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DEFDemo Premier LeagueCroatia22 years

Zeki Kovac

Hollinwell · #5 · KOV5

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Estimated market value

€438k

Model range
€226k – €649k
Confidence
45%
Season change
−15.4%

Movement

Last matchweek
−1.5%
Last 4 matchweeks
−8.7%
Season to date
−15.4%

Reported in matchweeks, not days — football data arrives by fixture round.

Model estimate, uncalibrated. Values are model estimates on an uncalibrated scale. They are not predictions of a transfer fee and have not been validated against observed fees. Model 0.3.0-uncalibrated.

Valuation drivers

What moves this away from the €4.00m base value

  • Performance−€3.76m
  • Age+€598k
  • League€0
  • Position−€134k
  • Availability−€270k

Not in this model

  • ContractNo contract expiry data in the feed
  • Market comparablesNo observed transfer fees in the feed

Availability

Read any valuation against this first

Available minutes played54% · 1165 of 2160

14 appearances, 14 starts, 10 matchweeks missed.

A player who is not on the pitch drifts down the index without his performance level falling with it, and availability is a direct discount on the valuation above. An unavailable player is not the same thing as a cheap one.

Scenarios

What the model would say under a different set of facts

  • As measured€438kbenchmark
  • Performance +10%€481k+€44k · +10.0%
  • Performance +20%€525k+€88k · +20.0%
  • Performance −10%€417k−€20k · −4.7%
  • One year older€415k−€23k · −5.2%
  • Fully available€517k+€80k · +18.3%
  • Moves to a stronger divisionAlready in the strongest division we rate

These are counterfactuals, not forecasts. Each row is the same model run with one input changed — it says nothing about whether that change is likely. The benchmark is this player’s measured estimate of €438k.

Player DNA

Percentile against DEFs in the Demo Premier League

  • Goal threat61
  • Chance creation32
  • Finishing5
  • Defending90
  • Availability56

Elite defending defender (90th percentile), with above average goal threat (61th). Finishing is the clear gap at the 5th percentile. Played 54% of available minutes.

Generated from the metrics above, not from scouting notes. Ball progression and pressing are absent because the feed carries no progressive passes, carries or pressures.

Valuation history

The performance index the valuation is built on, by matchweek

Zeki Kovac index by matchweek

Profile

Per-90 percentiles against DEFs

Percentiles as a table
MetricZeki Kovac
Tackles79th
Interceptions62nd
Clearances98th
Goals70th
Expected assists33rd
Key passes19th

Per 90

Rate and percentile among DEFs with 270+ minutes

  • Goals0.08
  • Assists0.00
  • Shots0.2
  • Shots on target0.1
  • Key passes0.0
  • Expected goals0.10
  • Expected assists0.01
  • Tackles2.5
  • Interceptions1.7
  • Clearances3.4

Finishing

Goals against the quality of the chances they came from, running total

Zeki Kovac cumulative goals minus expected goals
−0.3−0.2−0.1−0.1−0.10.0Matchweek

Scoring 0.26 goals fewer than his chances were worth — the chances are being created.

Comparable players

Closest percentile profiles among the same position

Compare →
PlayerSimilarityValueAgeAlike on
Idris KovacQuarrydale85%€10.2m24assists, key passes
Adam LindqvistPendlebury84%€2.55m34assists, key passes
Wilson JansenBrackenford83%€3.28m31assists, key passes
Yusuf XimenesNorthfleet80%€24.0m18shots, clearances
Bertrand ZielinskiEastmarsh77%€1.74m34assists, key passes
Kai GrimaldiFallowfield77%€29.7m29expected goals, interceptions

Match log

14 appearances this season

Match-by-match statistics, most recent first
MWDateOpponentMinGAShSoTxGxAKPTklIntClr
212 Janat OakhurstL 0270000.00.00.000.010.02.01.04.0
1919 Decat KelsfordL 1290001.00.00.000.010.02.00.04.0
1521 Novat CalderbrookW 1090000.00.00.010.010.00.01.02.0
1414 Novat ThornesideL 0362000.00.00.000.010.00.01.04.0
137 Novat RookwoodD 1190000.00.00.000.010.04.03.02.0
1124 Octat NorthfleetW 3190000.00.00.010.010.02.01.04.0
1017 Octat LangmereL 1290000.00.00.000.000.02.00.06.0
910 Octat JarrowgateL 0490000.00.00.000.010.05.02.05.0
726 Septv FallowfieldL 1483000.00.00.000.000.04.03.01.0
512 Septv BrackenfordW 5270000.00.00.010.010.03.03.01.0
45 Septv StanmoorW 3190001.00.00.000.000.02.03.05.0
329 Augv QuarrydaleW 2090000.00.00.010.010.02.00.02.0
222 Augv OakhurstL 0179000.00.00.000.010.03.03.04.0
115 Augv Marsden CrossW 2181101.01.01.220.000.01.01.00.0

Data

Last fixture
2 Jan
Matchweeks covered
24
Model
0.3.0-uncalibrated

Comparable transfers and contract situation are not shown, because the feed carries no transfer fees and no contract expiry dates. See methodology for what the model can and cannot see.