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MIDDemo Premier LeagueGermany29 years

Samir Nakamura

Brackenford · #16 · NAKA

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Estimated market value

€4.67m

Model range
€2.49m – €6.84m
Confidence
48%
Season change
−1.3%

Movement

Last matchweek
−1.5%
Last 4 matchweeks
+9.2%
Season to date
−1.3%

Reported in matchweeks, not days — football data arrives by fixture round.

Model estimate, uncalibrated. Values are model estimates on an uncalibrated scale. They are not predictions of a transfer fee and have not been validated against observed fees. Model 0.3.0-uncalibrated.

Valuation drivers

What moves this away from the €4.00m base value

  • Performance+€3.29m
  • Age−€858k
  • League€0
  • Position+€170k
  • Availability−€1.94m

Not in this model

  • ContractNo contract expiry data in the feed
  • Market comparablesNo observed transfer fees in the feed

Availability

Read any valuation against this first

Available minutes played26% · 555 of 2160

8 appearances, 5 starts, 16 matchweeks missed.

A player who is not on the pitch drifts down the index without his performance level falling with it, and availability is a direct discount on the valuation above. An unavailable player is not the same thing as a cheap one.

Scenarios

What the model would say under a different set of facts

  • As measured€4.67mbenchmark
  • Performance +10%€5.13m+€467k · +10.0%
  • Performance +20%€5.60m+€933k · +20.0%
  • Performance −10%€4.20m−€467k · −10.0%
  • One year older€3.98m−€683k · −14.6%
  • Fully available€7.31m+€2.64m · +56.6%
  • Moves to a stronger divisionAlready in the strongest division we rate

These are counterfactuals, not forecasts. Each row is the same model run with one input changed — it says nothing about whether that change is likely. The benchmark is this player’s measured estimate of €4.67m.

Player DNA

Percentile against MIDs in the Demo Premier League

  • Goal threat69
  • Chance creation66
  • Finishing8
  • Defending76
  • Availability27

Strong defending midfielder (76th percentile), with above average goal threat (69th). Finishing is the clear gap at the 8th percentile. Availability is the headline risk: 26% of available minutes played.

Generated from the metrics above, not from scouting notes. Ball progression and pressing are absent because the feed carries no progressive passes, carries or pressures.

Valuation history

The performance index the valuation is built on, by matchweek

Samir Nakamura index by matchweek

Profile

Per-90 percentiles against MIDs

Percentiles as a table
MetricSamir Nakamura
Key passes55th
Expected assists68th
Expected goals73rd
Goals58th
Tackles70th
Interceptions65th

Per 90

Rate and percentile among MIDs with 270+ minutes

  • Goals0.16
  • Assists0.16
  • Shots1.9
  • Shots on target0.3
  • Key passes0.8
  • Expected goals0.21
  • Expected assists0.13
  • Tackles1.5
  • Interceptions1.1
  • Clearances2.3

Finishing

Goals against the quality of the chances they came from, running total

Samir Nakamura cumulative goals minus expected goals
−0.3−0.2−0.10.0Matchweek

Scoring 0.32 goals fewer than his chances were worth — the chances are being created.

Comparable players

Closest percentile profiles among the same position

Compare →
PlayerSimilarityValueAgeAlike on
Pedro YilmazIlkeston Park84%€36.2m22goals, clearances
Andre CastileBrackenford82%€1.66m19expected goals, expected assists
Emil QuintanaCalderbrook82%€19.7m30tackles, goals
Noah JansenStanmoor82%€11.7m25goals, assists
Caleb LindqvistIlkeston Park81%€5.01m30key passes, clearances
Cillian DahlbergThorneside81%€1.53m30interceptions, key passes

Match log

8 appearances this season

Match-by-match statistics, most recent first
MWDateOpponentMinGAShSoTxGxAKPTklIntClr
212 Janv AshcombeW 2174113.01.01.230.642.01.00.02.0
2026 Decat StanmoorW 2059001.00.00.020.020.01.01.01.0
1812 Decat OakhurstL 0233001.00.00.000.010.00.00.01.0
175 Decat Marsden CrossL 0190002.01.00.010.051.02.01.03.0
1414 Novat GranthorpeW 1090001.00.00.030.021.00.01.03.0
1231 Octat CalderbrookL 2490001.00.00.030.070.02.01.00.0
619 Septat JarrowgateW 4129001.00.00.000.010.01.01.01.0
222 Augat AshcombeL 1290002.00.00.000.011.02.02.03.0

Data

Last fixture
2 Jan
Matchweeks covered
24
Model
0.3.0-uncalibrated

Comparable transfers and contract situation are not shown, because the feed carries no transfer fees and no contract expiry dates. See methodology for what the model can and cannot see.