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FWDDemo Premier LeagueJapan19 years

Bertrand Castile

Kelsford · #18 · CAS6

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Estimated market value

€56.0m

Model range
€33.6m – €78.4m
Confidence
60%
Season change
+22.2%

Movement

Last matchweek
−1.5%
Last 4 matchweeks
+3.9%
Season to date
+22.2%

Reported in matchweeks, not days — football data arrives by fixture round.

Model estimate, uncalibrated. Values are model estimates on an uncalibrated scale. They are not predictions of a transfer fee and have not been validated against observed fees. Model 0.3.0-uncalibrated.

Valuation drivers

What moves this away from the €4.00m base value

  • Performance+€41.3m
  • Age+€7.46m
  • League€0
  • Position+€3.26m
  • Availability€0

Not in this model

  • ContractNo contract expiry data in the feed
  • Market comparablesNo observed transfer fees in the feed

Availability

Read any valuation against this first

Available minutes played75% · 1623 of 2160

20 appearances, 19 starts, 4 matchweeks missed.

A player who is not on the pitch drifts down the index without his performance level falling with it, and availability is a direct discount on the valuation above. An unavailable player is not the same thing as a cheap one.

Scenarios

What the model would say under a different set of facts

  • As measured€56.0mbenchmark
  • Performance +10%€61.6m+€5.60m · +10.0%
  • Performance +20%€67.2m+€11.2m · +20.0%
  • Performance −10%€50.4m−€5.60m · −10.0%
  • One year older€57.5m+€1.53m · +2.7%
  • Fully availableNo availability discount left to recover
  • Moves to a stronger divisionAlready in the strongest division we rate

These are counterfactuals, not forecasts. Each row is the same model run with one input changed — it says nothing about whether that change is likely. The benchmark is this player’s measured estimate of €56.0m.

Player DNA

Percentile against FWDs in the Demo Premier League

  • Goal threat24
  • Chance creation64
  • Finishing80
  • Defending26
  • Availability83

Strong finishing forward (80th percentile), with above average chance creation (64th). Goal threat is the clear gap at the 24th percentile. Played 75% of available minutes.

Generated from the metrics above, not from scouting notes. Ball progression and pressing are absent because the feed carries no progressive passes, carries or pressures.

Valuation history

The performance index the valuation is built on, by matchweek

Bertrand Castile index by matchweek

Profile

Per-90 percentiles against FWDs

Percentiles as a table
MetricBertrand Castile
Goals51st
Expected goals44th
Shots on target14th
Assists72nd
Expected assists68th
Key passes55th

Per 90

Rate and percentile among FWDs with 270+ minutes

  • Goals0.22
  • Assists0.22
  • Shots2.4
  • Shots on target0.5
  • Key passes1.4
  • Expected goals0.18
  • Expected assists0.19
  • Tackles0.2
  • Interceptions0.1
  • Clearances0.3

Finishing

Goals against the quality of the chances they came from, running total

Bertrand Castile cumulative goals minus expected goals
−0.20.0+0.2+0.4+0.6+0.8Matchweek

Scoring 0.84 goals more than his chances were worth. Finishing runs like this historically revert.

Comparable players

Closest percentile profiles among the same position

Compare →
PlayerSimilarityValueAgeAlike on
Dmitri JokinenRookwood85%€2.33m32shots on target, key passes
Emil OkaforIlkeston Park83%€1.65m32tackles, goals
Elias AbbottQuarrydale81%€12.0m33shots, key passes
Dmitri UgarteStanmoor80%€6.23m21key passes, expected assists
Finn YilmazBrackenford78%€10.8m26assists, tackles
Idris IbarraFallowfield77%€15.5m24shots on target, goals

Match log

20 appearances this season

Match-by-match statistics, most recent first
MWDateOpponentMinGAShSoTxGxAKPTklIntClr
2316 Janv PendleburyW 4190114.02.00.740.653.01.00.01.0
229 Janv NorthfleetD 1114000.00.00.000.010.00.00.00.0
212 Janv LangmereW 2073012.00.00.020.622.00.00.01.0
2026 Decv JarrowgateW 6080112.01.00.730.683.00.00.00.0
1919 Decv HollinwellW 2190003.00.00.020.052.00.00.00.0
1812 Decv FallowfieldL 1290003.00.00.010.072.00.00.00.0
175 Decv Deepdale ValeW 1077104.02.00.730.042.00.00.00.0
1628 Novv BrackenfordW 2190003.00.00.020.051.00.00.01.0
1414 Novv QuarrydaleL 0163001.00.00.020.051.00.00.00.0
137 Novv OakhurstD 1190002.01.00.020.070.01.00.01.0
1124 Octv AshcombeD 2290002.01.00.010.031.00.00.00.0
1017 Octat Ilkeston ParkL 0190003.01.00.040.061.00.01.00.0
83 Octat EastmarshL 1275102.01.00.700.060.00.00.01.0
726 Septat CalderbrookD 0090003.00.00.010.061.01.00.00.0
619 Septat ThornesideL 0278002.00.00.000.041.00.00.00.0
512 Septat RookwoodL 1290001.00.00.020.010.01.00.00.0
45 Septat PendleburyL 0483001.00.00.020.051.00.00.00.0
329 Augat NorthfleetL 1490011.00.00.010.693.00.00.00.0
222 Augat LangmereL 1290003.00.00.010.032.00.00.00.0
115 Augat JarrowgateL 0290001.00.00.030.080.00.00.00.0

Data

Last fixture
16 Jan
Matchweeks covered
24
Model
0.3.0-uncalibrated

Comparable transfers and contract situation are not shown, because the feed carries no transfer fees and no contract expiry dates. See methodology for what the model can and cannot see.