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MIDDemo Premier LeagueDenmark25 years

Noah Jansen

Stanmoor · #10 · JAN9

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Estimated market value

€11.7m

Model range
€7.30m – €16.2m
Confidence
64%
Season change
+8.4%

Movement

Last matchweek
+3.1%
Last 4 matchweeks
+1.9%
Season to date
+8.4%

Reported in matchweeks, not days — football data arrives by fixture round.

Model estimate, uncalibrated. Values are model estimates on an uncalibrated scale. They are not predictions of a transfer fee and have not been validated against observed fees. Model 0.3.0-uncalibrated.

Valuation drivers

What moves this away from the €4.00m base value

  • Performance+€7.19m
  • Age+€1.37m
  • League€0
  • Position+€282k
  • Availability−€1.10m

Not in this model

  • ContractNo contract expiry data in the feed
  • Market comparablesNo observed transfer fees in the feed

Availability

Read any valuation against this first

Available minutes played56% · 1202 of 2160

15 appearances, 14 starts, 9 matchweeks missed.

A player who is not on the pitch drifts down the index without his performance level falling with it, and availability is a direct discount on the valuation above. An unavailable player is not the same thing as a cheap one.

Scenarios

What the model would say under a different set of facts

  • As measured€11.7mbenchmark
  • Performance +10%€12.9m+€1.17m · +10.0%
  • Performance +20%€14.1m+€2.35m · +20.0%
  • Performance −10%€10.6m−€1.17m · −10.0%
  • One year older€10.9m−€873k · −7.4%
  • Fully available€13.7m+€1.94m · +16.5%
  • Moves to a stronger divisionAlready in the strongest division we rate

These are counterfactuals, not forecasts. Each row is the same model run with one input changed — it says nothing about whether that change is likely. The benchmark is this player’s measured estimate of €11.7m.

Player DNA

Percentile against MIDs in the Demo Premier League

  • Goal threat58
  • Chance creation54
  • Finishing68
  • Defending64
  • Availability68

Above average finishing midfielder (68th percentile), with above average defending (64th). Played 56% of available minutes.

Generated from the metrics above, not from scouting notes. Ball progression and pressing are absent because the feed carries no progressive passes, carries or pressures.

Valuation history

The performance index the valuation is built on, by matchweek

Noah Jansen index by matchweek

Profile

Per-90 percentiles against MIDs

Percentiles as a table
MetricNoah Jansen
Key passes31st
Expected assists60th
Expected goals52nd
Goals54th
Tackles44th
Interceptions84th

Per 90

Rate and percentile among MIDs with 270+ minutes

  • Goals0.15
  • Assists0.15
  • Shots1.7
  • Shots on target0.4
  • Key passes0.7
  • Expected goals0.14
  • Expected assists0.12
  • Tackles1.2
  • Interceptions1.3
  • Clearances1.8

Finishing

Goals against the quality of the chances they came from, running total

Noah Jansen cumulative goals minus expected goals
−0.10.0+0.1+0.2Matchweek

Scoring 0.12 goals more than his chances were worth. Finishing runs like this historically revert.

Comparable players

Closest percentile profiles among the same position

Compare →
PlayerSimilarityValueAgeAlike on
Zeki NakamuraKelsford84%€5.88m34shots, interceptions
Cillian DahlbergThorneside83%€1.53m30shots, expected assists
Samir NakamuraBrackenford82%€4.67m29goals, assists
Felix DelgadoGranthorpe80%€38.9m19clearances, tackles
Hugo OkaforThorneside80%€7.56m31expected goals, interceptions
Andre EriksenAshcombe79%€5.17m28clearances, shots on target

Match log

15 appearances this season

Match-by-match statistics, most recent first
MWDateOpponentMinGAShSoTxGxAKPTklIntClr
2423 Janv JarrowgateW 1090002.01.00.020.051.02.01.03.0
212 Janv Deepdale ValeD 0090002.00.00.020.021.02.02.02.0
2026 Decv BrackenfordL 0290001.00.00.030.050.02.01.03.0
1919 Decv AshcombeW 2090001.00.00.020.021.01.01.01.0
1812 Decat QuarrydaleL 1262001.00.00.000.030.01.01.00.0
1628 Novat Marsden CrossW 3057102.01.00.850.041.01.01.01.0
1521 Novat KelsfordW 2190001.00.00.030.000.01.02.02.0
1414 Novat Ilkeston ParkL 1490103.02.00.840.021.01.00.00.0
1231 Octat EastmarshL 0362001.00.00.010.011.00.01.01.0
83 Octat PendleburyD 0064001.00.00.000.010.01.01.01.0
726 Septat NorthfleetL 1276002.01.00.000.020.01.01.01.0
619 Septat LangmereW 3190021.00.00.011.253.00.02.03.0
329 Augat FallowfieldL 1390002.01.00.010.050.02.00.02.0
222 Augat Deepdale ValeL 2371001.00.00.020.010.00.02.02.0
115 Augat BrackenfordL 1290002.00.00.020.010.01.02.02.0

Data

Last fixture
23 Jan
Matchweeks covered
24
Model
0.3.0-uncalibrated

Comparable transfers and contract situation are not shown, because the feed carries no transfer fees and no contract expiry dates. See methodology for what the model can and cannot see.