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FWDDemo Premier LeagueSenegal23 years

Jonas Okafor

Oakhurst · #17 · OK12

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Estimated market value

€65.0m

Model range
€37.2m – €92.8m
Confidence
55%
Season change
+29.2%

Movement

Last matchweek
+0.8%
Last 4 matchweeks
−1.5%
Season to date
+29.2%

Reported in matchweeks, not days — football data arrives by fixture round.

Model estimate, uncalibrated. Values are model estimates on an uncalibrated scale. They are not predictions of a transfer fee and have not been validated against observed fees. Model 0.3.0-uncalibrated.

Valuation drivers

What moves this away from the €4.00m base value

  • Performance+€51.0m
  • Age+€6.97m
  • League€0
  • Position+€3.62m
  • Availability−€641k

Not in this model

  • ContractNo contract expiry data in the feed
  • Market comparablesNo observed transfer fees in the feed

Availability

Read any valuation against this first

Available minutes played71% · 1535 of 2160

20 appearances, 18 starts, 4 matchweeks missed.

A player who is not on the pitch drifts down the index without his performance level falling with it, and availability is a direct discount on the valuation above. An unavailable player is not the same thing as a cheap one.

Scenarios

What the model would say under a different set of facts

  • As measured€65.0mbenchmark
  • Performance +10%€68.2m+€3.17m · +4.9%
  • Performance +20%€68.2m+€3.17m · +4.9%
  • Performance −10%€58.5m−€6.50m · −10.0%
  • One year older€61.4m−€3.55m · −5.5%
  • Fully available€66.9m+€1.93m · +3.0%
  • Moves to a stronger divisionAlready in the strongest division we rate

These are counterfactuals, not forecasts. Each row is the same model run with one input changed — it says nothing about whether that change is likely. The benchmark is this player’s measured estimate of €65.0m.

Player DNA

Percentile against FWDs in the Demo Premier League

  • Goal threat98
  • Chance creation68
  • Finishing22
  • Defending11
  • Availability76

Elite goal threat forward (98th percentile), with above average chance creation (68th). Defending is the clear gap at the 11th percentile. Played 71% of available minutes.

Generated from the metrics above, not from scouting notes. Ball progression and pressing are absent because the feed carries no progressive passes, carries or pressures.

Valuation history

The performance index the valuation is built on, by matchweek

Jonas Okafor index by matchweek

Profile

Per-90 percentiles against FWDs

Percentiles as a table
MetricJonas Okafor
Goals97th
Expected goals98th
Shots on target92nd
Assists77th
Expected assists67th
Key passes62nd

Per 90

Rate and percentile among FWDs with 270+ minutes

  • Goals0.64
  • Assists0.23
  • Shots2.9
  • Shots on target1.2
  • Key passes1.5
  • Expected goals0.68
  • Expected assists0.19
  • Tackles0.0
  • Interceptions0.0
  • Clearances0.1

Finishing

Goals against the quality of the chances they came from, running total

Jonas Okafor cumulative goals minus expected goals
−0.6−0.4−0.20.0Matchweek

Scoring 0.62 goals fewer than his chances were worth — the chances are being created.

Comparable players

Closest percentile profiles among the same position

Compare →
PlayerSimilarityValueAgeAlike on
Rafael HalvorsenStanmoor87%€10.0m31tackles, interceptions
Adam DelgadoQuarrydale84%€53.0m22interceptions, shots on target
Omar ToureenKelsford82%€39.8m26interceptions, shots on target
Goran ArdalBrackenford80%€59.4m20interceptions, clearances
Cillian VasquezOakhurst80%€1.47m26goals, shots on target
Finn JansenRookwood80%€41.4m22tackles, interceptions

Match log

20 appearances this season

Match-by-match statistics, most recent first
MWDateOpponentMinGAShSoTxGxAKPTklIntClr
2423 Janv NorthfleetD 2278102.01.01.030.031.00.00.00.0
2316 Janv LangmereL 1390002.01.00.010.000.00.00.00.0
229 Janv JarrowgateW 2090206.02.02.080.041.00.00.00.0
212 Janv HollinwellW 2080103.01.01.050.021.00.00.00.0
2026 Decv FallowfieldW 1060103.01.01.020.061.00.00.00.0
1919 Decv Deepdale ValeW 1090114.02.01.060.692.00.00.00.0
1812 Decv BrackenfordW 2090003.01.00.030.071.00.00.00.0
175 Decv StanmoorW 5055122.02.01.041.263.00.00.00.0
1628 Novv QuarrydaleL 1266103.02.01.030.010.00.00.00.0
137 Novat KelsfordD 1160001.00.00.020.032.00.00.00.0
1231 Octat Ilkeston ParkD 3390112.02.01.040.683.00.00.00.0
1124 Octat GranthorpeL 0158001.00.00.010.030.00.00.00.0
1017 Octat EastmarshW 4065003.00.00.000.031.00.00.00.0
910 Octat CalderbrookL 1275001.00.00.010.021.00.00.00.0
83 Octat ThornesideW 1073001.00.00.020.061.00.00.00.0
619 Septat PendleburyW 4166103.02.01.030.041.00.00.00.0
512 Septat NorthfleetW 1079102.02.01.060.021.00.00.00.0
329 Augat JarrowgateW 1090003.01.00.010.031.00.00.00.0
222 Augat HollinwellW 1090003.00.00.040.002.00.00.01.0
115 Augat FallowfieldL 0190001.00.00.030.062.00.00.00.0

Data

Last fixture
23 Jan
Matchweeks covered
24
Model
0.3.0-uncalibrated

Comparable transfers and contract situation are not shown, because the feed carries no transfer fees and no contract expiry dates. See methodology for what the model can and cannot see.