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FWDDemo Premier LeagueWales32 years

Diogo Whitlock

Langmere · #18 · WHI3

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Estimated market value

€179k

Model range
€93k – €264k
Confidence
46%
Season change
+10.0%

Movement

Last matchweek
−4.1%
Last 4 matchweeks
−7.9%
Season to date
+10.0%

Reported in matchweeks, not days — football data arrives by fixture round.

Model estimate, uncalibrated. Values are model estimates on an uncalibrated scale. They are not predictions of a transfer fee and have not been validated against observed fees. Model 0.3.0-uncalibrated.

Valuation drivers

What moves this away from the €4.00m base value

  • Performance−€2.93m
  • Age−€928k
  • League€0
  • Position+€203k
  • Availability−€169k

Not in this model

  • ContractNo contract expiry data in the feed
  • Market comparablesNo observed transfer fees in the feed

Availability

Read any valuation against this first

Available minutes played57% · 1241 of 2160

14 appearances, 14 starts, 10 matchweeks missed.

A player who is not on the pitch drifts down the index without his performance level falling with it, and availability is a direct discount on the valuation above. An unavailable player is not the same thing as a cheap one.

Scenarios

What the model would say under a different set of facts

  • As measured€179kbenchmark
  • Performance +10%€197k+€18k · +10.0%
  • Performance +20%€214k+€36k · +20.0%
  • Performance −10%€179kbenchmark
  • One year older€137k−€42k · −23.4%
  • Fully available€205k+€26k · +14.8%
  • Moves to a stronger divisionAlready in the strongest division we rate

These are counterfactuals, not forecasts. Each row is the same model run with one input changed — it says nothing about whether that change is likely. The benchmark is this player’s measured estimate of €179k.

Player DNA

Percentile against FWDs in the Demo Premier League

  • Goal threat66
  • Chance creation73
  • Finishing74
  • Defending70
  • Availability63

Above average finishing forward (74th percentile), with above average chance creation (73th). Played 57% of available minutes.

Generated from the metrics above, not from scouting notes. Ball progression and pressing are absent because the feed carries no progressive passes, carries or pressures.

Valuation history

The performance index the valuation is built on, by matchweek

Diogo Whitlock index by matchweek

Profile

Per-90 percentiles against FWDs

Percentiles as a table
MetricDiogo Whitlock
Goals81st
Expected goals72nd
Shots on target48th
Assists70th
Expected assists72nd
Key passes67th

Per 90

Rate and percentile among FWDs with 270+ minutes

  • Goals0.36
  • Assists0.22
  • Shots2.9
  • Shots on target0.7
  • Key passes1.5
  • Expected goals0.30
  • Expected assists0.19
  • Tackles0.6
  • Interceptions0.4
  • Clearances0.9

Finishing

Goals against the quality of the chances they came from, running total

Diogo Whitlock cumulative goals minus expected goals
0.0+0.5+1.0Matchweek

Scoring 0.91 goals more than his chances were worth. Finishing runs like this historically revert.

Comparable players

Closest percentile profiles among the same position

Compare →
PlayerSimilarityValueAgeAlike on
Wilson XimenesCalderbrook88%€42.2m27shots on target, assists
Goran OkaforIlkeston Park87%€48.0m23assists, interceptions
Adam XimenesBrackenford83%€42.2m25assists, expected assists
Omar YilmazFallowfield83%€39.8m27goals, clearances
Samir JokinenMarsden Cross82%€46.5m25key passes, clearances
Rafael GallagherFallowfield81%€1.60m26clearances, goals

Match log

14 appearances this season

Match-by-match statistics, most recent first
MWDateOpponentMinGAShSoTxGxAKPTklIntClr
2423 Janat QuarrydaleL 1290003.00.00.020.043.00.01.00.0
212 Janat KelsfordL 0290002.00.00.030.032.01.00.01.0
2026 Decat Ilkeston ParkW 3190002.01.00.040.071.00.00.01.0
175 Decat CalderbrookD 1190002.00.00.040.031.00.01.01.0
1628 Novat ThornesideL 1590002.00.00.010.031.01.01.01.0
1521 Novat RookwoodD 0090003.01.00.030.092.01.00.02.0
1231 Octat AshcombeW 3090213.02.01.520.692.01.01.01.0
1124 Octv JarrowgateW 5090113.01.00.770.712.00.01.00.0
1017 Octv HollinwellW 2190003.00.00.030.072.01.00.01.0
910 Octv FallowfieldD 2290004.01.00.020.093.01.01.01.0
83 Octv Deepdale ValeW 3090104.02.00.770.060.00.00.00.0
512 Septv QuarrydaleW 1090003.00.00.040.030.01.00.01.0
329 Augv Marsden CrossW 2071013.01.00.000.631.00.00.01.0
222 Augv KelsfordW 2190103.01.00.770.091.01.00.01.0

Data

Last fixture
23 Jan
Matchweeks covered
24
Model
0.3.0-uncalibrated

Comparable transfers and contract situation are not shown, because the feed carries no transfer fees and no contract expiry dates. See methodology for what the model can and cannot see.