Performance−€2.11m
  • Age+€1.50m
  • League€0
  • Position+€611k
  • Availability−€599k

Not in this model

  • ContractNo contract expiry data in the feed
  • Market comparablesNo observed transfer fees in the feed

Availability

Read any valuation against this first

Available minutes played55% · 1179 of 2160

15 appearances, 13 starts, 9 matchweeks missed.

A player who is not on the pitch drifts down the index without his performance level falling with it, and availability is a direct discount on the valuation above. An unavailable player is not the same thing as a cheap one.

Scenarios

What the model would say under a different set of facts

  • As measured€3.40mbenchmark
  • Performance +10%€3.74m+€340k · +10.0%
  • Performance +20%€4.08m+€680k · +20.0%
  • Performance −10%€3.06m−€340k · −10.0%
  • One year older€3.34m−€57k · −1.7%
  • Fully available€4.00m+€599k · +17.6%
  • Moves to a stronger divisionAlready in the strongest division we rate

These are counterfactuals, not forecasts. Each row is the same model run with one input changed — it says nothing about whether that change is likely. The benchmark is this player’s measured estimate of €3.40m.

Player DNA

Percentile against FWDs in the Demo Premier League

  • Goal threat33
  • Chance creation44
  • Finishing92
  • Defending76
  • Availability54

Elite finishing forward (92th percentile), with strong defending (76th). Played 55% of available minutes.

Generated from the metrics above, not from scouting notes. Ball progression and pressing are absent because the feed carries no progressive passes, carries or pressures.

Valuation history

The performance index the valuation is built on, by matchweek

Adam Toureen index by matchweek

Profile

Per-90 percentiles against FWDs

Percentiles as a table
MetricAdam Toureen
Goals56th
Expected goals39th
Shots on target39th
Assists47th
Expected assists45th
Key passes35th

Per 90

Rate and percentile among FWDs with 270+ minutes

  • Goals0.23
  • Assists0.15
  • Shots2.4
  • Shots on target0.7
  • Key passes1.3
  • Expected goals0.17
  • Expected assists0.14
  • Tackles0.7
  • Interceptions0.4
  • Clearances0.9

Finishing

Goals against the quality of the chances they came from, running total

Adam Toureen cumulative goals minus expected goals
0.0+0.5+1.0Matchweek

Scoring 0.77 goals more than his chances were worth. Finishing runs like this historically revert.

Comparable players

Closest percentile profiles among the same position

Compare →
PlayerSimilarityValueAgeAlike on
Hugo VasquezKelsford85%€35.5m25expected assists, interceptions
Lucas MoreauRookwood84%€42.1m19clearances, goals
Diogo KovacGranthorpe83%€23.8m27expected goals, shots
Finn ArdalPendlebury82%€2.22m32assists, interceptions
Emil AbbottAshcombe81%€8.07m29expected assists, shots
Diogo KovacBrackenford80%€11.3m22key passes, expected goals

Match log

15 appearances this season

Match-by-match statistics, most recent first
MWDateOpponentMinGAShSoTxGxAKPTklIntClr
2316 Janat GranthorpeL 1490002.00.00.030.001.01.01.02.0
229 Janat EastmarshD 1190001.00.00.030.082.00.00.00.0
2026 Decat AshcombeW 3056001.00.00.030.061.00.00.00.0
1919 Decv RookwoodL 1390003.01.00.020.052.01.01.01.0
1521 Novv JarrowgateW 3190011.00.00.030.712.00.00.01.0
1414 Novv HollinwellW 3010000.00.00.000.010.00.00.00.0
1231 Octv Deepdale ValeW 2090001.00.00.040.030.01.01.01.0
1124 Octv BrackenfordW 2060001.00.00.020.011.00.00.01.0
83 Octv OakhurstL 0190003.01.00.040.081.01.00.02.0
726 Septv Marsden CrossD 1163104.02.00.660.012.01.00.00.0
619 Septv KelsfordW 2090013.01.00.010.642.00.00.01.0
512 Septv Ilkeston ParkW 2190102.01.00.650.031.01.01.00.0
329 Augv EastmarshW 2090105.01.00.650.051.01.00.01.0
222 Augv CalderbrookL 0290002.01.00.010.070.01.01.01.0
115 Augv AshcombeD 2290003.01.00.010.011.01.00.01.0

Data

Last fixture
16 Jan
Matchweeks covered
24
Model
0.3.0-uncalibrated

Comparable transfers and contract situation are not shown, because the feed carries no transfer fees and no contract expiry dates. See methodology for what the model can and cannot see.