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FWDDemo Premier LeagueMorocco22 years

Finn Jansen

Rookwood · #21 · JAN7

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Estimated market value

€41.4m

Model range
€18.9m – €63.9m
Confidence
34%
Season change
−6.2%

Movement

Last matchweek
−1.5%
Last 4 matchweeks
+12.0%
Season to date
−6.2%

Reported in matchweeks, not days — football data arrives by fixture round.

Model estimate, uncalibrated. Values are model estimates on an uncalibrated scale. They are not predictions of a transfer fee and have not been validated against observed fees. Model 0.3.0-uncalibrated.

Valuation drivers

What moves this away from the €4.00m base value

  • Performance+€35.8m
  • Age+€5.95m
  • League€0
  • Position+€2.65m
  • Availability−€7.00m

Not in this model

  • ContractNo contract expiry data in the feed
  • Market comparablesNo observed transfer fees in the feed

Availability

Read any valuation against this first

Available minutes played27% · 577 of 2160

9 appearances, 6 starts, 15 matchweeks missed.

A player who is not on the pitch drifts down the index without his performance level falling with it, and availability is a direct discount on the valuation above. An unavailable player is not the same thing as a cheap one.

Scenarios

What the model would say under a different set of facts

  • As measured€41.4mbenchmark
  • Performance +10%€45.6m+€4.14m · +10.0%
  • Performance +20%€47.8m+€6.36m · +15.4%
  • Performance −10%€37.3m−€4.14m · −10.0%
  • One year older€39.3m−€2.14m · −5.2%
  • Fully available€64.2m+€22.7m · +54.8%
  • Moves to a stronger divisionAlready in the strongest division we rate

These are counterfactuals, not forecasts. Each row is the same model run with one input changed — it says nothing about whether that change is likely. The benchmark is this player’s measured estimate of €41.4m.

Player DNA

Percentile against FWDs in the Demo Premier League

  • Goal threat85
  • Chance creation58
  • Finishing33
  • Defending5
  • Availability18

Strong goal threat forward (85th percentile), with above average chance creation (58th). Defending is the clear gap at the 5th percentile. Availability is the headline risk: 27% of available minutes played.

Generated from the metrics above, not from scouting notes. Ball progression and pressing are absent because the feed carries no progressive passes, carries or pressures.

Valuation history

The performance index the valuation is built on, by matchweek

Finn Jansen index by matchweek

Profile

Per-90 percentiles against FWDs

Percentiles as a table
MetricFinn Jansen
Goals90th
Expected goals89th
Shots on target81st
Assists89th
Expected assists84th
Key passes7th

Per 90

Rate and percentile among FWDs with 270+ minutes

  • Goals0.47
  • Assists0.31
  • Shots2.7
  • Shots on target0.9
  • Key passes0.9
  • Expected goals0.47
  • Expected assists0.23
  • Tackles0.0
  • Interceptions0.0
  • Clearances0.0

Finishing

Goals against the quality of the chances they came from, running total

Finn Jansen cumulative goals minus expected goals
−0.1−0.10.0Matchweek

Scoring 0.02 goals fewer than his chances were worth — the chances are being created.

Comparable players

Closest percentile profiles among the same position

Compare →
PlayerSimilarityValueAgeAlike on
Rafael HalvorsenStanmoor83%€10.0m31tackles, interceptions
Omar ToureenKelsford81%€39.8m26interceptions, shots on target
Jonas OkaforOakhurst80%€65.0m23tackles, interceptions
Goran ArdalBrackenford75%€59.4m20interceptions, clearances
Emil OkaforIlkeston Park75%€1.65m32interceptions, assists
Dmitri UgarteStanmoor75%€6.23m21tackles, interceptions

Match log

9 appearances this season

Match-by-match statistics, most recent first
MWDateOpponentMinGAShSoTxGxAKPTklIntClr
2316 Janat Ilkeston ParkW 3157102.01.00.960.011.00.00.00.0
229 Janat GranthorpeW 3090224.03.01.951.253.00.00.00.0
212 Janat EastmarshD 1190001.00.00.020.080.00.00.00.0
1812 Decat AshcombeW 3062002.01.00.030.000.00.00.00.0
1628 Novv NorthfleetD 0090002.00.00.010.010.00.00.00.0
137 Novv HollinwellD 1118001.00.00.000.010.00.00.00.0
910 Octv StanmoorD 0069002.01.00.010.071.00.00.00.0
83 Octv QuarrydaleL 0290003.00.00.040.021.00.00.00.0
619 Septv Marsden CrossW 4011000.00.00.000.010.00.00.00.0

Data

Last fixture
16 Jan
Matchweeks covered
24
Model
0.3.0-uncalibrated

Comparable transfers and contract situation are not shown, because the feed carries no transfer fees and no contract expiry dates. See methodology for what the model can and cannot see.