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MIDDemo Premier LeagueNigeria30 years

Rafael Lindqvist

Marsden Cross · #16 · LIN6

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Estimated market value

€4.60m

Model range
€2.99m – €6.21m
Confidence
69%
Season change
+18.4%

Movement

Last matchweek
+3.2%
Last 4 matchweeks
+0.8%
Season to date
+18.4%

Reported in matchweeks, not days — football data arrives by fixture round.

Model estimate, uncalibrated. Values are model estimates on an uncalibrated scale. They are not predictions of a transfer fee and have not been validated against observed fees. Model 0.3.0-uncalibrated.

Valuation drivers

What moves this away from the €4.00m base value

  • Performance+€2.66m
  • Age−€1.53m
  • League€0
  • Position+€168k
  • Availability−€696k

Not in this model

  • ContractNo contract expiry data in the feed
  • Market comparablesNo observed transfer fees in the feed

Availability

Read any valuation against this first

Available minutes played55% · 1179 of 2160

15 appearances, 13 starts, 9 matchweeks missed.

A player who is not on the pitch drifts down the index without his performance level falling with it, and availability is a direct discount on the valuation above. An unavailable player is not the same thing as a cheap one.

Scenarios

What the model would say under a different set of facts

  • As measured€4.60mbenchmark
  • Performance +10%€5.06m+€460k · +10.0%
  • Performance +20%€5.52m+€920k · +20.0%
  • Performance −10%€4.14m−€460k · −10.0%
  • One year older€3.81m−€788k · −17.1%
  • Fully available€5.41m+€810k · +17.6%
  • Moves to a stronger divisionAlready in the strongest division we rate

These are counterfactuals, not forecasts. Each row is the same model run with one input changed — it says nothing about whether that change is likely. The benchmark is this player’s measured estimate of €4.60m.

Player DNA

Percentile against MIDs in the Demo Premier League

  • Goal threat47
  • Chance creation46
  • Finishing1
  • Defending100
  • Availability64

Elite defending midfielder (100th percentile). Finishing is the clear gap at the 1th percentile. Played 55% of available minutes.

Generated from the metrics above, not from scouting notes. Ball progression and pressing are absent because the feed carries no progressive passes, carries or pressures.

Valuation history

The performance index the valuation is built on, by matchweek

Rafael Lindqvist index by matchweek

Profile

Per-90 percentiles against MIDs

Percentiles as a table
MetricRafael Lindqvist
Key passes60th
Expected assists43rd
Expected goals38th
Goals31st
Tackles99th
Interceptions71st

Per 90

Rate and percentile among MIDs with 270+ minutes

  • Goals0.08
  • Assists0.08
  • Shots1.7
  • Shots on target0.4
  • Key passes0.8
  • Expected goals0.11
  • Expected assists0.07
  • Tackles2.3
  • Interceptions1.2
  • Clearances2.4

Finishing

Goals against the quality of the chances they came from, running total

Rafael Lindqvist cumulative goals minus expected goals
−0.4−0.3−0.2−0.10.0Matchweek

Scoring 0.44 goals fewer than his chances were worth — the chances are being created.

Comparable players

Closest percentile profiles among the same position

Compare →
PlayerSimilarityValueAgeAlike on
Adam PereiraAshcombe81%€5.28m31key passes, goals
Pedro YilmazIlkeston Park80%€36.2m22shots on target, clearances
Andre BrennanBrackenford79%€24.4m24goals, assists
Felix DelgadoGranthorpe79%€38.9m19expected assists, expected goals
Samir NakamuraBrackenford78%€4.67m29clearances, key passes
Goran FontaineGranthorpe78%€8.19m20expected assists, expected goals

Match log

15 appearances this season

Match-by-match statistics, most recent first
MWDateOpponentMinGAShSoTxGxAKPTklIntClr
2423 Janv PendleburyW 2090002.01.00.010.011.01.02.01.0
212 Janv JarrowgateD 1190001.00.00.020.011.03.00.04.0
2026 Decv HollinwellL 0290001.00.00.000.001.03.02.02.0
1919 Decv FallowfieldL 0490001.00.00.000.060.03.01.03.0
1812 Decv Deepdale ValeW 2015000.00.00.000.000.00.00.01.0
1414 Novv OakhurstD 1190002.01.00.030.051.02.01.04.0
1231 Octat KelsfordD 1190102.01.01.220.020.01.02.01.0
1124 Octat Ilkeston ParkW 1090011.00.00.010.632.03.02.01.0
1017 Octat GranthorpeD 0090002.00.00.020.011.02.01.02.0
910 Octat EastmarshL 0390003.00.00.030.011.01.00.02.0
726 Septat ThornesideD 1190002.01.00.030.021.03.01.01.0
45 Septat NorthfleetL 0183002.01.00.030.040.03.01.03.0
329 Augat LangmereL 0271001.00.00.010.051.02.01.03.0
222 Augat JarrowgateD 1190002.00.00.020.011.02.02.03.0
115 Augat HollinwellL 1220000.00.00.010.010.01.00.00.0

Data

Last fixture
23 Jan
Matchweeks covered
24
Model
0.3.0-uncalibrated

Comparable transfers and contract situation are not shown, because the feed carries no transfer fees and no contract expiry dates. See methodology for what the model can and cannot see.