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FWDDemo Premier LeagueSpain25 years

Lucas Rasmussen

Quarrydale · #19 · RAS7

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Estimated market value

€1.42m

Model range
€761k – €2.09m
Confidence
48%
Season change
−6.3%

Movement

Last matchweek
−0.7%
Last 4 matchweeks
−2.6%
Season to date
−6.3%

Reported in matchweeks, not days — football data arrives by fixture round.

Model estimate, uncalibrated. Values are model estimates on an uncalibrated scale. They are not predictions of a transfer fee and have not been validated against observed fees. Model 0.3.0-uncalibrated.

Valuation drivers

What moves this away from the €4.00m base value

  • Performance−€2.38m
  • Age+€476k
  • League€0
  • Position+€413k
  • Availability−€1.09m

Not in this model

  • ContractNo contract expiry data in the feed
  • Market comparablesNo observed transfer fees in the feed

Availability

Read any valuation against this first

Available minutes played27% · 579 of 2160

10 appearances, 6 starts, 14 matchweeks missed.

A player who is not on the pitch drifts down the index without his performance level falling with it, and availability is a direct discount on the valuation above. An unavailable player is not the same thing as a cheap one.

Scenarios

What the model would say under a different set of facts

  • As measured€1.42mbenchmark
  • Performance +10%€1.57m+€142k · +10.0%
  • Performance +20%€1.71m+€285k · +20.0%
  • Performance −10%€1.28m−€142k · −10.0%
  • One year older€1.32m−€106k · −7.4%
  • Fully available€2.20m+€779k · +54.7%
  • Moves to a stronger divisionAlready in the strongest division we rate

These are counterfactuals, not forecasts. Each row is the same model run with one input changed — it says nothing about whether that change is likely. The benchmark is this player’s measured estimate of €1.42m.

Player DNA

Percentile against FWDs in the Demo Premier League

  • Goal threat4
  • Chance creation89
  • Finishing39
  • Defending13
  • Availability20

Strong chance creation forward (89th percentile). Goal threat is the clear gap at the 4th percentile. Availability is the headline risk: 27% of available minutes played.

Generated from the metrics above, not from scouting notes. Ball progression and pressing are absent because the feed carries no progressive passes, carries or pressures.

Valuation history

The performance index the valuation is built on, by matchweek

Lucas Rasmussen index by matchweek

Profile

Per-90 percentiles against FWDs

Percentiles as a table
MetricLucas Rasmussen
Goals6th
Expected goals2nd
Shots on target5th
Assists86th
Expected assists85th
Key passes81st

Per 90

Rate and percentile among FWDs with 270+ minutes

  • Goals0.00
  • Assists0.31
  • Shots2.0
  • Shots on target0.3
  • Key passes1.7
  • Expected goals0.02
  • Expected assists0.24
  • Tackles0.0
  • Interceptions0.0
  • Clearances0.2

Finishing

Goals against the quality of the chances they came from, running total

Lucas Rasmussen cumulative goals minus expected goals
−0.1−0.10.0Matchweek

Scoring 0.12 goals fewer than his chances were worth — the chances are being created.

Comparable players

Closest percentile profiles among the same position

Compare →
PlayerSimilarityValueAgeAlike on
Bertrand CastileKelsford76%€56.0m19clearances, shots on target
Rafael OkaforOakhurst76%€10.9m22tackles, interceptions
Bruno ToureenCalderbrook74%€992k22goals, interceptions
Viktor IvesIlkeston Park74%€544k30goals, expected goals
Gabriel AbbottGranthorpe72%€650k21goals, tackles
Dmitri JokinenRookwood70%€2.33m32tackles, interceptions

Match log

10 appearances this season

Match-by-match statistics, most recent first
MWDateOpponentMinGAShSoTxGxAKPTklIntClr
2423 Janv LangmereW 2116000.00.00.010.010.00.00.00.0
2316 Janv JarrowgateD 2290003.00.00.030.072.00.00.00.0
2026 Decv Deepdale ValeD 2290003.01.00.010.012.00.00.01.0
1812 Decv StanmoorW 2169001.00.00.010.021.00.00.00.0
1521 Novat Marsden CrossW 1090012.00.00.030.682.00.00.00.0
137 Novat Ilkeston ParkW 1011000.00.00.000.000.00.00.00.0
1231 Octat GranthorpeW 1027000.00.00.000.020.00.00.00.0
910 Octat ThornesideL 0190003.01.00.010.051.00.00.00.0
619 Septat NorthfleetL 036000.00.00.000.000.00.00.00.0
222 Augat FallowfieldW 1090011.00.00.020.663.00.00.00.0

Data

Last fixture
23 Jan
Matchweeks covered
24
Model
0.3.0-uncalibrated

Comparable transfers and contract situation are not shown, because the feed carries no transfer fees and no contract expiry dates. See methodology for what the model can and cannot see.