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DEFDemo Premier LeagueSweden23 years

Goran Ives

Jarrowgate · #3 · IVE8

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Estimated market value

€3.09m

Model range
€2.06m – €4.12m
Confidence
72%
Season change
+6.8%

Movement

Last matchweek
+4.9%
Last 4 matchweeks
+1.2%
Season to date
+6.8%

Reported in matchweeks, not days — football data arrives by fixture round.

Model estimate, uncalibrated. Values are model estimates on an uncalibrated scale. They are not predictions of a transfer fee and have not been validated against observed fees. Model 0.3.0-uncalibrated.

Valuation drivers

What moves this away from the €4.00m base value

  • Performance−€1.34m
  • Age+€1.12m
  • League€0
  • Position−€294k
  • Availability−€400k

Not in this model

  • ContractNo contract expiry data in the feed
  • Market comparablesNo observed transfer fees in the feed

Availability

Read any valuation against this first

Available minutes played60% · 1304 of 2160

15 appearances, 15 starts, 9 matchweeks missed.

A player who is not on the pitch drifts down the index without his performance level falling with it, and availability is a direct discount on the valuation above. An unavailable player is not the same thing as a cheap one.

Scenarios

What the model would say under a different set of facts

  • As measured€3.09mbenchmark
  • Performance +10%€3.39m+€309k · +10.0%
  • Performance +20%€3.70m+€617k · +20.0%
  • Performance −10%€2.78m−€309k · −10.0%
  • One year older€2.92m−€168k · −5.5%
  • Fully available€3.46m+€371k · +12.0%
  • Moves to a stronger divisionAlready in the strongest division we rate

These are counterfactuals, not forecasts. Each row is the same model run with one input changed — it says nothing about whether that change is likely. The benchmark is this player’s measured estimate of €3.09m.

Player DNA

Percentile against DEFs in the Demo Premier League

  • Goal threat88
  • Chance creation39
  • Finishing82
  • Defending58
  • Availability64

Strong goal threat defender (88th percentile), with strong finishing (82th). Played 60% of available minutes.

Generated from the metrics above, not from scouting notes. Ball progression and pressing are absent because the feed carries no progressive passes, carries or pressures.

Valuation history

The performance index the valuation is built on, by matchweek

Goran Ives index by matchweek

Profile

Per-90 percentiles against DEFs

Percentiles as a table
MetricGoran Ives
Tackles58th
Interceptions70th
Clearances42nd
Goals86th
Expected assists42nd
Key passes42nd

Per 90

Rate and percentile among DEFs with 270+ minutes

  • Goals0.14
  • Assists0.00
  • Shots0.9
  • Shots on target0.2
  • Key passes0.1
  • Expected goals0.12
  • Expected assists0.01
  • Tackles2.2
  • Interceptions1.8
  • Clearances2.4

Finishing

Goals against the quality of the chances they came from, running total

Goran Ives cumulative goals minus expected goals
0.0+0.1+0.2+0.3Matchweek

Scoring 0.32 goals more than his chances were worth. Finishing runs like this historically revert.

Comparable players

Closest percentile profiles among the same position

Compare →
PlayerSimilarityValueAgeAlike on
Andre ToureenGranthorpe89%€20.7m20assists, expected assists
Gabriel HalvorsenHollinwell82%€1.28m20assists, expected assists
Mateo EriksenStanmoor82%€857k30assists, goals
Emil JokinenJarrowgate81%€1.50m34assists, expected goals
Omar VasquezDeepdale Vale80%€1.35m29assists, expected assists
Zeki GrimaldiIlkeston Park80%€962k32assists, shots on target

Match log

15 appearances this season

Match-by-match statistics, most recent first
MWDateOpponentMinGAShSoTxGxAKPTklIntClr
2423 Janat StanmoorL 0190001.00.00.010.020.04.03.02.0
2316 Janat QuarrydaleD 2290001.00.00.000.000.02.00.02.0
212 Janat Marsden CrossD 1190001.00.00.010.010.03.01.05.0
2026 Decat KelsfordL 0673000.00.00.000.010.02.02.02.0
1812 Decat GranthorpeL 1390001.00.00.010.030.01.02.01.0
1521 Novat ThornesideL 1370101.01.00.810.000.02.02.00.0
1414 Novat RookwoodL 0190001.00.00.000.010.03.02.03.0
137 Novat PendleburyL 1290000.00.00.000.010.01.01.04.0
1231 Octat NorthfleetL 1390001.00.00.000.000.03.02.02.0
1124 Octat LangmereL 0590001.00.00.010.011.03.03.05.0
726 Septv Deepdale ValeW 1090102.02.00.800.010.02.01.02.0
619 Septv BrackenfordL 1490001.00.00.000.010.02.01.02.0
512 Septv StanmoorD 0090001.00.00.010.020.02.01.00.0
45 Septv QuarrydaleL 0181001.00.00.010.010.02.02.01.0
329 Augv OakhurstL 0190000.00.00.010.020.00.03.04.0

Data

Last fixture
23 Jan
Matchweeks covered
24
Model
0.3.0-uncalibrated

Comparable transfers and contract situation are not shown, because the feed carries no transfer fees and no contract expiry dates. See methodology for what the model can and cannot see.