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DEFDemo Premier LeagueFrance24 years

Idris Kovac

Quarrydale · #5 · KOV8

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Estimated market value

€10.2m

Model range
€6.83m – €13.7m
Confidence
72%
Season change
+5.0%

Movement

Last matchweek
−0.5%
Last 4 matchweeks
−2.2%
Season to date
+5.0%

Reported in matchweeks, not days — football data arrives by fixture round.

Model estimate, uncalibrated. Values are model estimates on an uncalibrated scale. They are not predictions of a transfer fee and have not been validated against observed fees. Model 0.3.0-uncalibrated.

Valuation drivers

What moves this away from the €4.00m base value

  • Performance+€5.06m
  • Age+€1.74m
  • League€0
  • Position−€554k
  • Availability€0

Not in this model

  • ContractNo contract expiry data in the feed
  • Market comparablesNo observed transfer fees in the feed

Availability

Read any valuation against this first

Available minutes played75% · 1629 of 2160

20 appearances, 16 starts, 4 matchweeks missed.

A player who is not on the pitch drifts down the index without his performance level falling with it, and availability is a direct discount on the valuation above. An unavailable player is not the same thing as a cheap one.

Scenarios

What the model would say under a different set of facts

  • As measured€10.2mbenchmark
  • Performance +10%€11.3m+€1.02m · +10.0%
  • Performance +20%€12.3m+€2.05m · +20.0%
  • Performance −10%€9.22m−€1.02m · −10.0%
  • One year older€9.54m−€710k · −6.9%
  • Fully availableNo availability discount left to recover
  • Moves to a stronger divisionAlready in the strongest division we rate

These are counterfactuals, not forecasts. Each row is the same model run with one input changed — it says nothing about whether that change is likely. The benchmark is this player’s measured estimate of €10.2m.

Player DNA

Percentile against DEFs in the Demo Premier League

  • Goal threat64
  • Chance creation26
  • Finishing8
  • Defending83
  • Availability84

Strong defending defender (83th percentile), with above average goal threat (64th). Finishing is the clear gap at the 8th percentile. Played 75% of available minutes.

Generated from the metrics above, not from scouting notes. Ball progression and pressing are absent because the feed carries no progressive passes, carries or pressures.

Valuation history

The performance index the valuation is built on, by matchweek

Idris Kovac index by matchweek

Profile

Per-90 percentiles against DEFs

Percentiles as a table
MetricIdris Kovac
Tackles43rd
Interceptions81st
Clearances93rd
Goals60th
Expected assists26th
Key passes19th

Per 90

Rate and percentile among DEFs with 270+ minutes

  • Goals0.06
  • Assists0.00
  • Shots0.4
  • Shots on target0.1
  • Key passes0.0
  • Expected goals0.06
  • Expected assists0.01
  • Tackles2.0
  • Interceptions1.9
  • Clearances3.3

Finishing

Goals against the quality of the chances they came from, running total

Idris Kovac cumulative goals minus expected goals
−0.1−0.1−0.10.0Matchweek

Scoring 0.16 goals fewer than his chances were worth — the chances are being created.

Comparable players

Closest percentile profiles among the same position

Compare →
PlayerSimilarityValueAgeAlike on
Wilson XimenesAshcombe85%€4.51m30assists, key passes
Wilson JansenBrackenford85%€3.28m31assists, key passes
Zeki KovacHollinwell85%€438k22assists, key passes
Bertrand ZielinskiEastmarsh83%€1.74m34assists, key passes
Caleb JokinenKelsford82%€6.64m26assists, key passes
Adam LindqvistPendlebury81%€2.55m34assists, key passes

Match log

20 appearances this season

Match-by-match statistics, most recent first
MWDateOpponentMinGAShSoTxGxAKPTklIntClr
2423 Janv LangmereW 2190000.00.00.000.010.00.02.05.0
2316 Janv JarrowgateD 2290001.00.00.010.010.02.02.05.0
229 Janv HollinwellD 1159000.00.00.000.010.01.02.00.0
212 Janv FallowfieldL 1274000.00.00.000.000.04.02.04.0
2026 Decv Deepdale ValeD 2290000.00.00.000.000.03.03.04.0
1919 Decv BrackenfordL 0290001.00.00.000.010.02.00.02.0
175 Decv AshcombeW 1090001.00.00.000.010.02.03.03.0
1521 Novat Marsden CrossW 1090000.00.00.010.000.01.00.00.0
1414 Novat KelsfordW 1090001.00.00.000.000.02.03.01.0
137 Novat Ilkeston ParkW 1056000.00.00.000.000.03.02.01.0
1124 Octat EastmarshD 0090000.00.00.010.010.01.01.03.0
1017 Octat CalderbrookW 1064000.00.00.000.000.00.01.03.0
910 Octat ThornesideL 0158000.00.00.000.000.02.02.01.0
83 Octat RookwoodW 2090102.02.01.110.010.02.03.05.0
726 Septat PendleburyW 3190001.00.00.010.010.04.03.04.0
619 Septat NorthfleetL 0390001.00.00.000.000.04.00.03.0
45 Septat JarrowgateW 1058000.00.00.000.010.01.01.03.0
329 Augat HollinwellL 0290000.00.00.010.010.00.03.03.0
222 Augat FallowfieldW 1090000.00.00.000.000.01.00.05.0
115 Augat Deepdale ValeW 2090000.00.00.000.010.02.02.05.0

Data

Last fixture
23 Jan
Matchweeks covered
24
Model
0.3.0-uncalibrated

Comparable transfers and contract situation are not shown, because the feed carries no transfer fees and no contract expiry dates. See methodology for what the model can and cannot see.