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DEFDemo Premier LeagueWales20 years

Gabriel Halvorsen

Hollinwell · #6 · HAL3

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Estimated market value

€1.28m

Model range
€665k – €1.90m
Confidence
45%
Season change
−2.2%

Movement

Last matchweek
−1.9%
Last 4 matchweeks
−6.2%
Season to date
−2.2%

Reported in matchweeks, not days — football data arrives by fixture round.

Model estimate, uncalibrated. Values are model estimates on an uncalibrated scale. They are not predictions of a transfer fee and have not been validated against observed fees. Model 0.3.0-uncalibrated.

Valuation drivers

What moves this away from the €4.00m base value

  • Performance−€2.16m
  • Age+€969k
  • League€0
  • Position−€199k
  • Availability−€1.32m

Not in this model

  • ContractNo contract expiry data in the feed
  • Market comparablesNo observed transfer fees in the feed

Availability

Read any valuation against this first

Available minutes played17% · 368 of 2160

10 appearances, 3 starts, 14 matchweeks missed.

A player who is not on the pitch drifts down the index without his performance level falling with it, and availability is a direct discount on the valuation above. An unavailable player is not the same thing as a cheap one.

Scenarios

What the model would say under a different set of facts

  • As measured€1.28mbenchmark
  • Performance +10%€1.41m+€128k · +10.0%
  • Performance +20%€1.54m+€257k · +20.0%
  • Performance −10%€1.16m−€128k · −10.0%
  • One year older€1.26m−€21k · −1.7%
  • Fully available€2.23m+€949k · +73.9%
  • Moves to a stronger divisionAlready in the strongest division we rate

These are counterfactuals, not forecasts. Each row is the same model run with one input changed — it says nothing about whether that change is likely. The benchmark is this player’s measured estimate of €1.28m.

Player DNA

Percentile against DEFs in the Demo Premier League

  • Goal threat100
  • Chance creation35
  • Finishing83
  • Defending37
  • Availability7

Elite goal threat defender (100th percentile), with strong finishing (83th). Availability is the headline risk: 17% of available minutes played.

Generated from the metrics above, not from scouting notes. Ball progression and pressing are absent because the feed carries no progressive passes, carries or pressures.

Valuation history

The performance index the valuation is built on, by matchweek

Gabriel Halvorsen index by matchweek

Profile

Per-90 percentiles against DEFs

Percentiles as a table
MetricGabriel Halvorsen
Tackles39th
Interceptions35th
Clearances59th
Goals100th
Expected assists37th
Key passes19th

Per 90

Rate and percentile among DEFs with 270+ minutes

  • Goals0.49
  • Assists0.00
  • Shots1.2
  • Shots on target0.7
  • Key passes0.0
  • Expected goals0.40
  • Expected assists0.01
  • Tackles2.0
  • Interceptions1.5
  • Clearances2.7

Finishing

Goals against the quality of the chances they came from, running total

Gabriel Halvorsen cumulative goals minus expected goals
0.0+0.1+0.2+0.3+0.4Matchweek

Scoring 0.35 goals more than his chances were worth. Finishing runs like this historically revert.

Comparable players

Closest percentile profiles among the same position

Compare →
PlayerSimilarityValueAgeAlike on
Goran IvesJarrowgate82%€3.09m23assists, expected assists
Dmitri DelgadoAshcombe80%€241k34assists, key passes
Goran IvesBrackenford80%€1.32m24assists, key passes
Andre ToureenGranthorpe76%€20.7m20assists, expected goals
Dmitri NakamuraHollinwell76%€268k30assists, goals
Finn HalvorsenAshcombe74%€4.74m29assists, expected assists

Match log

10 appearances this season

Match-by-match statistics, most recent first
MWDateOpponentMinGAShSoTxGxAKPTklIntClr
2423 Janat BrackenfordL 1323000.00.00.000.000.01.01.00.0
2026 Decat Marsden CrossW 2069001.00.00.010.000.01.02.03.0
1919 Decat KelsfordL 129000.00.00.000.000.00.00.00.0
1521 Novat CalderbrookW 1090102.02.00.820.030.02.02.04.0
137 Novat RookwoodD 1127000.00.00.000.000.01.01.01.0
1124 Octat NorthfleetW 316000.00.00.000.000.00.00.00.0
512 Septv BrackenfordW 528101.01.00.810.000.00.00.00.0
45 Septv StanmoorW 3190001.00.00.010.010.03.00.02.0
222 Augv OakhurstL 0128000.00.00.000.000.00.00.01.0
115 Augv Marsden CrossW 2118000.00.00.000.000.00.00.00.0

Data

Last fixture
23 Jan
Matchweeks covered
24
Model
0.3.0-uncalibrated

Comparable transfers and contract situation are not shown, because the feed carries no transfer fees and no contract expiry dates. See methodology for what the model can and cannot see.