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MIDDemo Premier LeagueDenmark31 years

Hugo Okafor

Thorneside · #16 · OK17

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Estimated market value

€7.56m

Model range
€3.66m – €11.5m
Confidence
39%
Season change
−4.8%

Movement

Last matchweek
+11.2%
Last 4 matchweeks
+9.1%
Season to date
−4.8%

Reported in matchweeks, not days — football data arrives by fixture round.

Model estimate, uncalibrated. Values are model estimates on an uncalibrated scale. They are not predictions of a transfer fee and have not been validated against observed fees. Model 0.3.0-uncalibrated.

Valuation drivers

What moves this away from the €4.00m base value

  • Performance+€9.05m
  • Age−€3.05m
  • League€0
  • Position+€219k
  • Availability−€2.67m

Not in this model

  • ContractNo contract expiry data in the feed
  • Market comparablesNo observed transfer fees in the feed

Availability

Read any valuation against this first

Available minutes played23% · 502 of 2160

9 appearances, 5 starts, 15 matchweeks missed.

A player who is not on the pitch drifts down the index without his performance level falling with it, and availability is a direct discount on the valuation above. An unavailable player is not the same thing as a cheap one.

Scenarios

What the model would say under a different set of facts

  • As measured€7.56mbenchmark
  • Performance +10%€8.31m+€756k · +10.0%
  • Performance +20%€9.07m+€1.51m · +20.0%
  • Performance −10%€6.80m−€756k · −10.0%
  • One year older€6.12m−€1.43m · −19.0%
  • Fully available€12.2m+€4.62m · +61.2%
  • Moves to a stronger divisionAlready in the strongest division we rate

These are counterfactuals, not forecasts. Each row is the same model run with one input changed — it says nothing about whether that change is likely. The benchmark is this player’s measured estimate of €7.56m.

Player DNA

Percentile against MIDs in the Demo Premier League

  • Goal threat70
  • Chance creation29
  • Finishing77
  • Defending80
  • Availability22

Strong defending midfielder (80th percentile), with strong finishing (77th). Chance creation is the clear gap at the 29th percentile. Availability is the headline risk: 23% of available minutes played.

Generated from the metrics above, not from scouting notes. Ball progression and pressing are absent because the feed carries no progressive passes, carries or pressures.

Valuation history

The performance index the valuation is built on, by matchweek

Hugo Okafor index by matchweek

Profile

Per-90 percentiles against MIDs

Percentiles as a table
MetricHugo Okafor
Key passes40th
Expected assists38th
Expected goals56th
Goals61st
Tackles68th
Interceptions88th

Per 90

Rate and percentile among MIDs with 270+ minutes

  • Goals0.18
  • Assists0.00
  • Shots2.0
  • Shots on target0.5
  • Key passes0.7
  • Expected goals0.15
  • Expected assists0.05
  • Tackles1.4
  • Interceptions1.4
  • Clearances2.0

Finishing

Goals against the quality of the chances they came from, running total

Hugo Okafor cumulative goals minus expected goals
−0.10.0+0.1+0.1+0.1Matchweek

Scoring 0.17 goals more than his chances were worth. Finishing runs like this historically revert.

Comparable players

Closest percentile profiles among the same position

Compare →
PlayerSimilarityValueAgeAlike on
Cillian DahlbergThorneside82%€1.53m30shots on target, key passes
Caleb LindqvistIlkeston Park81%€5.01m30shots, interceptions
Noah JansenStanmoor80%€11.7m25expected goals, interceptions
Felix LindqvistJarrowgate79%€12.1m19clearances, shots
Wilson ChevalierLangmere79%€13.7m23assists, shots on target
Viktor FontaineRookwood79%€16.2m32clearances, interceptions

Match log

9 appearances this season

Match-by-match statistics, most recent first
MWDateOpponentMinGAShSoTxGxAKPTklIntClr
2423 Janat Ilkeston ParkL 1281103.02.00.790.061.03.02.01.0
2316 Janat GranthorpeL 1411000.00.00.000.010.00.00.00.0
229 Janat EastmarshD 1121001.00.00.000.010.00.00.00.0
1124 Octv BrackenfordW 2090003.01.00.000.010.00.02.03.0
83 Octv OakhurstL 0190001.00.00.000.061.02.01.02.0
726 Septv Marsden CrossD 1190002.00.00.030.071.01.02.02.0
619 Septv KelsfordW 2077001.00.00.000.051.02.01.02.0
329 Augv EastmarshW 2024000.00.00.000.020.00.00.01.0
115 Augv AshcombeD 2218000.00.00.010.010.00.00.00.0

Data

Last fixture
23 Jan
Matchweeks covered
24
Model
0.3.0-uncalibrated

Comparable transfers and contract situation are not shown, because the feed carries no transfer fees and no contract expiry dates. See methodology for what the model can and cannot see.