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MIDDemo Premier LeagueNetherlands25 years

Emil Haugen

Northfleet · #13 · HAU7

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Estimated market value

€11.5m

Model range
€5.65m – €17.4m
Confidence
40%
Season change
−4.4%

Movement

Last matchweek
+9.8%
Last 4 matchweeks
+4.9%
Season to date
−4.4%

Reported in matchweeks, not days — football data arrives by fixture round.

Model estimate, uncalibrated. Values are model estimates on an uncalibrated scale. They are not predictions of a transfer fee and have not been validated against observed fees. Model 0.3.0-uncalibrated.

Valuation drivers

What moves this away from the €4.00m base value

  • Performance+€9.48m
  • Age+€1.36m
  • League€0
  • Position+€279k
  • Availability−€3.59m

Not in this model

  • ContractNo contract expiry data in the feed
  • Market comparablesNo observed transfer fees in the feed

Availability

Read any valuation against this first

Available minutes played21% · 452 of 2160

8 appearances, 5 starts, 16 matchweeks missed.

A player who is not on the pitch drifts down the index without his performance level falling with it, and availability is a direct discount on the valuation above. An unavailable player is not the same thing as a cheap one.

Scenarios

What the model would say under a different set of facts

  • As measured€11.5mbenchmark
  • Performance +10%€12.7m+€1.15m · +10.0%
  • Performance +20%€13.8m+€2.30m · +20.0%
  • Performance −10%€10.4m−€1.15m · −10.0%
  • One year older€10.7m−€857k · −7.4%
  • Fully available€19.1m+€7.57m · +65.7%
  • Moves to a stronger divisionAlready in the strongest division we rate

These are counterfactuals, not forecasts. Each row is the same model run with one input changed — it says nothing about whether that change is likely. The benchmark is this player’s measured estimate of €11.5m.

Player DNA

Percentile against MIDs in the Demo Premier League

  • Goal threat84
  • Chance creation100
  • Finishing13
  • Defending30
  • Availability19

Elite chance creation midfielder (100th percentile), with strong goal threat (84th). Finishing is the clear gap at the 13th percentile. Availability is the headline risk: 21% of available minutes played.

Generated from the metrics above, not from scouting notes. Ball progression and pressing are absent because the feed carries no progressive passes, carries or pressures.

Valuation history

The performance index the valuation is built on, by matchweek

Emil Haugen index by matchweek

Profile

Per-90 percentiles against MIDs

Percentiles as a table
MetricEmil Haugen
Key passes92nd
Expected assists100th
Expected goals81st
Goals68th
Tackles27th
Interceptions46th

Per 90

Rate and percentile among MIDs with 270+ minutes

  • Goals0.20
  • Assists0.60
  • Shots2.2
  • Shots on target0.4
  • Key passes1.2
  • Expected goals0.24
  • Expected assists0.41
  • Tackles1.0
  • Interceptions1.0
  • Clearances1.4

Finishing

Goals against the quality of the chances they came from, running total

Emil Haugen cumulative goals minus expected goals
−0.2−0.1−0.1−0.10.0Matchweek

Scoring 0.22 goals fewer than his chances were worth — the chances are being created.

Comparable players

Closest percentile profiles among the same position

Compare →
PlayerSimilarityValueAgeAlike on
Andre EkstromFallowfield87%€13.1m29interceptions, shots on target
Noah QuintanaThorneside84%€1.06m20key passes, shots
Bruno IbarraBrackenford81%€878k19key passes, tackles
Bertrand VasquezFallowfield80%€505k25clearances, expected assists
Diogo BrennanGranthorpe79%€12.2m32assists, expected assists
Emil PereiraKelsford78%€48.0m26goals, interceptions

Match log

8 appearances this season

Match-by-match statistics, most recent first
MWDateOpponentMinGAShSoTxGxAKPTklIntClr
2423 Janat OakhurstD 2290013.01.00.040.662.01.01.02.0
1812 Decat CalderbrookL 0117001.00.00.010.010.00.00.01.0
137 Novv LangmereL 1262001.00.00.010.031.01.01.02.0
1017 Octv FallowfieldW 2090002.00.00.030.030.01.01.00.0
83 Octv BrackenfordW 2010000.00.00.000.000.00.00.00.0
726 Septv StanmoorW 2119000.00.00.000.010.00.00.00.0
619 Septv QuarrydaleW 3090002.00.00.030.050.02.02.01.0
329 Augv KelsfordW 4174122.01.01.101.263.00.00.01.0

Data

Last fixture
23 Jan
Matchweeks covered
24
Model
0.3.0-uncalibrated

Comparable transfers and contract situation are not shown, because the feed carries no transfer fees and no contract expiry dates. See methodology for what the model can and cannot see.